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Showing 2,161-2,208 of 7,383 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
K 11.3K contractsWill the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 3%?Yes 88%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 4%?Yes 87.5%
Will the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 be above 6%?Yes 87%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-11 House Election Winner
PM $29.5KWill the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes 96.9%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
K 11.3K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 75%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 12th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?
PM $29.4KWill Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Yes 21.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
GA-09 House winner?
K 11.3K contractsWill Republican win the House race for GA-09?Yes 95.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Mayor of Buffalo City (East London)?
PM $29.4KWill Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Yes 72%
Will Ncedo Kumbaca be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Yes 11%
Will Yomelela Tyali be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Yes 8.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan presidential election winner?
K 11.2K contractsWho will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (William Lai)Yes 74.5%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Cheng Li-wun)Yes 10.5%
Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou)Yes 4.3%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 30, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PM $29.4KWill there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes 11.4%
Will Maurizio Massari be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Yes 11.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 11.2K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 3800000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4100000?Yes 90.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Michigan Senate General Election be above 4400000?Yes 81%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PM $29.4KTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes 86%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-47 House winner?
PM $29.3K · K 7.4K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-47?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96%Rules differK Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-47?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 3.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?
K 11.2K contractsWill Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 6 and 9 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 36.5%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 31%
Will Greg Abbott's governor margin minus Ken Paxton's Senate margin be between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Apr 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?
K 11.2K contractsWill BC Conservatives be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 53%
Will BC NDP be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 28%
Will BC Greens be a part of the next government in British Columbia?Yes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-04 House Election Winner
PM $29.2KWill the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes 86.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes 13.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actress
K 11.2K contractsWill Julianne Moore be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Inde Navarrette be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 79.5%
Will Ruth Madeley be on the list of nominees for Best Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 69%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
PM $29.1KWill José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 82%
Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 10.4%
Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.2K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 97.4%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 4th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 95%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-32 House Election Winner
PM $29.1KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Tennessee's 4th District margin of victory
K 11.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 95%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Tennessee's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 82%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
PM $29.1KWill Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes 66%
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes 32.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats win in California?
PM $29.0K · K 27.0K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
Related contracts
PM Yes 78%Rules differK Yes 75%
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 47 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
Related contracts
PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 12%
Will Democrats win exactly 46 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
Kalshi: Will Democrats win exactly 46 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.9%Rules differK Yes 1.8%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?
K 11.1K contractsWho will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Thune)Yes 51%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (Chuck Schumer)Yes 35%
Who will win the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress? (John Barrasso)Yes 11%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Cinematography
K 11.1K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92.5%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 80.5%
Will Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 77.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PM $28.9KWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 27.5%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 24.9%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes 16.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
K 11.1K contractsWill Giorgia Meloni become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 30%
Will Elly Schlein become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 24%
Will Giuseppe Conte become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 22, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
PM $28.9KWill Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?Yes 6%
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
K 11.1K contractsWill Seth Bodnar receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 98%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Seth Bodnar receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 96.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
WA-08 House Election Winner
PM $28.9KWill the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 97.4%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
K 11.1K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Rein Me In (with Olivia Dean))Yes 57%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Dracula (with JENNIE))Yes 57%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance? (Bring Your Love)Yes 57%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $28.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-17 House election: Effie Phillips-Staley vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2.5%
Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2%
Will Effie Phillips-Staley receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?Yes 2%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Campeche Governor Election Winner
PM $28.8KWill Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 67%
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 20.3%
Will Carlos Ucán Yam win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes 0.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major in 2027
K 11.0K contractsWill Scottie Scheffler win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 57.5%
Will Rory McIlroy win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 43%
Will Ludvig Aberg win a golf major championship in 2027?Yes 27%
+109 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?
PM $28.7KWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Yes 83.5%
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Yes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Bank of England rate decision in December
K 11.0K contractsWill the Bank of England Maintain current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 51.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 30.5%
Will the Bank of England Hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
PM $28.7KWill the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
K 11.0K contractsWill the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 64.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?
PM $28.7KNo-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Dakota Governor election: Larry Rhoden vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Larry Rhoden receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
Will Larry Rhoden receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 85.5%
Will Larry Rhoden receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?Yes 73.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?
PM $28.7KWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 29.3%
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Las Vegas Pro Basketball Expansion Franchise Price
K 11.0K contractsLas Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise price above $8 billionYes 66%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise price above $10 billionYes 52.5%
Las Vegas Pro Basketball expansion franchise price above $9 billionYes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Harris County Judge Election Winner
PM $28.7KWill Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes 90.5%
Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Yes 9.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent
K 11.0K contractsWill Mark Alford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 98%
Will Mark Alford receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Mark Alford receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 97.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
PM $28.6KIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?Yes 95.8%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CO-01 House election: Critter Milton vote percent
K 10.9K contractsWill Critter Milton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 36.5%
Will Critter Milton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 14.5%
Will Critter Milton receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-01 House election?Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cusco Mayoral Election Winner
PM $28.5KWill Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 72.9%
Will Sergio Sullca Condori win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 7.3%
Will Federico Huamán Tapara win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Yes 5.2%
+11 more
KalshiPolitics
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
K 10.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 18%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-10 House Election Winner
PM $28.5KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?Yes 4.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC