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Showing 3,601-3,648 of 7,089 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiElections
Florida Senate margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 4.0K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1150000?Yes 89%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1220000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana Senate General Election be above 1290000?Yes 72.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 15%-18%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
K 4.0K contractsWill the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Ostrava
PM $10.6KWill Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 95%
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 3.5%
Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Yes 1.9%
+6 more
KalshiPolitics
Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 4.0K contractsWill Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 1.5% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 95%
Will Loblaw Companies Limited report Above 2% food retail same-store sales growth in 2026?Yes 79%
+4 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $10.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 25.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MS-03 House winner?
K 4.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MS-03?Yes 97.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MS-03?Yes 1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 13.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Milton, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.5KWill Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 50.5%
Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 20.5%
Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Global remittances sent in 2026
K 4.0K contractsWill global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 85.5%
Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $550 billion?Yes 70.5%
Will global personal remittances sent in 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 50.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 12.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 27th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 25%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 13.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 24.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
K 4.0K contractsWill the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 95%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 90%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbian presidential election called by...?
PM $10.5KWill Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?Yes 53.9%
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Yes 26%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 Green Presidential nominee
K 4.0K contractsWill Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 28.5%
Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 11.5%
Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 16.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
KY-03 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for KY-03?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for KY-03?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.4KWill Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 62.5%
Will Joel Rowswell win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 36.5%
Will Selva Rasaiah win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?Yes 0.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 62%
Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 22%
Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.4KWill Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 84%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.9%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OK-04 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OK-04?Yes 94.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-04?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?Yes 40%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Tucker Carlson form a third party?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 25.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
California's 21st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 92.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 86.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next DNC Chair?
K 3.9K contractsWill David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 16.5%
Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%
Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 25th District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 69%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CT-02 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CT-02?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CT-02?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-05 House election: John Salvesen vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.9K contractsWill John Salvesen receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 70.5%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 3.9K contractsWill Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill David Jolly receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 95.5%
Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NE-03 House election: Adrian Smith vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Adrian Smith receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 92%
Will Adrian Smith receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 80%
Will Adrian Smith receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois Governor election: JB Pritzker vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill JB Pritzker receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 98%
Will JB Pritzker receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will JB Pritzker receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 28%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hamilton County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Sherrod Brown receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 91.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 82%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 30%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC