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Showing 433-480 of 2,101 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEntertainment
Jimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?
K 55.5K contractsWill Jimmy Kimmel get fired?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $47.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.7%
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
When will Manon leave Katseye?
K 55.5K contractsWill Manon leave Katseye before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 64%
Will Manon leave Katseye before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 59%
Will Manon leave Katseye before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 31.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $46.6KWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 55.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 26.5%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 9.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: October
K 55.3K contractsWill Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 2%
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
PM $45.8KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
X-Men: Cast
K 54.8K contractsWill Lady Gaga be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?Yes 59.5%
Will Patrick Stewart be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?Yes 55.5%
Will Sophie Turner be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?Yes 54.5%
+26 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
PM $45.8KWill The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 72%
Will All of a Sudden win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 5.2%
Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
K 54.6K contractsManned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner
PM $45.6KWill Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 65.5%
Will Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 14.5%
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 8.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
PM $45.2K · K 3.8K contractsWill Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
K 54.6K contractsWill Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes 3.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Next Gemini Pro model release
K 54.3K contractsWill Google release next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 16, 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PM $45.0KUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Comedy Series
K 53.8K contractsWill Widow’s Bay win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 70.5%
Will Hacks win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 4.5%
Will Ted win Best Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 3.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?
PM $44.9KNext OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 32.5%
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 15%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December
K 53.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in December 2026?Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
#3 Spotify Artist 2026
PM $44.7KWill Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes 19%
Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes 1.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Top US Spotify Song 2026
PM $44.7KWill "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Yes 90.1%
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the top song in the US for 2026?Yes 0.4%
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song in the US for 2026?Yes 0.4%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 53.0K contractsWill Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Ashley Graham be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 97%
Will Adriana Lima be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 95%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
PM $44.6KAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Yes 61%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?
K 52.8K contractsWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 99.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 0.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 0.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026
PM $44.5KWill Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes 54.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?
K 52.3K contractsWill Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year?Yes 46.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?
PM $43.7KWill Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes 84.5%
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes 84%
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes 51.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
PM $43.7KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 80.7%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.8%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
The Cat in the Hat · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 51.5K contractsThe Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 82.5%
The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 68.5%
The Cat in the Hat Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 65.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
PM $42.9KWill Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 56.5%
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 18.6%
Will Obsession win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 6.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will release a new song this year?
K 51.2K contractsWill Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PM $42.9KWill Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 2.9%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 2.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 50.9K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 174T tokens?Yes 11%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 7.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 172T tokens?Yes 6%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PM $42.4KUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Odd Mob Streams in 2026
K 50.8K contractsWill Odd Mob have 95000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Odd Mob have 90000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Odd Mob have 100000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 79.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
PM $41.2KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.3%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 1%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
K 50.8K contractsWill Florence Pugh win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 57.5%
Will Sally Field win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 25.5%
Will Carey Mulligan win Best Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 4.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
PM $41.0KWill The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 50%
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 22%
Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 21.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Amazon headcount in 2026
K 50.8K contractsWill Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PM $40.9KAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PM $40.4KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.9%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.6%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Critics Choice Awards: Best Production Design
K 49.7K contractsWill The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 15%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 13%
Will La Bola Negra win Best Production Design at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026
PM $40.0KWill Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 73%
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes 37%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
K 49.5K contractsWill Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.05 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.15 million TEUs?Yes 85.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.25 million TEUs?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Eurovision 2027 Participants
PM $39.9KWill North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes 98.8%
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes 96.9%
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes 96.8%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
PM $39.5KWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Yes 10.5%
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC