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Showing 529-576 of 1,718 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Canadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
K 30.8K contractsWill the decline in Canadian-resident return trips from the United States for 2026 be above 20%?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd richest person on December 31?
PM $28.1KWill Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 40.9%
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 34.6%
Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 27.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
K 30.3K contractsWill there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will there be more than 160 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 82%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PM $28.0KWill there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 97.4%
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 89%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
K 30.2K contractsWill Kentucky private employment in Distilleries (NAICS 312140) for June 2026 be above 7,542 jobs?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PM $27.4KTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes 85%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?
K 29.9K contractsWhere will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Los Angeles Galaxy)Yes 22.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Sporting CP)Yes 14.5%
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next? (Wydad Casablanca)Yes 12%
+8 moreNext deadline Sep 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
PM $27.3KChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?Yes 31%
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Achievement in Casting
K 29.8K contracts2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Black Ball)Yes 84.5%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (The Odyssey)Yes 81.5%
2027 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 79.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
PM $27.3KWill there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 78.5%
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 1.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 29.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in February 2027?Yes 61%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in February 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in February 2027?Yes 51%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
PM $27.2KWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes 30.5%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes 11.5%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 62%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?
PM $26.9KWill Sydney Sweeney be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 21.1%
Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 19%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 18.9%
+43 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?
K 29.2K contractsWill Taylor Swift be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Drake be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 16%
Will Bad Bunny be the #3 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
PM $26.3KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 61%
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 2.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in October
K 29.0K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in October 2026?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in February 2027
K 28.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in February 2027?Yes 51%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.50 in February 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.25 in February 2027?Yes 49.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?
PM $25.9KNext DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes 14%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 28.6K contractsAbove 300000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 285000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 99.5%
Above 325000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
PM $25.8KWill SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes 95.3%
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes 95.2%
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes 66.6%
+5 more
KalshiScience and Technology
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
K 28.4K contractsWill humans colonize Mars before 2050?Yes 28.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
PM $25.5KNext Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 50.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October
K 28.4K contractsWill Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 87 ?Yes 96.5%
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 89 ?Yes 91.5%
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 90 ?Yes 82.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $25.5KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 12.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Team Sacks
K 28.0K contractsIndianapolis: 4+ sacksYes 50%
Indianapolis: 5+ sacksYes 40.5%
Indianapolis: 2+ sacksYes 37.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026
PM $25.2KWill A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Yes 53%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
New main Fast & Furious film officially announced in 2026?
K 27.9K contractsWill a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026
PM $24.7KWill The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes 70.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
K 27.8K contractsWill President of France be the first to leave office?Yes 70%
Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?Yes 18.5%
Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?Yes 9.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC
PolymarketTech
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
PM $24.6KWill GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Yes 59.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes 22.5%
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?Yes 15.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
K 27.8K contractsWIll Elon Musk make a Bluesky account before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $24.6KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 22.5%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 21%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 17.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Fantasy Points
K 27.7K contractsJonathan Taylor: Over 22.9 fantasy pointsYes 53.5%
Keenan Allen: Over 8.6 fantasy pointsYes 50.5%
Tony Pollard: Over 10.6 fantasy pointsYes 45.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026
PM $23.9KWill Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 85%
Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 54.5%
Will Zendaya rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?
K 27.3K contractsWill OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 87.5%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 10%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
PM $23.7KUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Yes 0.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast?
K 27.3K contractsWill Elon Musk be cast in the next Superman?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
PM $23.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 26%
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.8%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.1K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?
PM $22.9KWill OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes 7.8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
K 27.1K contractsWill Anthropic be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 92.5%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 3%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
PM $22.8KWill OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 62.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 22%
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes 1.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which central banks will hike before 2027?
K 26.9K contractsWill the Bank of England raise the Bank Rate before 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will the Bank of Canada raise its target for the overnight rate before 2027?Yes 73%
Will the Riksbank raise its policy rate before 2027?Yes 51.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
PM $22.7KWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Yes 52%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?Yes 5.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 3 Finishers
K 26.6K contractsCup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 3Yes 57.5%
Cup Series: Christopher Bell to finish in the top 3Yes 42.5%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 3Yes 34.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $22.5KWill MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 13%
Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC