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Showing 3,985-4,032 of 7,539 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

NC-05 House election: Virginia Foxx vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Virginia Foxx receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 90.5%
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 76.5%
Will Virginia Foxx receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $9.0KWill Obafemi Hamzat win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Yes 81.5%
Will Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Yes 9%
Will Laja Adeoye win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?Yes 5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026
K 3.5K contractsWill Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.8 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 10.6 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Philip Morris International Inc report Above 11 billion zyn u.s. shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026?Yes 94.5%
+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Košice Region Governor Election Winner
PM $9.0KWill Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes 64.5%
Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes 20.5%
Will Igor Šimko win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes 12.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
K 3.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 89.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 78.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 4th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 66.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.5K contractsWill Mike Johnson receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 68.5%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 59.5%
Will Mike Johnson receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election?Yes 50%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner
PM $8.9KWill the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will the Republicans win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Chris Jones receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 97%
Will Chris Jones receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Chris Jones receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-02 House election?Yes 90.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PM $8.9KWill the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes 66.5%
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MD-02 House election: Dave Wallace vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Dave Wallace receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Dave Wallace receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
PM $8.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?Yes 35.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,950,000 and 3,100,000?Yes 15%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
K 3.5K contractsWill the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trnava Region Governor Election Winner
PM $8.8KWill Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 6.5%
Will József Berényi win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnout
K 3.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 133000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 141000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Rhode Island 01 House General Election be above 149000?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in NYC on October 21?
PM $8.7KWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 21?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 21?Yes 33%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 21?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Ekstraklasa Champion
K 3.5K contractsWill Gornik Zabrze win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 41.5%
Will Wisla Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38.5%
Will Wieczysta Krakow win the Ekstraklasa?Yes 38.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jun 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout
PM $8.7KWill voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 36.5%
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 26%
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 19%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 3.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 280000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 320000?Yes 71.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Delaware Senate General Election be above 350000?Yes 52%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
PM $8.7KWill Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Yes 53%
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Jay Feely receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jay Feely receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jay Feely receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 AZ-01 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

State of Mexico Congress Election Winner
PM $8.7KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 90.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 6.5%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 1.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York State Senate winner?
K 3.5K contractsWho will win the New York Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the New York Senate? (Republican party)Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?
PM $8.7KTalarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2?Yes 20.5%
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2?Yes 18.5%
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?Yes 18%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-12 House winner?
K 3.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NY-12?Yes 98.7%
Will Republican win the House race for NY-12?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-10 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 41.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Byron Donalds receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Byron Donalds receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election?Yes 89.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 37.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Franklin County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
K 3.5K contractsWill Sherrod Brown receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?Yes 95%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?Yes 85.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Franklin County, Ohio?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?
PM $8.6KWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
K 3.4K contractsWill Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?Yes 24.5%
1 mktNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 21?
PM $8.6KWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 21?Yes 53%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 21?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?Yes 18.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Pennsylvania's 17th District margin of victory
K 3.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 91.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
PM $8.6KWill Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 14.5%
Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 8.1%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
K 3.4K contractsWill any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?Yes 18.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 30, 2036 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.6KWill Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 72.5%
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 15%
Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 7.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.6K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NY-26 House election: Tim Kennedy vote percent
K 3.4K contractsWill Tim Kennedy receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Tim Kennedy receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Tim Kennedy receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-26 House election?Yes 70.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

DCCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 3.4K contractsWill the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $60M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 58.5%
Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $50M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $45M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
PM $8.5KHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

WV-01 House winner?
K 3.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for WV-01?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for WV-01?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate

Hurricane Paulette category?
K 3.4K contractsWill Paulette become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 7.5%
Will Paulette become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 6.5%
Will Paulette become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 28.5%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 27%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?
K 3.4K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Secretary of State election in Wisconsin?Yes 77%
Will the Republican party win the Secretary of State election in Wisconsin?Yes 23%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PM $8.5KWill Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Yes 14.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Yes 9.8%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Yes 6.1%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
K 3.4K contractsWill Chuck Schumer announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Brian Schatz announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Chris Murphy announce a run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate

Highest temperature in Austin on October 20?
PM $8.4KWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 50.5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 7%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC