Tech prediction markets
1,157 tech market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 241-288 of 1,157 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.3K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 7.5%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PM $63.6KUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Yes 6.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.8K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI data center in space by...?
PM $63.2KAI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes 24.5%
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.6K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $62.0KWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 27%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 16%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
K 58.4K contractsWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 60.5%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
PM $61.5KWill AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Yes 23%
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Yes 18%
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Yes 17%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.0K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 49.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
PM $60.5KWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 74%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 22.1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.7K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 21.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PM $60.3KWill there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 76.1%
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 20%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 3.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 56.7K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 28.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PM $60.0KWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes 30.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.5K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 31.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
PM $59.2KWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 82.7%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 16.6%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
PM $58.7KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 66.3%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 11.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receptions
K 54.6K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 3+ receptionsYes 92.5%
Tucker Kraft: 2+ receptionsYes 91.5%
George Pickens: 3+ receptionsYes 86.5%
+87 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI resumes training on...?
PM $58.6KWill OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?Yes 6.3%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
K 54.6K contractsWill Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PM $56.3KWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 54.5%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 38%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 0.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
PM $55.4KWill there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?Yes 1.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December
K 53.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in December 2026?Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $54.5KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 42%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 23.9%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
PM $52.5KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 81%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Home Runs
K 53.1K contractsJunior Caminero: 1+ home runs?Yes 15%
José Ramírez: 1+ home runs?Yes 12.5%
Yandy Díaz: 1+ home runs?Yes 12%
+26 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
PM $51.6KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 57%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards
K 52.8K contractsJaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yardsYes 85.5%
Jalon Daniels: 15+ rushing yardsYes 83.5%
Bucky Irving: 40+ rushing yardsYes 79.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd richest person on December 31?
PM $48.3KWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 57.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 37.6%
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 28%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 52.7K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97%
Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 95%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $47.8KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 79.5%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 11%
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.4%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?
K 52.5K contractsWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 94%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Bar / Exam)Yes 2.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 2%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $47.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.7%
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $46.5KWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 60.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 26.5%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will release a new song this year?
K 51.2K contractsWill Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
PM $45.8KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon headcount in 2026
K 50.8K contractsWill Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
PM $45.2K · K 3.8K contractsWill Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PM $45.0KUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 49.5K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 5.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 180T tokens?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
PM $44.9KNext OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
K 49.5K contractsWill Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.05 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.15 million TEUs?Yes 85.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.25 million TEUs?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026
PM $44.5KWill Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 53.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC