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Showing 3,841-3,888 of 7,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 74.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 62.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
PM $10.4KWill Republicans win the New Hampshire Governor election and Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate election?Yes 84%
Will Republicans sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 11%
Will Democrats sweep the New Hampshire Senate and Governor elections?Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 60000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 80000?Yes 82%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 05 House General Election be above 90000?Yes 62.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.4KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?Yes 28.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 170,000 and 190,000?Yes 22.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?
K 3.8K contractsWill Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment pass?Yes 83%
Will Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment pass?Yes 70%
Will Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment pass?Yes 61.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

South Carolina Governor margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 94.2%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 89.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in South Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 31.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine Governor election: Bobby Charles vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Bobby Charles receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Bobby Charles receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 81.5%
Will Bobby Charles receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?Yes 67%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 23%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Washington Senate winner? (2028)
K 3.8K contractsWill Democratics win the Senate race in Washington?Yes 94.1%
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Washington?Yes 5.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado Governor margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 95.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Colorado be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95.3%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Khamenei # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
PM $10.3KWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 98.3%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 1.3%
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes 0.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-08 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NJ-08?Yes 97.9%
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-08?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner
PM $10.3KWill the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will the Republicans win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes 28.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-07 House election: Scott Collier vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Scott Collier receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 98%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 97%
Will Scott Collier receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-07 House election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Sorell Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.3KWill Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 21%
Will Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux win the next Sorell mayoral election?Yes 1.2%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Angie Nixon receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 96%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 83.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Minnesota Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,900,000 and 3,050,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Florida Senate margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 3.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NJ-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 28.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
PM $10.2K · K 7.0K contractsJair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 72%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Kalshi: Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned before Mar 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61%Rules differK Yes 72%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 24, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

TN-07 House election: Darden Copeland vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Darden Copeland receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 96%
Will Darden Copeland receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-07 House election?Yes 86%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 93.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Lowest temperature in Austin on Oct 19, 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <46° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 1.5%
Will the minimum temperature be >53° on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 0.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PM $10.2KWill the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 67.5%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Will China abolish birth limits?
K 3.8K contractsWill People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 58.5%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40%
Will People's Republic of China agree to or announce the formal abolition of all nationwide numerical limits on the number of children an individual or couple may have before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 26.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PM $10.2KWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Yes 78.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31?Yes 8.5%
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?Yes 5.8%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-13 House election: Brad Knott vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Brad Knott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 82.5%
Will Brad Knott receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-13 House election?Yes 66.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 23.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 19th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 87.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 19th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 78%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 37%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?Yes 11.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?
K 3.8K contractsWill Adam Hamilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas?Yes 38%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 21?
PM $10.1KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?Yes 60.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 21?Yes 5.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?
K 3.8K contractsWill J.D. Vance cast exactly 1 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 36%
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 2 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 3 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Next Mayor of České Budějovice
PM $10.1KWill Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 72%
Will Viktor Lavička be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 8.5%
Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes 2.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas's 35th District margin of victory
K 3.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 32%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 20%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Texas's 35th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 9.3%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
PM $10.1KWill the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54%
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 46.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-01 House election: Margo Ellis vote percent
K 3.8K contractsWill Margo Ellis receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
Will Margo Ellis receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
Will Margo Ellis receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-01 House election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PM $10.1KWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?Yes 97.1%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 3.8K contractsWill Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Žilina Mayoral Election Winner
PM $10.0KWill Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 81.5%
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 13.5%
Will Anton Kozlík win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes 4.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-03 House winner?
K 3.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-03?Yes 96.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-03?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NV-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 14%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Paraguayan Senate election winner?
K 3.8K contractsWho will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (Colorado)Yes 80.5%
Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (PLRA)Yes 15%
Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election? (PEN)Yes 2.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $10.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 20.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC