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Showing 2,593-2,640 of 7,129 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Wyoming Governor margin of victory
K 8.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 97.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 97.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Wyoming be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 97%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
K 8.2K contractsWill Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 79.5%
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 11%
Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 29.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Governor-Senate combo
K 8.2K contractsWill Florida Governor winner be Republican party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 81.5%
Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Republican party?Yes 13.5%
Will Florida Governor winner be Democratic party and Florida Senate winner be Democratic party?Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-29 House Election Winner
PM $19.9KWill the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?Yes 97.3%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
K 8.1K contractsWill it be confirmed that Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 99%
Will it be confirmed that Charles Milliard is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 1.5%
Will it be confirmed that Ruba Ghazal is the first person to serve as Premier of Quebec after government formation following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 1%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?Yes 16.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Number of data centers in California this year?
K 8.1K contractsWill California have at least 300 data centers this year?Yes 87.5%
Will California have at least 305 data centers this year?Yes 76.5%
Will California have at least 315 data centers this year?Yes 43.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
PM $19.9KWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? Yes 74.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory
K 8.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?Yes 93.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?Yes 91.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 2nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
PM $19.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes 55.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes 43%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of 2026?
K 8.1K contractsWill BTS be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 58%
Will Taylor Swift be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will Bad Bunny be #1 on the IFPI's Biggest-Selling Global Recording Artist of the Year in 2026?Yes 6%
+19 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

WI-01 House winner?
PM $19.8K · K 111.5K contractsWill the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for WI-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 61.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for WI-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 38.5%Rules differK Yes 38.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-25 House election: Virginia McIntyre vote percent
K 8.1K contractsWill Virginia McIntyre receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 97%
Will Virginia McIntyre receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 94%
Will Virginia McIntyre receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-04 House winner?
K 8.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for SC-04?Yes 94.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for SC-04?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
PM $19.7KWill Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 80.5%
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 16.5%
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 6%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Missouri governor winner? (2028)
K 8.0K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MissouriYes 94.8%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MissouriYes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

SC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?
K 8.0K contractsWill Initiative 1 pass?Yes 29.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-04 House Election Winner
PM $19.6KWill the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?Yes 97.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-04 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
K 8.0K contractsWill Ashley Moody receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97.5%
Will Ashley Moody receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 90%
Will Ashley Moody receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nothing Ever Happens: October
PM $19.6KNothing Ever Happens: OctoberView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
K 8.0K contractsWill Democrats win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?Yes 69%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?Yes 24.5%
Will John Fetterman win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate and Governor Combo
PM $19.6KWill Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?Yes 42.5%
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes 33.5%
Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes 22%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?
K 8.0K contractsWill Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth

When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
K 8.0K contractsWhen will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 72%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 51.5%
When will Beam Therapeutics Inc. submit a BLA for Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) to the FDA? (before December)Yes 32%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-02 House Election Winner
PM $19.5KWill the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes 84.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes 14.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 59.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 38.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maryland's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 96.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 94.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
PM $19.5KWill Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes 90%
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes 10%
Will Perng Shaw-jiin win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 8.0K contractsWill DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $14M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 87.5%
Will DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $38M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Regional Board Chair of Stockholm?
PM $19.4KWill Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 75%
Will Axel Conradi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 25.8%
Will Msciwoj Swigon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Yes 0.6%
+11 more
KalshiPolitics

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/18-10/24)
K 8.0K contractsWill Donald Trump make between 140 and 159 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 21%
Will Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Donald Trump make between 160 and 179 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 7.9K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 97%
Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 97%
Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner
PM $19.4KWill Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 74%
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 19.5%
Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes 8.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 69.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 57.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 38.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.7%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?
K 7.9K contractsWill Kimberly Yee win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 53%
Will Teresa Leyba Ruiz win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 45.5%
Will Stephen Neal Jr. win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
K 7.9K contractsWill the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-14 House Election Winner
PM $19.4KWill the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-14 House seat?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects
K 7.9K contractsWill Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-13 House Election Winner
PM $19.3KWill the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes 96.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes 3.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC