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Showing 3,553-3,600 of 8,003 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
K 5.8K contractsWill Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?Yes 82.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.9KWill Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Will New Hampshire vote to eliminate the register of probate office?
K 5.8K contractsWill CACR 13 pass?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 44.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 11%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-07 House election: Max Miller vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill Max Miller receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Max Miller receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 93%
Will Max Miller receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 79%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best AI model on October 26?
PM $14.8KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 10%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 2.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?
K 5.8K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?Yes 26%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-06 House winner?
K 5.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-06?Yes 97%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-06?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 21.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
K 5.8K contractsWill the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 17%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 16.5%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 16.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 19%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NJ-10 House election: LaMonica McIver vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill LaMonica McIver receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 93%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 88%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 81%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $14.8KWill Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 71.5%
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 21.8%
Will Li Wu Ying-chih win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill James Hayes receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 93%
Will James Hayes receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 86%
Will James Hayes receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 42.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
K 5.8K contractsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.7KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 55.5%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 22%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027
K 5.7K contractsWho will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Agit Kabayel)Yes 79%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Andrii Novitskyi)Yes 47%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Joseph Parker)Yes 47%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 19.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 88.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-03 House election: Clifton Brown vote percent
K 5.7K contractsWill Clifton Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 67%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 29%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout
PM $14.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 650,000 and 700,000?Yes 34.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000?Yes 28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
K 5.7K contractsRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 16%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 9%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 6%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
K 5.7K contractsWill Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 35%
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 16.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee
K 5.7K contractsWill Justin Amash be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 29.5%
Will Chase Oliver be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 11.5%
Will Jo Jorgensen be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 7.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
K 5.7K contractsWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 11%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
PM $14.7KWill Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?
K 5.7K contractsWill Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?Yes 36.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
PM $14.6KWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 51%
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 45.5%
Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Yes 0.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Will Treg Taylor drop out?
K 5.7K contractsWill Treg Taylor drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $14.6KWill Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 99.3%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 75.5%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 16%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Alaska State Senate winner?
K 5.7K contractsWho will win the Alaska State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 89.5%
Who will win the Alaska State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the blue slip process be removed?
K 5.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 30%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 63.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 39%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Colorado's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 28.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Amy Klobuchar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 95%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 75.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 15.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Michigan's 8th District margin of victory
K 5.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 2.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 27.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 22.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC