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Showing 3,697-3,744 of 8,003 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?
K 5.4K contractsWill Tennessee regulate data center water use?Yes 34.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
PM $13.8KAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Drama Series
K 5.4K contractsWill The Pitt be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 93%
Will Paradise be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 78%
Will The Diplomat be on the list of nominees for Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 17.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
K 5.3K contractsAA Intelligence Index above 65 before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 80%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 72.5%
AA Intelligence Index above 65 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
K 5.3K contracts250 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 97.5%
500 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 72.5%
750 or more locally acquired dengue cases in Florida during 2026Yes 18.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
PM $13.8KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 98%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 26th District margin of victory
K 5.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 26th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.8KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 54.5%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 37.5%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
K 5.3K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 78%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PM $13.8KWill Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

FL-13 House winner?
PM $13.8K · K 47.7K contractsWill the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74%Rules differK Yes 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-13?
Related contracts
PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 25%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AL-05 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AL-05?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-05?Yes 5.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
K 5.3K contractsWill California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member be charged with a fraud crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
PM $13.7KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 45%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 41%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Yes 9.3%
+2 more
KalshiPolitics

FL-01 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-01?Yes 96.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-01?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate winner? (2028)
K 5.3K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 82.5%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percent
K 5.3K contractsWill Cody Whipple receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 90%
Will Cody Whipple receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 79%
Will Cody Whipple receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NV-04 House election?Yes 64%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 51.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-03 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-03?Yes 96.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-03?Yes 2.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TX-14 House winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-14?Yes 95.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-14?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 19?
PM $13.6KWill 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 43.5%
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 33%
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Yes 14.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
K 5.3K contractsWill the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 98.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 97.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
PM $13.6KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?Yes 7.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
K 5.3K contractsWill the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 1 during his second term as President?Yes 68.5%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 2 during his second term as President?Yes 50%
Will the number of articles of impeachment against Donald Trump that the U.S. House of Representatives adopts be at least 3 during his second term as President?Yes 31%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 19.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Vocal Album
K 5.3K contractsGrammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love)Yes 95.5%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.)Yes 63.5%
Grammy nominees for Best Pop Vocal Album? (The Romantic)Yes 50%
+16 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Starlink active subscribers in Q3
K 5.3K contractsWill SpaceX report Above 12.5 million starlink active subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
Will SpaceX report Above 13 million starlink active subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will SpaceX report Above 13.5 million starlink active subscribers in Q3 2026?Yes 93%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?
K 5.3K contractsWill the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44%
Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 35.5%
Will the UK agree to or announce a decision not to transfer sovereignty over Diego Garcia to Mauritius before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 36%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in August 2027
K 5.3K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $2.50 in August 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in August 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $2.00 in August 2027?Yes 50.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
PM $13.5KWill The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 30.5%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 20.6%
Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 18.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Arizona Secretary of State winner?
K 5.3K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 80.5%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Arizona?Yes 17.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 18%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

UT-04 House winner?
K 5.2K contractsWill Republican win the House race for UT-04?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-04?Yes 4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
K 5.2K contractsWill near room-temp Meissner effect be reported by a major peer-reviewed journal?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?Yes 91.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $13.4KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 30%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actress on TV
K 5.2K contractsWill Kate O’Flynn be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 89%
Will Hannah Einbinder be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will Linda Cardellini be on the list of nominees for Best Supporting Actress on TV at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 79.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC