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Showing 3,457-3,504 of 7,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Simi Valley mayoral election winner?
K 4.7K contractsWho will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Mike Judge)Yes 50%
Who will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Kareem Jubran)Yes 50%
Who will win the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election? (Dee Dee Cavanaugh)Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 51.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 24%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
K 4.7K contractsWill Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?Yes 23%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 34.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto

Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
K 4.7K contractsWill the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Bitcoin for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 13.5%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 10%
Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce its completed purchase of Ethereum for a government-held reserve or stockpile before Jan 21, 2029?Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
PM $13.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 39%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?Yes 9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
K 4.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 21.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Darren Bailey receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 84%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Tommy Tuberville receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Tommy Tuberville receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 36%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Diana Harshbarger receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 85%
Will Diana Harshbarger receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-01 House election?Yes 63.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 20?
PM $13.5KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 20?Yes 8.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026?
K 4.7K contractsRain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 51.5%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 7 inches)Yes 7%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 7%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
PM $13.5KWill The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 32%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.1%
Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 18%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.7K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 75000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 08 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 72%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-14 House election: Alan Bradstock vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Alan Bradstock receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 95%
Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Alan Bradstock receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-14 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 14.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

TX-28 House winner?
PM $13.4K · K 234.8K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91%Rules differK Yes 92.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-28?
Related contracts
PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 8.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Yvette Clarke receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 95%
Will Yvette Clarke receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-09 House election?Yes 88.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnout
K 4.7K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 52%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 51%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 02 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 51%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 36%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?
K 4.7K contractsWill Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%
Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PM $13.4KWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: margin of victory
K 4.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 3% and 6%?Yes 24.5%
Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 6% and 9%?Yes 22.5%
Will the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election be between 0% and 3%?Yes 14.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
K 4.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 50%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 27%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PM $13.4KJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?
K 4.7K contractsWill Josh Turek outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?Yes 35.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 20.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position
K 4.7K contractsMax Verstappen is awarded Pole PositionYes 46%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli is awarded Pole PositionYes 29.5%
Charles Leclerc is awarded Pole PositionYes 13.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
K 4.7K contractsWill Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 89%
Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate election?Yes 66%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New York Governor Election: Turnout
PM $13.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Yes 42%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Yes 14.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 12.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 36%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 24%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 11.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PM $13.3KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 36%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 26%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New Jersey Senate margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more?Yes 18.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 15.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

College Football Teams to Qualify for a Bowl Game
K 4.6K contractsTexas selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 90%
Georgia selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 88%
Oklahoma selected to play in a bowl game or the College Football PlayoffYes 85%
+117 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?
PM $13.2KWill Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas Senate margin of victory
K 4.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?Yes 33.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 13%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 3% or more?Yes 21.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-08 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC