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Showing 2,641-2,688 of 7,555 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
How many Florida mail votes will be cast?
K 7.6K contractsWill the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 95%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 70.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 21.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 13.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
K 7.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 41%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Yale University and the U.S. Department of Justice have entered into a final settlement or other final written agreement resolving, suspending, or settling a federal admissions-discrimination investigation that includes or applies to Yale Law School before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $21.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 29.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)
K 7.6K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in MississippiYes 87.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in MississippiYes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-03 House Election Winner
PM $20.9KWill the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat?Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
PA-08 House winner?
PM $20.9K · K 193.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for PA-8?
Related contracts
PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 27.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-04 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-04?Yes 94.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-04?Yes 5.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Secretary of State winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Ohio?Yes 57%
Will the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Ohio?Yes 40.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Lexington Mayoral Election Winner
PM $20.8KWill Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes 82.5%
Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes 15.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
K 7.6K contractsWill the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 24%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 13.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-14 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-14?Yes 89.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-14?Yes 8.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-02 House winner?
K 7.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-02?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-02?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Niagara-on-the-Lake, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $20.8KWill Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes 63%
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes 27%
Will Vaughn Goettler win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes 6.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-24 House election: Tony Macula vote percent
K 7.6K contractsWill Tony Macula receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Tony Macula receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2%
Will Tony Macula receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-24 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 39.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Clarence Mayoral Election Winner
PM $20.8K · K 7.8K contractsWill Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?
Kalshi: Will Brendan Blomeley win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 43%Rules differK Yes 53%
Will Tony Mulder win the next Clarence mayoral election?
Kalshi: Will Tony Mulder win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 23.6%Rules differK Yes 26%
Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election?
Kalshi: Will Dean Young win the 2026 Clarence mayoral election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 9.6%Rules differK Yes 10.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota State Auditor winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Zack Filipovich win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 63.5%
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 38%
Will Jay Reeves win the 2026 Minnesota State Auditor election?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?
K 7.5K contractsWill Mette Frederiksen be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 32%
Will Kaja Kallas be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 19.5%
Will Alexander Stubb be the next Secretary General of NATO?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $20.7KWill Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes 80%
Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes 16.4%
Will Coffie Emeni Samuel win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes 3.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor margin of victory
K 7.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 90.9%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 80%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 41.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 26.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in Georgia?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 92%
Will Democrats win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 4.5%
Will Democrats win fewer than 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Georgia?Yes 3.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
PM $20.6KWill Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 70.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 24.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 3.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-25 House election: Kloud Walton vote percent
K 7.5K contractsWill Kloud Walton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 18%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 4.5%
Will Kloud Walton receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-25 House election?Yes 3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PM $20.6KMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-02 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CO-02?Yes 98%
Will Republican win the House race for CO-02?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Senate and Governor Combo
PM $20.6KWill Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Yes 55.5%
Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election?Yes 23.2%
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Yes 20.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?
K 7.5K contractsWill the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 17 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 22 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes 97%
Will the Conservative Party of British Columbia win at least 27 seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes 96%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 15.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-12 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-12?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-12?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
PM $20.6KWill Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Yes 43%
Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Yes 29%
Will Leanne Raw win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Yes 15.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 4th District margin of victory
K 7.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 86.2%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Wyoming Senate winner?
PM $20.6K · K 25.4K contractsWill the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Wyoming?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98.6%Rules differK Yes 99%
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Wyoming?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 0.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-13 House election: Leela Gray vote percent
K 7.5K contractsWill Leela Gray receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Leela Gray receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 FL-13 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 19?
PM $20.5KWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 19?Yes 65%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19?Yes 6.5%
+8 more
KalshiPolitics
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
K 7.5K contractsWill Barack Obama endorse Mary Peltola in Alaska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will Barack Obama endorse Karen Bass in Los Angeles Mayor before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 12%
Will Barack Obama endorse Dan Osborn in Nebraska Senate before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
PM $20.5KWill Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Yes 55.5%
Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Yes 12.8%
Will Amir Zuccolo win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-20 House winner?
K 7.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for FL-20?Yes 97%
Will Republican win the House race for FL-20?Yes 1.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?
PM $20.5KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20?Yes 23%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina's 8th District margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 16.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wyoming Senate margin of victory
K 7.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 28 percentage points?Yes 90.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Wyoming be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 84.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Kronoberg?
PM $20.5KWill Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Yes 93.5%
Will Robert Fredriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Yes 4.2%
Will Ida Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Yes 2.5%
+5 more
KalshiPolitics
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
K 7.4K contractsExactly 1 peopleYes 84.5%
Exactly 2 peopleYes 15%
Exactly 3 peopleYes 2.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $20.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 15.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC