Politics prediction markets
6,953 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 2,161-2,208 of 6,953 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
IN-09 House winner?
K 9.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-09?Yes 97.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-09?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 30.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
K 9.9K contractsWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Yes 34.5%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2029?Yes 28.5%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2028?Yes 20.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $26.5KWill One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 57%
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 21.3%
Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 5.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Collin County Judge winner?
PM $26.4K · K 1.4K contractsWill Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)
Related contracts
PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 82.5%
Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)
Related contracts
PM Yes 10%Rules differK Yes 15%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
K 9.9K contractsWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-21 House election: Robert Smullen vote percent
K 9.9K contractsWill Robert Smullen receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Robert Smullen receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2%
Will Robert Smullen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-21 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?
PM $26.4KWill Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 53%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 26.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.4%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 8th District margin of victory
K 9.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 79.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 62%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 47%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Iowa corn production rise YoY?
K 9.9K contractsWill Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 be above 2.772 billion bushels?Yes 58%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
K 9.9K contractsWill Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-12-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 6.5%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-11-01T15:00:00.000Z?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent
K 9.9K contractsWill Brad Little receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Brad Little receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
Will Brad Little receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-05 House Election Winner
PM $26.3KWill the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes 88%
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Score
K 9.8K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 97%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-28 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-28?Yes 93.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-28?Yes 6.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
PM $26.3KWill Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-06 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for GA-06?Yes 97.9%
Will Republican win the House race for GA-06?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-06 House Election Winner
PM $26.3KWill the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?Yes 97.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-08 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-08?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-08?Yes 3.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
PM $26.2KWill US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 32%
Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 27.5%
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Josh Shapiro margin of victory
K 9.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 97.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 97%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Brno
PM $26.2KWill Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes 96.5%
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes 1.6%
Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes 1.6%
+9 more
KalshiPolitics
NC-03 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-03?Yes 84.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-03?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Tshwane (Pretoria)?
PM $26.2KWill Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 49.5%
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 25.5%
Will Aaron Maluleka be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes 13.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-12 House winner?
K 9.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-12?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-12?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PM $26.1KWill the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 43.5%
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 28.4%
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 17%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Starr County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 9.8K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?Yes 97%
Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?Yes 94.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Starr County, Texas?Yes 88.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PM $26.1KWill National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 51.5%
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 45%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 64 percentage points?Yes 95.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 67 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 3rd District House election be at least 70 percentage points?Yes 90.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?
K 9.7K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on invoking Section 740 of the D.C. Home Rule Act before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner
PM $26.1KWill Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes 68.5%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?Yes 98.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PM $26.0KWill Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 52.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 21%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 71%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 60%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nitra Mayoral Election Winner
PM $26.0KWill Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 87.5%
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 9.5%
Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Yes 2.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland Attorney General winner?
K 9.7K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Maryland?Yes 97.5%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Maryland?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $25.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?
K 9.7K contractsWill the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
PM $25.7KNicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 10th District margin of victory
K 9.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
LA-05 House Election Winner
PM $25.7KWill the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
K 9.6K contractsWill Josh Shapiro receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 96.5%
Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-14 House Election Winner
PM $25.6KWill the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC