Browse prediction markets

MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent

Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 96.5%

Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 93.5%

Will Tom Stalcup receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MA-04 House election?Yes 81%

CA-36 House winner?

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-36?Yes 97.8%

Will Republican win the House race for CA-36?Yes 2.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 35.5%

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

PM $11.4K

Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%

Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 18.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiCulture

CMA Awards: Female Vocalist of the Year

PM $11.3K · K 2.5K contracts

Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 75%Rules differK Yes 75.5%

Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 18.8%Rules differK Yes 16%

Will Kacey Musgraves win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Kalshi: Will Kacey Musgraves win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.9%Rules differK Yes 2.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 94.9%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 93%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Mexico be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 87.3%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)

Will Mary Peltola receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 96.5%

Will Mary Peltola receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 93%

Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?Yes 79%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35%

AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.3K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 16.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Missouri's 6th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 96.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 95.9%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 94.8%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 37%

New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.3K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 26%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 19%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent

Will David Jolly receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will David Jolly receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will David Jolly receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 17%

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?Yes 25.5%

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 31.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.7%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.1%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in North Dakota?

Will Constitutional Measure 2 pass?Yes 57.5%

Will Constitutional Measure 1 pass?Yes 17%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

SC-05 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

OR-05 House election: Patti Adair vote percent

Will Patti Adair receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 94.5%

Will Patti Adair receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 87.5%

Will Patti Adair receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 OR-05 House election?Yes 75.5%

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%

Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%

Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?

Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?Yes 4%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?

Will Democrats win 7 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 16%

Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 15%

Will Democrats win 8 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida?Yes 12.5%

IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 35.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%

Connecticut Governor margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 93.4%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 86.8%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 75%

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 76%

Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Meta family daily active people in 2026

Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.66 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 91%

Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.68 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 79%

Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.7 billion family daily active people in 2026?Yes 71%

+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 80%-85%?Yes 29.3%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 25.7%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 19.5%

Pennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Will Josh Shapiro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?Yes 97%

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 60.5%

Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 26.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Victorian state election winner?

Will Liberals and Nationals win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 72.5%

Will Australian Labor Party win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 15.5%

Will One Nation win the 2026 Victorian state election?Yes 11.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC

VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Yes 40.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%

Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 91.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?Yes 89.9%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 80.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.7%

TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $11.0K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 27%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%

TX-22 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for TX-22?Yes 94.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-22?Yes 4.6%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 57.5%

Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout

PM $11.0K

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?Yes 18.5%

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 15%

+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Kamloops mayoral election winner?

Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 61%

Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 42%

Will Ray Dhaliwal win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes 41%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC