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Showing 1,777-1,824 of 2,096 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031
K 902 contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.0%?Yes 91%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 3.5%?Yes 81%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2031 be above 4.0%?Yes 75%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2032 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
K 892.21 contractsWill the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the Prime Minister of Canada announce lower tariffs on U.S. goods before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 41%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Total Fed dissents in 2026
K 889.7 contractsTotal Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 8Yes 24%
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 9Yes 22.5%
Total Fed dissents in 2026: exactly 7Yes 20.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
K 880.04 contractsWill the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.0%?Yes 89%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 1.0%?Yes 73.5%
Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.5%?Yes 63.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2034 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel prices tomorrow
K 862.28 contractsWill Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.300?Yes 55.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.310?Yes 53.5%
Will Diesel Price on October 19, 2026 be above $6.370?Yes 50%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
K 862.18 contractsWill the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Gotion High-Tech as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Xiaomi as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 25%
Will the United States Department of Defense announce the inclusion of Moonshot AI as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22%
+3 moreNext deadline Jul 9, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027
K 848 contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.00%?Yes 98%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 57.00%?Yes 95.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.50%?Yes 95.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026
K 845.13 contractsWill Life360, Inc. report Above 109 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 110 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 92%
Will Life360, Inc. report Above 111 million global monthly active users in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline May 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Tell Me Lies: Spin-off announced this year?
K 836.76 contractsWill Tell Me Lies have a spin-off announced this year?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032
K 825 contractsWill U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 56.00%?Yes 97%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 56.50%?Yes 95.5%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2032 be above 57.00%?Yes 94.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiWorld
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 813.84 contractsJalen Brooks: 25+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
Tyler Higbee: 40+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
Michael Wilson: 40+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
+100 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026
K 812.49 contractsWill SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline May 16, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as Felix Leiter
K 810.92 contractsWill Boyd Holbrook perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 12.5%
Will Anthony Mackie perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 11.5%
Will Steven Yeun perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?Yes 9%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
K 802.98 contractsWill Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
K 798 contractsWill Labour be a part of the next government in New Zealand?Yes 60.5%
Will Greens be a part of the next government in New Zealand?Yes 57.5%
Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?Yes 54%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
UC tuition for 2027–28
K 792.49 contractsWill the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,000?Yes 91%
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,100?Yes 82%
Will the annual mandatory systemwide undergraduate tuition and fees for the University of California cohort first enrolled in AY 2027–28 for the 2027–28 academic year be above $16,200?Yes 71%
+3 moreNext deadline Aug 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Manchester City vs Manchester United: Who Will Finish Higher
K 780.09 contractsWill Manchester City finish higher than Manchester United in the 2026-27 EPL final table?Yes 78.5%
Will Manchester United finish higher than Manchester City in the 2026-27 EPL final table?Yes 48%
2 mktsNext deadline Jun 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?
K 779.89 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 73.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?Yes 69%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Philadelphia vs New York: Rebounds
K 779.35 contractsJoel Embiid: 4+ reboundsYes 86.5%
Josh Hart: 4+ reboundsYes 84.5%
LeBron James: 4+ reboundsYes 77%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026
K 770.92 contractsWill The Charles Schwab Corporation report above 40.2 million Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will The Charles Schwab Corporation report above 40.4 million Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026?Yes 95%
Will The Charles Schwab Corporation report above 40.6 million Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?
K 769.49 contractsWill the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027 be above 3.7%?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
K 765.1 contractsWill California enact a data center moratorium before 2028?Yes 56.5%
Will Oregon enact a data center moratorium before 2028?Yes 54.5%
Will Pennsylvania enact a data center moratorium before 2028?Yes 52.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
South Africa inflation rate MoM for September
K 752.42 contractsWill South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 97.5%
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above -0.2%?Yes 96.5%
Will South Africa inflation rate MoM for September 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as M
K 742.52 contractsWill Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 34.5%
Will Charles Dance perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 12%
Will Olivia Colman perform as M in the next James Bond film?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026
K 741.97 contractsWill Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 22 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 89%
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 23 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 78%
Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 24 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
+9 moreNext deadline May 26, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Carolina vs Calgary: Assists
K 736.81 contractsSebastian Aho: 1+ assistsYes 52.5%
Shayne Gostisbehere: 1+ assistsYes 42.5%
Nikolaj Ehlers: 1+ assistsYes 42%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 725.13 contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 74%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 72%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 70%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 685.62 contractsWill the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 87%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 40% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the tariff rate on the European Union imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Orlando hotel room demand increase YoY in 2026?
K 685.42 contractsWill Metro Orlando’s hotel demand for 2026 be above 34.5 million room nights?Yes 66.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 17, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will OFAC end its Russian diesel import license?
K 674.79 contractsWill the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) announce its revocation of, or an amendment to, Russia-related General License 135 so that the license no longer authorizes the importation into the United States of diesel fuel of Russian Federation origin before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026
K 670.6 contractsWill Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.1 million total funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 87%
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.15 million total funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 80%
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.2 million total funded accounts in fiscal 2026?Yes 65%
+5 moreNext deadline Jun 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List?
K 670 contractsWill Avant Gardner & The Brooklyn Mirage be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?Yes 55%
Will UNVRS be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?Yes 54%
Will The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield be in the Top 5 on Dj Mag Top 100 Clubs?Yes 51%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026
K 657.85 contractsWill the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 0%?Yes 76%
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 10%?Yes 72%
Will the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles on December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET be above 20%?Yes 66.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
QB Fantasy Football Week 6 Top 5?
K 654.62 contractsTyler Huntley: Top 5 QB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
Tyler Shough: Top 5 QB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
Trevor Lawrence: Top 5 QB in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 49.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Middleweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 654.49 contractsNassourdine Imavov to be Middleweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 52%
Dricus Du Plessis to be Middleweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Sean Strickland to be Middleweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 31.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
K 653.94 contractsWill the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028?Yes 36.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 11%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026
K 652.88 contractsWill South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 90.5%
Will South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 be above -0.2%?Yes 81.5%
Will South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Futu total funded accounts in Q3
K 650.45 contractsWill Futu Holdings Limited report Above 3.95 million total funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4 million total funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 74%
Will Futu Holdings Limited report Above 4.05 million total funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 51%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiFinancials
NASDAQ-100 Daily Up/Down
K 623.99 contractsWill the NASDAQ-100 be above 29187.55 on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
K 612.69 contractsWill Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 36%
Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 12.5%
Will Narendra Modi announce their departure as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 9.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?
K 606.1 contractsWill the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 2 after Issuance and before 2028?Yes 41.5%
Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 3 after Issuance and before 2028?Yes 34%
Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 4 after Issuance and before 2028?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US nominal GDP growth in 2036
K 604.54 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.0%?Yes 94.5%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.5%?Yes 90%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 1.0%?Yes 85%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2037 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Okta customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027
K 601 contractsWill Okta, Inc. report Above 5350 customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 95.5%
Will Okta, Inc. report Above 5375 customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Okta, Inc. report Above 5400 customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027?Yes 65%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
WBC Bantamweight Title on January 1, 2027
K 599.47 contractsWho will hold the WBC Bantamweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Takuma Inoue)Yes 48%
Who will hold the WBC Bantamweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Title is vacant)Yes 47.5%
Who will hold the WBC Bantamweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Yoshiki Takei)Yes 47.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Player Points Per Game (PPG) Season Averages
K 599.03 contractsVictor Wembanyama: 24.8+ PPGYes 77.5%
Tyrese Haliburton: 18.6+ PPGYes 77.5%
Michael Porter Jr.: 20.7+ PPGYes 77.5%
+76 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
K 595.8 contractsWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 87%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 86%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 23, 2026?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO?
K 593.81 contractsWhen will AppsFlyer IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 20%
When will AppsFlyer IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 16%
When will AppsFlyer IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 15%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
K 580.7 contractsWhat will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Safe / Safer / Safety)Yes 80.5%
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Astra)Yes 67.5%
What will Sam Altman say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026? (Regulation / Regulate / Regulatory)Yes 62.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC