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Showing 1-48 of 269 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
K 2.09M contractsWho will IPO before 2027? (Anthropic)Yes 71%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Discord)Yes 10.5%
Who will IPO before 2027? (Skims)Yes 6.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
K 1.51M contractsWill it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?Yes 3.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
K 1.26M contractsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 85.5%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Mar 1, 2027)Yes 83%
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Feb 1, 2027)Yes 73.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
K 1.16M contractsWhich AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 74%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 15.5%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Google)Yes 3.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
K 1.10M contractsWill any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Yes 31%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?Yes 24%
Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Yes 20.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
K 510.6K contractsWhen will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 52%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 46%
When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 29.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
K 420.5K contractsWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 93%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
K 376.3K contractsWill Boeing Company (The) report Above 560 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 580 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 600 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026?Yes 93.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contractsWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
K 242.0K contractsWhen will Starlink IPO? (Before Jun 30, 2027)Yes 5.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 4.5%
When will Starlink IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 4%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
K 218.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 98%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.2 million funded customers in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
K 191.8K contractsWhich company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Amazon)Yes 13%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Netflix)Yes 9%
Which company will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series to the public? (Disney)Yes 4.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
K 181.3K contractsWill quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?Yes 32.6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will any company achieve AGI?
K 180.2K contractsWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 81.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 77.5%
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 77.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
American Express cards-in-force in Q3
K 179.7K contractsWill American Express Company report Above 154.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will American Express Company report Above 155.5 million cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 13, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
K 167.5K contractsWill Tesla Inc report above 0 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 83%
Will Tesla Inc report above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 29.5%
Will Tesla Inc report above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced before Jan 2027?Yes 13%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
K 131.8K contractsWill Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $50 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $55 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above $60 billion event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026?Yes 61.5%
+8 moreNext deadline May 12, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
K 126.2K contractsWill Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7%
Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
K 116.1K contractsWill OpenAI change its CEO?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
K 106.9K contractsWill a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 41%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 40%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 24%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will be the next CEO of X?
K 103.1K contractsWho will be the next CEO of X? (Elon Musk)Yes 8.5%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Nikita Bier)Yes 3%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Mahmoud Reza Banki)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCompanies
Which companies will be acquired this year?
PM $4.9K · K 102.4K contractsOpenAI acquired before 2027?
Kalshi: Will any company announce acquisition of OpenAI before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3
K 93.5K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 71.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
K 92.9K contractsMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
K 91.0K contractsWhen will Anduril IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 18.5%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 18%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starbucks total global stores in 2026
K 89.6K contractsWill Starbucks Corporation report Above 41300 total global stores in 2026?Yes 94%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41400 total global stores in 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 41500 total global stores in 2026?Yes 72.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3
K 74.5K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above $205 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $200 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $195 average passenger fare in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
K 72.9K contractsWhen will JUUL release Mint to the public?Yes 10%
When will JUUL release Mango to the public?Yes 6.5%
When will JUUL release Crème Brûlée to the public?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
K 68.4K contractsWill Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 91%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla total deliveries in 2026
K 64.4K contractsWill Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 98%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.5 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.6 million total deliveries in 2026?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
K 63.4K contractsWill the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
K 61.3K contractsMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?Yes 42.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
K 60.8K contractsDOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?Yes 28%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
K 57.4K contractsWill Ford Motor Company report Above 1.95 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 1.9 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Ford Motor Company report Above 1.85 million u.s. vehicle sales volume in 2026?Yes 97.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026
K 57.3K contractsWill eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 95%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $84.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 88%
Will eBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 85.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
K 57.0K contractsWhen will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Oct 1, 2027)Yes 89.5%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 82%
When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO? (Before Jul 1, 2027)Yes 81%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
K 56.8K contractsWill the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?Yes 86%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?Yes 73%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Sep 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?
K 56.0K contractsWill Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 87%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 76%
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 76%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?
K 55.3K contractsWill any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027
K 53.9K contractsWill timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 160 million board feet?Yes 95%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 180 million board feet?Yes 84.5%
Will timber volume harvested from Board of Forestry Lands in 2027 be above 200 million board feet?Yes 44.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 50.6K contractsWhat will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Bedrock)Yes 97%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Prime Day)Yes 93%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 86%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
K 48.9K contractsWill Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 84%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
K 47.8K contractsWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC