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Showing 337-384 of 648 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
K 2.0K contractsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 95%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 87.5%
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 65%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 19?
PM $3.5KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Cincinnati cumulative Heating Degree Days (Oct 1 - Dec 31, 2026)
K 2.0K contractsHDD at Cincinnati below 1,450.00?Yes 55%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,650.00?Yes 50.5%
HDD at Cincinnati below 1,600.00?Yes 50.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in September 2026
PM $3.4KWill there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 85%
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.3%
+2 more
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 19, 2026?
K 2.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 19?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.9K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7%
Will the minimum temperature be >50° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 20?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
K 1.8K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce the removal or replacement of the Renewables Obligation Certificate buy-out fund redistribution mechanism before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 46%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the termination of the Renewables Obligation scheme for existing accredited generators before their scheduled end dates before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 20%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce the adoption of an inflation index other than CPI for the Renewables Obligation buy-out price before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Which cities face tornado risk on October 18?
PM $3.2KWill San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
K 1.7K contractsWill the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 83%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2034?Yes 79.5%
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 75%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 20?
PM $3.2KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 21%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PM $3.2KWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.7K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 46.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
K 1.7K contractsWill there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 31%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 20?
PM $3.0KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 63-64° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?
PM $3.0KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 20?
PM $3.0KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026?
K 1.5K contractsSnow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 51%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 38.5%
Snow in Pittsburgh in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 33.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 20?Yes 55.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Rene category?
K 1.5K contractsWill Rene become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Rene become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Rene become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on October 18?
PM $2.9KWill the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 18?Yes 95.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be -1°C on October 18?Yes 8.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C on October 18?Yes 5.3%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Trenton on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.5K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 35-36° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 98%
Will the minimum temperature be 29-30° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1%
Will the minimum temperature be >36° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 20?
PM $2.9KWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20?Yes 44.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 20?Yes 43%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 20?Yes 10%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Oct 2026 temperature increase?
K 1.5K contractsOct 2026 temperature increase? (1.30001 or above)Yes 97.5%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.24 to 1.30)Yes 3.5%
Oct 2026 temperature increase? (1.17 to 1.23)Yes 2%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 20?
PM $2.8KWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 20?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 20?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
K 1.4K contractsWill the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 39%
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on October 18?
PM $2.8KWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 18?Yes 51%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 18?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 18?Yes 11%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.4K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48%
Will the minimum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 8.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PM $2.8KWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?Yes 10.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
K 1.3K contractsWhat will the FDA's decision be on Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics in 2026?Yes 72%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 20?
PM $2.8KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?Yes 27.5%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 20?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Alta open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 1.3K contractsWill Alta open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will Alta open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 51%
Will Alta open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 51%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 19?
PM $2.7KWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 19?Yes 36.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19?Yes 27%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 19?Yes 22%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 19, 2026?
K 1.2K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 49%
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 34%
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PM $2.7KAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Trenton on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 45%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 39%
Will the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 3%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
PM $2.7KWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Newark on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will the maximum temperature be >62° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
PM $2.4KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 20?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026?
K 1.1K contractsRain in Miami in Nov 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 83%
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 74%
Rain in Miami in Nov 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 70.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
PM $2.3KWill global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Yes 42%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Houston on Oct 18, 2026?
K 1.1K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 97%
Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Beijing on October 20?
PM $2.3KWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20?Yes 24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20?Yes 20%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC