Economics prediction markets
1,518 economics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
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Showing 337-384 of 1,518 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
K 47.6K contractsWill South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.2 million TEUs?Yes 93.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.3 million TEUs?Yes 87.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.4 million TEUs?Yes 36.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
PM $25.1KWill the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Yes 46.5%
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Yes 21%
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
K 47.1K contractsWill dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.00 Tcf?Yes 97.5%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.25 Tcf?Yes 96.5%
Will dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for 2026 be above 9.50 Tcf?Yes 95%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
PM $25.0KWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Yes 43%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Yes 21%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
PM $24.6KWill the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Yes 24.9%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Yes 24.5%
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?Yes 20%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Alabama gas prices tomorrow
K 46.3K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $3.8900?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8800?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8750?Yes 99.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
PM $24.5KWill the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 60.3%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes 60%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 43.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Virginia gas prices tomorrow
K 45.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.0400?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0500?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0450?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
PM $23.9K · K 6.3K contractsWill Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 14.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year?
K 45.9K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above or below $4.70 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $4.90 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 20%
Will average **gas prices** be above or below $5.10 by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
PM $23.8KWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Yes 39.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Yes 22.5%
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?Yes 17%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
S&P price at year-end?
K 45.4K contractsWill the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 83%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7300 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 79%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?Yes 68%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $23.8KWill Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes 95.8%
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.9%
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be less than $9B at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.8%
+5 more
KalshiEconomics
Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
K 45.1K contractsWill Yellowstone National Park recreation visits in 2026 be above 5 million?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?
PM $23.4KNetflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?Yes 65.5%
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?Yes 28.5%
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026
K 44.9K contractsWill United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 182 million passengers flown in 2026?Yes 95.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
PM $23.0KWill ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Yes 20%
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Yes 17%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
K 44.7K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2027 meeting?Yes 58.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2027 meeting?Yes 29.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their June 2027 meeting?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?
PM $22.6KWill the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?Yes 21%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $515,000 and $519,000 on December 31?Yes 9.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 11, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
K 44.6K contractsWill any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Core PCE MoM - September 2026
PM $22.5KWill Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes 63.5%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Yes 36%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes 3.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
K 44.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Board of Governors does not approve the reappointment of a Federal Reserve Bank president before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How many jobs added in October?
PM $22.3KWill the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Yes 31%
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October?Yes 22.1%
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?Yes 15%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
K 44.0K contractsWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 70%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.49% on Dec 31, 2027?Yes 68.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
PM $22.3KUnited Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Yes 37.5%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Yes 19.5%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?Yes 13.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in December
K 43.7K contractsWill CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?Yes 97.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?Yes 76.5%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?Yes 24.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomics
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
PM $22.3KWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?Yes 56.5%
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Yes 24.5%
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
PM $22.0K · K 6.7K contractsWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.09% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 75.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.05% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 63%Rules differK Yes 74.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.00% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 30.5%Rules differK Yes 28.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2028?
K 43.6K contractsGDP growth in 2028? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 10.5%
GDP growth in 2028? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 10.5%
GDP growth in 2028? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 10%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2029 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New York gas prices tomorrow
K 43.2K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.3900?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3850?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?
PM $21.5KWill OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Yes 41.5%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Yes 29.5%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT?Yes 26.7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Maine lobster landings in 2026
K 43.1K contractsWill Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 55 million pounds?Yes 97.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 60 million pounds?Yes 96.5%
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 65 million pounds?Yes 83.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Core PCE YoY - September 2026
PM $21.0KWill Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Yes 53.5%
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Yes 18.5%
Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
K 42.3K contractsWill the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.66% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.90% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 50%
Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.85% by Oct 30, 2026?Yes 50%
+25 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
PM $20.7KWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?Yes 12.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Yes 12%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
PM $20.3K · K 4.2K contractsWill the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.43% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 79%Rules differK Yes 60.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.40% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 78%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.35% by Oct 30, 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 44%Rules differK Yes 40%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year?
K 42.3K contractsRobert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man by 2027?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
K 42.1K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 21%
Will Mark Zuckerberg be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 18.5%
Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?Yes 9.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2033 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PM $19.7KWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?Yes 72%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel price at year-end 2026
K 41.9K contractsWill AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.00?Yes 98.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.60?Yes 96.5%
Will AAA national average price for diesel on December 31, 2026 be above $4.40?Yes 96.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Meta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PM $19.0KWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 50%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes 40%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes 9.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
K 41.9K contractsUnemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.2%)Yes 39%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.1%)Yes 28.5%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)Yes 20.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
PM $18.6KWill France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes 58%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
K 41.3K contractsWill year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
3rd largest private company end of October?
PM $18.5KWill ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 98.4%
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?Yes 0.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Mississippi cotton production in 2027
K 41.2K contractsWill Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?Yes 92.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?Yes 74.5%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?Yes 62%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PM $18.4KAnthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Yes 76.5%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes 66.5%
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 34%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC