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Showing 3,457-3,504 of 7,936 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Florida State House winner?
K 6.1K contractsWho will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Republican party)Yes 92.5%
Who will win the Florida House of Representatives? (Democratic party)Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PM $15.6KChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-06 House election: Moshe Landman vote percent
K 6.1K contractsWill Moshe Landman receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 76%
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 37%
Will Moshe Landman receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-06 House election?Yes 18.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 15.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percent
K 6.1K contractsWill Fredrick Love receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Fredrick Love receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 89.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 69%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Serbia call its presidential election?
K 6.1K contractsWill Serbia call its presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Serbia call its presidential election before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 24%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will France announce a snap election?
K 6.1K contractsWill France announce a snap election before Jan 2, 2027?Yes 8.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $15.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 15.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-07 House winner?
K 6.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MN-07?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-07?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 33.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026?
K 6.1K contractsRain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 24.5%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 24.5%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? (Above 7 inches)Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?Yes 17.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
K 6.0K contractsAnthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 30.9%Yes 93%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 35.4%Yes 54%
Anthropic Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 33.5%Yes 51%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?Yes 35.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000?Yes 25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,000,000 and 4,250,000?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Trump impose capital controls?
K 6.0K contractsWill Trump impose capital controls before 2029?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 21.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design
K 6.0K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 95.5%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Yes 30.5%
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Yes 21%
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?Yes 14.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 92.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 78%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 22.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?
K 6.0K contractsWill Amendment 1 pass?Yes 94.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
California Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 31.5%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.2%
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
K 6.0K contractsWill it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?Yes 68%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?Yes 61.5%
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?Yes 40.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.0K contractsWill JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 78%
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $15.2KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 6.4%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent
K 6.0K contractsWill Ted Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 54.5%
Will Ted Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 18.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $15.2KWill Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 67%
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 21.9%
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 14%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
K 6.0K contractsWill Hungary hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 7.4%
Will Greece hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 4.5%
Will Italy hold a referendum on leaving the EU?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
AWS service disrupted by...?
PM $15.2KAWS service disrupted by November 30?Yes 46%
AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes 35.5%
AWS service disrupted by September 30?Yes 14%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate winner? (2028)
K 6.0K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Kansas?Yes 73.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kansas?Yes 27%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-05 House winner?
K 6.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-05?Yes 88.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-05?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 42.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 12.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-01 House winner?
K 6.0K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CT-01?Yes 95%
Will Republican win the House race for CT-01?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?Yes 37.5%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?Yes 15.2%
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?Yes 14.4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla energy deployment in Q4
K 6.0K contractsWill Tesla report Above 8 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026?Yes 97%
Will Tesla report Above 10 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026?Yes 89%
Will Tesla report Above 12 GWh energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
PM $15.1K0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PM $15.1KWill there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 23.5%
Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alabama's 7th District margin of victory
K 5.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 95.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Alabama's 7th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 93.2%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?Yes 14%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC