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Economics prediction markets

1,573 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Showing 241-288 of 1,573 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 1st Touchdown

Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 1st Touchdown

K 90.8K contracts
James Cook III: 1st TouchdownYes 16.5%
Josh Allen: 1st TouchdownYes 14.5%
Ashton Jeanty: 1st TouchdownYes 11.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?

PM $51.0K
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $52 in October?Yes 77%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in October?Yes 73.9%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?Yes 38.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

K 90.4K contracts
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?Yes 94.5%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?Yes 73.5%
Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?Yes 14.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

PM $50.0K
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

K 86.9K contracts
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2027 meeting?Yes 87%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2027 meeting?Yes 83.5%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2027 meeting?Yes 82.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

PM $49.6K
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Yes 9.5%
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP

2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP

K 83.5K contracts
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $31,500?Yes 94.5%
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $31,000?Yes 92%
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $32,000?Yes 89.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

PM $48.1K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes 40%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Yes 26%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes 22.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

K 80.9K contracts
Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by December 31?

PM $47.0K
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes 77%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Yes 10%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Yes 7.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026

Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026

K 79.3K contracts
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 38000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?Yes 96%
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 40000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Rivian Automotive Inc. report Above 42000 total vehicles delivered in 2026?Yes 92.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

PM $45.4K
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Yes 97%
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.4%
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

K 79.2K contracts
Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

PM $44.4K
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Yes 26.3%
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?Yes 20%
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2032?

US real GDP growth in 2032?

K 78.6K contracts
GDP growth in 2032? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 16%
GDP growth in 2032? (1.1% to 1.5%)Yes 11%
GDP growth in 2032? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 11%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2033 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in October 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in October 2026?

PM $43.6K
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 in October?Yes 94%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in October?Yes 75%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in October?Yes 66%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

K 76.7K contracts
Will U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP for FY2026 be below 5%?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?

PM $43.4K
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 in October?Yes 90.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in October?Yes 77%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?Yes 68%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bank of Korea rate decision in October

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

PM $42.9K · K 10.2K contracts

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.2%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Bank of Korea Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Vermont maple syrup production in 2027

Vermont maple syrup production in 2027

K 75.1K contracts
Will Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.7 million gallons?Yes 84.5%
Will Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.8 million gallons?Yes 74.5%
Will Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.9 million gallons?Yes 68.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Paper price index in November 2026

Paper price index in November 2026

K 74.7K contracts
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 275?Yes 84%
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 280?Yes 82.5%
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 285?Yes 29.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

PM $42.9K
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Yes 63.4%
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes 19.5%
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?Yes 11.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in November

Core CPI in November

K 74.1K contracts
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in November?Yes 94.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in November?Yes 77.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in November?Yes 50%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in October 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in October 2026?

PM $42.3K
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in October?Yes 87.5%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 in October?Yes 70%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 in October?Yes 63%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will US gas prices get in 2026?

How low will US gas prices get in 2026?

K 74.0K contracts
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.60 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 23%
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.40 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12.5%
Will average **gas prices** be below $3.20 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 12%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

PM $41.5K
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes 52%
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes 47.5%
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Highest natural gas spot price in​ 2026

Highest natural gas spot price in​ 2026

K 73.1K contracts
Will the price of natural gas get above $4.00 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
Will the price of natural gas get above $4.50 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 57.5%
Will the price of natural gas get above $5.00 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?Yes 46%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?

What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?

PM $41.4K
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.00 in October?Yes 89.5%
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.50 in October?Yes 79.8%
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in October?Yes 36.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
California permitted housing units in 2026

California permitted housing units in 2026

K 72.4K contracts
Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 100,000?Yes 96.5%
Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 105,000?Yes 90.5%
Will California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in 2026 be above 110,000?Yes 60.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?

EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?

PM $41.4K
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?Yes 68%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Colombia rate decision in October

Colombia rate decision in October

PM $40.9K · K 27.8K contracts

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República maintain the current rate at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 54%Rules differK Yes 55%

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República hike 1-25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 37%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Banco de la República hike more than 25bps at the October Policy Rate Meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.8%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

K 72.1K contracts
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 94%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 3.74% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 94%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 92%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?

K 71.1K contracts
Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 80%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

PM $40.6K
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes 52.1%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes 23.6%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?Yes 10.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in November

CPI in November

K 70.7K contracts
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in November 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in November 2026?Yes 78%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026?Yes 62.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?

KOSPI all-time high before 2028?

PM $40.5K
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Yes 27.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

K 70.4K contracts
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Above $1000)Yes 8%
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Above $1300)Yes 4%
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Above $1200)Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

PM $40.1K
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes 88.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CPI in December

CPI in December

K 70.0K contracts
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.0% in December 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in December 2026?Yes 73%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

PM $39.7K
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $172 in October?Yes 76.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 in October?Yes 75.5%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $184 in October?Yes 64.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Kentucky coal production in 2027

Kentucky coal production in 2027

K 68.1K contracts
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?Yes 86.5%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?Yes 74%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?Yes 38.5%
+3 moreNext deadline May 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

PM $37.4K
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Yes 25.5%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?Yes 23.9%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Yes 20.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?

How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?

K 67.9K contracts
Will average gas prices go below $4.30 by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will average gas prices go below $4.25 by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will average gas prices go below $4.20 by Oct 31, 2026?Yes 42.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

PM $36.5K
ECB rate cut in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

K 67.4K contracts
Will Florida visitors in 2026 be above 143.33 million visitors?Yes 22.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

PM $36.5K
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of November 2026?Yes 86%
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas broiler production in 2026

Arkansas broiler production in 2026

K 66.5K contracts
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.6 billion pounds?Yes 95.5%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 7.8 billion pounds?Yes 91.5%
Will Arkansas broiler production for 2026 be above 8.0 billion pounds?Yes 35%
+2 moreNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

PM $35.6K
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 82.5%
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 15%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC