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Showing 2,161-2,208 of 7,175 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Illinois pension debt in 2026?
K 11.4K contractsWill the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?Yes 95%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?Yes 78%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Closest Governor's Race?
PM $26.7KWill Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Yes 10.9%
+33 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia State House winner?
K 11.4K contractsWho will win the Georgia State House? (Republican party)Yes 67.5%
Who will win the Georgia State House? (Democratic party)Yes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
PM $26.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Yes 27.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 26.6%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Yes 20.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Global remittances received in 2026
K 11.4K contractsWill global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $750 billion?Yes 94.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $800 billion?Yes 93.5%
Will global personal remittances received in 2026 be above $850 billion?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Rhode Island Senate winner?
PM $26.6K · K 35.6K contractsWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 98.4%
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.2%Rules differK Yes 1.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
K 11.3K contractsWill the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?Yes 87.5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 6%?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $26.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 14.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
K 11.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 28.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 11.3K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-25 House Election Winner
PM $26.6KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-09 House winner?
K 11.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-09?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $26.5KWill Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 61.5%
Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 24.5%
Will Shehu Bawa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan presidential election winner?
K 11.2K contractsWho will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (William Lai)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Cheng Li-wun)Yes 11%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou)Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 30.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?Yes 17.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 11.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4400000?Yes 81%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PM $26.5KWill One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 57%
Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 21.4%
Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 4.9%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Collin County Judge winner?
PM $26.4K · K 1.4K contractsWill Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (Chris Hill)
Related contracts
PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 83%
Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?
Kalshi: Who will win the 2026 Collin County Judge general election? (John Brown)
Related contracts
PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 15.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?
K 11.2K contractsWill Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 36.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 30.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
K 11.2K contractsWill BC Conservatives be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 74%
Will BC NDP be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 28%
Will BC Greens be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress
K 11.2K contractsWill Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91.5%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79%
Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 69%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OK-05 House Election Winner
PM $26.3KWill the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes 88%
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of England rate decision in December
K 11.2K contractsWill the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 51.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 30.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
PM $26.3KSusie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 95%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?
PM $26.3KWill Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 54%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 26.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 10%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?
K 11.1K contractsWho will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 51.5%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 35%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Barrasso)Yes 11%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-06 House Election Winner
PM $26.3KWill the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?Yes 97.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Cinematography
K 11.1K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 77.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
PM $26.3KWill Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
K 11.1K contractsWill Giorgia Meloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 30%
Will Elly Schlein become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 24%
Will Giuseppe Conte become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 22, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
PM $26.2KWill US win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 32%
Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 28%
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
K 11.1K contractsWill Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 98%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Brno
PM $26.2KWill Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes 96.5%
Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes 1.8%
Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno?Yes 1.7%
+9 more
KalshiPolitics
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
K 11.1K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean))Yes 57%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Dracula (with JENNIE))Yes 57%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Bring Your Love)Yes 57%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PM $26.1KWill the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 43%
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 33.1%
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-17 House election: Effie Phillips-Staley vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2%
Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PM $26.1KWill Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 50%
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 46.5%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 7.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major in 2027
K 11.0K contractsWill Scottie Scheffler win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 58%
Will Rory McIlroy win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will Ludvig Aberg win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 27%
+109 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $26.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
K 11.0K contractsWill the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 64.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner
PM $26.1KWill Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes 68.5%
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Governor election: Larry Rhoden vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Larry Rhoden receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 93%
Will Larry Rhoden receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 85.5%
Will Larry Rhoden receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 73%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC