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Showing 2,449-2,496 of 7,554 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 63%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 42.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 16%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 14.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 17th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 51.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 41%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-10 House Election Winner
PM $23.7KWill the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?Yes 97.7%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio: Acton's margin vs. Brown's margin?
K 8.8K contractsWill Amy Acton's governor margin minus Sherrod Brown's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 43%
Will Sherrod Brown's Senate margin minus Amy Acton's governor margin be between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 26.5%
Will Amy Acton's governor margin minus Sherrod Brown's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkish general election winner?
K 8.8K contractsWho will win the next Turkish general election? (AKP)Yes 71.5%
Who will win the next Turkish general election? (CHP)Yes 17.5%
Who will win the next Turkish general election? (MHP)Yes 2.6%
+1 moreNext deadline May 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?
PM $23.7KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 19?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 19?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 1st District margin of victory
K 8.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 93.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will endorse Susan Collins?
K 8.8K contractsWill Jared Golden endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9%
Will Greg Elder endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 8%
Will Olympia Snowe endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 7%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
How low will Lake Mead drop?
PM $23.5KWill Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?Yes 50.9%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?Yes 28.5%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?Yes 15.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Apr 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
K 8.8K contractsWill any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?Yes 48%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-04 House Election Winner
PM $23.5KWill the Republican Party win the OH-04 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-04 House seat?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory
K 8.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 96.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $23.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026?
K 8.8K contractsRain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 45%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in Chicago in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 8.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $23.4KWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?Yes 32.5%
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?Yes 30%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-08 House winner?
K 8.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-08?Yes 95.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-08?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-03 House Election Winner
PM $23.3KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
K 8.8K contractsWill the House impeach a federal judge before 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 19?
PM $23.3KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 10%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
KS-02 House winner?
K 8.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for KS-02?Yes 87.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for KS-02?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Huon Valley mayoral election winner?
K 8.7K contractsWill Abby McKibben win the 2026 Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 37%
Will Mark Jessop win the 2026 Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 31.5%
Will Paul Gibson win the 2026 Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania State Senate winner?
K 8.7K contractsWho will win the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election? (Democratic party)Yes 59%
Who will win the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election? (Republican party)Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout
PM $23.2KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 29.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-13 House winner?
K 8.7K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for GA-13?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for GA-13?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate winner?
PM $23.2K · K 145.9K contractsWill the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.1%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 10th District margin of victory
K 8.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 10th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
PM $23.2KWill voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Yes 41.5%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Yes 39%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Yes 17%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-10 House winner?
K 8.7K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-10?Yes 91.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-10?Yes 7.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
New pandemic before 2028?
PM $23.2KNew pandemic before 2028?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Senate margin of victory
K 8.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 93.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 90.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PM $23.1KWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)
K 8.6K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in West VirginiaYes 88.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in West VirginiaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Austin on October 19?
PM $23.1KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 29%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 19?Yes 14%
+8 more
KalshiElections
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
K 8.6K contractsWill a constitutional amendment requiring term limits for Congress happen during Trump's term?Yes 4.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?Yes 29.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 19%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.1K · K 11.2K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-41?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.6%Rules differK Yes 94.9%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-41 House election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.2%Rules differK Yes 4.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 4.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Jones Act be repealed?
K 8.6K contractsWill repeal of the Jones Act becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 8.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio State House winner?
K 8.6K contractsWho will win the Ohio State House? (Republican party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Ohio State House? (Democratic party)Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Ankara on October 19?
PM $23.0KWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19?Yes 99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?Yes 0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on October 19?Yes <0.1%
+8 more
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-27 House winner?
PM $23.0K · K 7.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-27?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.1%Rules differK Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-27?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin?
K 8.6K contractsWill Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 33.5%
Will Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 31.5%
Will Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 26%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Zealand general election winner?
K 8.6K contractsWill Labour win the next New Zealand general election?Yes 56.5%
Will National win the next New Zealand general election?Yes 41%
Will Opportunity win the next New Zealand general election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
PM $23.0KWill Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes 27.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes 17.5%
Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes 17.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC