Browse prediction markets

Will Christopher Luxon become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 54.5%

New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?

K 16.7K contracts

Will Chris Hipkins become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 43.5%

Will Chlöe Swarbrick become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?Yes 1.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2027 UTC

Who will win the 2026 St. Petersburg, Florida mayoral election? (Charlie Crist)Yes 91.5%

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election

K 16.7K contracts

Who will win the 2026 St. Petersburg, Florida mayoral election? (Ken Welch)Yes 7%

2 mktsNext deadline Aug 18, 2027 UTC

GA-02 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes 94.5%

Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes 3.7%

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year? (Man I Need)Yes 92%

Grammy nominees: Record of the Year

K 16.6K contracts

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year? (Choosin' Texas)Yes 88.5%

2026 Grammy nominees for Record of the Year? (I Just Might)Yes 87.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

TX-16 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes 97.4%

Will the Republican Party win the TX-16 House seat?Yes 2%

Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 80%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?

K 16.6K contracts

Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 60.5%

Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 51%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 26.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 15.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19%

Ohio Governor margin of victory

K 16.6K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 14%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Ohio be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 32.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?Yes 12.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Republican win the House race for GA-07?Yes 92.7%

GA-07 House winner?

K 16.5K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for GA-07?Yes 7.8%

Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 97.5%

AR-01 House Election Winner

PM $27.1K

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?Yes 1.6%

KalshiElections

When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 14, 2026?Yes 96%

Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 96%

Will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority before 12AM ET on Nov 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Yes 28.2%

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

PM $27.1K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Yes 27.5%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Yes 22.8%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiFinancials

Sephora Credit Card Spend in October

Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 99 ?Yes 98.5%

Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 93.5%

Will Sephora Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 108 ?Yes 90.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC

Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 42.4%

Baja California Sur Governor Election Winner

PM $27.0K

Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 32%

Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes 18.4%

+13 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

PM $26.9K · K 434.1K contracts

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 8.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC

Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 57.5%

Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes 39%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC

CA-15 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-15?Yes 96.4%

Will Republican win the House race for CA-15?Yes 2.1%

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes 95.9%

OR-06 House Election Winner

PM $26.9K

Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat?Yes 3.1%

Colorado's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 68%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 54%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 38%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketFinance

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

PM $26.9K

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 54.2%

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 50.2%

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 44.1%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

South Carolina Governor winner?

PM $26.9K · K 40.8K contracts

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 93.3%

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in South Carolina

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 8.1%Rules differK Yes 6.9%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

GA-01 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for GA-01?Yes 88%

Will Democratic win the House race for GA-01?Yes 11.5%

KS-03 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for KS-03?Yes 95%

Will Republican win the House race for KS-03?Yes 5.1%

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 95.8%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 3.7%

Will Nikolai Denkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes 0.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Arizona Senate winner? (2028)

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Arizona?Yes 74.5%

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Arizona?Yes 24.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC

IL-07 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes 97.3%

Will the Republican Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes 1.5%

KalshiTech

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 20 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 91.5%

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 25 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 87%

Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 30 f-35 aircraft deliveries in Q3 2026?Yes 72%

+6 moreNext deadline Feb 17, 2027 UTC

Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner

Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 40%

Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 39.5%

Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes 18.3%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Ottawa mayoral election winner?

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 89.5%

Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 4.2%

Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes 2%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?Yes 2.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

El Paso County Judge winner?

Who will win the 2026 El Paso County Judge general election? (Ricardo Samaniego)Yes 97%

Who will win the 2026 El Paso County Judge general election? (Minerva Torres Shelton)Yes 2%

Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 70%

Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 26%

Will Shehu Bawa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Yes 6.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Gambian presidential election winner?

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election? (Adama Barrow)Yes 69%

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election? (Ousainou Darboe)Yes 17%

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election? (Talib Bensouda)Yes 11%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

GA-03 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes 96%

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat?Yes 4.5%

What will Trump say this week?

Will Trump say "Blockade" before Oct 26, 2026?Yes 82.5%

Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 26, 2026?Yes 74.5%

Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Oct 26, 2026?Yes 70.5%

+25 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 30.2%

SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $26.7K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Florida's 2nd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 84%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 76%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 64.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.8%

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $26.7K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 20.3%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in October

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in October 2026?Yes 98%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%

Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 87.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Rhode Island Senate winner?

PM $26.7K · K 39.7K contracts

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Rhode Island?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 98.2%Rules differK Yes 98.2%

Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 1.7%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? (Mike Johnson)Yes 2.6%

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? (Tom Cole)Yes 2.3%

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? (Steve Daines)Yes 2.3%

+2 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 57%

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

PM $26.6K

Will Greens win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 26.5%

Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 5.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?

K 16.1K contracts

Will Donald Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026?Yes 16%

1 mktNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes 95.4%

CA-25 House Election Winner

PM $26.6K

Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?Yes 3.3%