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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 145-192 of 366 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
When will xAI release Grok 5?
K 18.7K contractsWill xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 14%
Will xAI release Grok 5 before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Netflix say during their next earnings call?
K 17.9K contractsWhat will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Live Event)Yes 95.5%
What will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Acquisition)Yes 94.5%
What will Netflix, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Competition)Yes 91.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee?
K 17.4K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 96.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 95.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 95.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
K 16.8K contractsWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (GLP-1)Yes 84%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 83%
What will Kroger say during their next earnings call? (Produce)Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
K 16.7K contractsWhat will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Cybercab)Yes 96%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation)Yes 94%
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call? (Roadster)Yes 93%
+22 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Florida?
K 16.5K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 96.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida originally scheduled for October 23, 2026? (Cheat / Cheater / Cheating)Yes 89.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 73%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
K 15.5K contractsWhat will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (International)Yes 90%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Revenue Guidance)Yes 84.5%
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call? (Maven)Yes 82%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
K 15.5K contractsHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 25)Yes 90%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 30)Yes 69.5%
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026? (At least 40)Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
K 15.4K contractsWhen will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before 2028)Yes 95%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before July 2027)Yes 91%
When will Virgin Galactic launch next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip ? (Before April 2027)Yes 57.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 14.7K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 54.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%Yes 54%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 60.5%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 16%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Moonshot)Yes 13%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his announcement?
K 14.0K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Foster / Fostering)Yes 66.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Super Intelligence)Yes 62.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Education)Yes 60%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa?
K 13.9K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 97.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Sioux City, Iowa originally scheduled for October 22, 2026? (Healthcare)Yes 94.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 13.5K contractsDeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 11.4%Yes 91.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 15.0%Yes 82.5%
DeepSeek Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 12.3%Yes 71.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote?
K 13.5K contractsWhat will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Rubin / Vera Rubin)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)Yes 88.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?
K 13.3K contractsWhat will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (El-Sayed)Yes 93.5%
What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in St. Clair County, Michigan originally scheduled for October 25, 2026? (Dividend / Stimulus)Yes 89.5%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Sprouts say during their next earnings call?
K 12.9K contractsWhat will Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (E-commerce)Yes 90%
What will Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Personalization)Yes 86.5%
What will Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)Yes 80.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Hims say during their next earnings call?
K 11.5K contractsWhat will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Peptide)Yes 92%
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Wegovy)Yes 88%
What will Hims & Hers Health, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (FDA)Yes 88%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press?
K 11.0K contractsWhat will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 99.5%
What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Iran / Iranian)Yes 99.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?
K 10.5K contractsWhat will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Rubin (3+ times))Yes 89.5%
What will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Hyperscaler)Yes 89.5%
What will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (DSX)Yes 75%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Intel say during their next earnings call?
K 10.1K contractsWhat will Intel say during their next earnings call? (Foundry)Yes 98%
What will Intel say during their next earnings call? (Panther Lake / 18A)Yes 97.5%
What will Intel say during their next earnings call? (Security)Yes 77%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Paramount say during their next earnings call?
K 10.0K contractsWhat will Paramount say during their next earnings call? (Subscriber)Yes 94.5%
What will Paramount say during their next earnings call? (UFC)Yes 81%
What will Paramount say during their next earnings call? (Investment Grade)Yes 70%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will McDonald's say during their next earnings call?
K 9.4K contractsWhat will McDonald's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (McValue (3+ times))Yes 81%
What will McDonald's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Loyalty)Yes 80.5%
What will McDonald's Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Red Bull)Yes 78.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Nov 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Intuitive Surgical say during their next earnings call?
K 9.2K contractsWhat will Intuitive Surgical, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Ion (3+ times))Yes 98.5%
What will Intuitive Surgical, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Da Vinci 5 (3+ times))Yes 98.5%
What will Intuitive Surgical, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (China)Yes 97.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
K 9.2K contractsWhat will SpaceX say during their next earnings call? (Starship)Yes 98%
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call? (Starlink)Yes 97.5%
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call? (Grok)Yes 96.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.2K contractsWill the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.68 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.38 by Dec 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.23 by Dec 31?Yes 45%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Big Ten: Rushing Yards Leader
K 9.1K contractsCam Edwards records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 48.5%
Wayne Knight records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 34%
Jordan Marshall records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 32%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
K 9.1K contractsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 82%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 80%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 57%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
K 9.1K contractsWill OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will General Motors say during their next earnings call?
K 8.9K contractsWhat will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? (EV / Electric)Yes 98.5%
What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? (China)Yes 97.5%
What will General Motors Company say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?
K 8.6K contractsWhat will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)Yes 85.5%
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call? (Reward)Yes 78.5%
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call? (Maple Street)Yes 78%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC