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Showing 625-672 of 1,704 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiCompanies
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
K 18.4K contractsWill Mizuho take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 91%
Will Allen & Company take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 55.5%
Will William Blair take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 44.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?
PM $15.4KWill Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 91%
Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 10.7%
Will HDFC Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes 5.1%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
K 18.3K contractsWill a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
PM $15.2KWill the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?Yes 38.5%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?Yes 31%
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 5% to 19.99%?Yes 19.5%
+2 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H200 · Average hourly price in March 2027
K 18.2K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in March 2027?Yes 68%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in March 2027?Yes 62%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in March 2027?Yes 57%
+8 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 18?
PM $15.2KWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 18?Yes 50.5%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 18?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 18?Yes 19%
+8 more
KalshiTech
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?
K 17.9K contractsRain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 80.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 16.5%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 7.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
AWS service disrupted by...?
PM $15.0KAWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes 37%
AWS service disrupted by November 30?Yes 35.5%
AWS service disrupted by September 30?Yes 14%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 17.7K contractsAbove 7000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 94%
Above 8000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 89.5%
Above 9000 tuberculosis disease cases in the United States during 2026Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
PM $14.9KWill Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Yes 46.5%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Yes 44.5%
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in June 2027
K 17.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $1.00 in June 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in June 2027?Yes 50%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in June 2027?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.9KWill Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 51.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
K 17.5K contractsWill Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 19?
PM $14.6KWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19?Yes 71.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 19?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee?
K 17.4K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 96.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 95.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tallahassee originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 95.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
UFC: Who Will Manel Kape Fight Next?
PM $14.4KWill Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Yes 92%
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Yes 5.5%
Will Manel Kape fight Tatsuro Taira next?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
K 17.0K contractsWill A full-length film adaptation of The Odyssey made using Grok Imagine and officially released by Grok or an official account controlled by Elon Musk, pursuant to Elon Musk’s July 22, 2026 announcement be released before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 26%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 7.8%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
US solar capacity installed in 2026
K 16.7K contractsWill at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 92.3%
Will at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?Yes 71.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $14.4KWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.4%
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
K 16.7K contractsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
PM $14.2KWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?
K 16.7K contractsWill any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will any LLM score at least 65% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 71%
Will any LLM score at least 70% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 56%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.2KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing + Receiving Yards
K 16.7K contractsBucky Irving: 55+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 88%
Bucky Irving: 80+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 57%
Jaylen Warren: 65+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 56%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.0KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 54%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Yes 29%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Fantasy Points
K 16.6K contractsTetairoa McMillan: Over 13.4 fantasy pointsYes 62.5%
Dameon Pierce: Over 9.1 fantasy pointsYes 56.5%
Dallas Goedert: Over 10.4 fantasy pointsYes 53.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Madrid on October 19?
PM $14.0KWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?Yes 42.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
K 16.6K contractsWill Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?Yes 56%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $13.9KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 33%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.8%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
K 16.5K contractsWill the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $13.6KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.8%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 18.4%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience
Big Ten: Receiving Yards Leader
K 16.5K contractsJeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 73%
KJ Duff records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 30.5%
Nick Marsh records the most receiving yards in the Big TenYes 3%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Busan on October 19?
PM $13.5KWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 19?Yes 36%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 16.3K contractsWill KATSEYE have above 12M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 11M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will KATSEYE have above 13M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 95%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best AI model on October 26?
PM $13.4KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 0.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in October
K 16.0K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.25 in October 2026?Yes 98%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.50 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in October 2026?Yes 97.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $13.3KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 29%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes: #1 search
K 15.9K contractsWill Erling Haaland be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 48%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 8%
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Athletes list?Yes 5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $13.3KWill Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 99.4%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 82.5%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Stolen Bases
K 15.9K contractsChandler Simpson: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 22.5%
José Ramírez: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 20.5%
Taylor Walls: 1+ stolen bases?Yes 14.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
PM $13.2KSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 18, 2026?
K 15.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 51%
Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 21.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?
PM $13.2KWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 15%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Next pandemic
K 15.7K contractsPandemic by Dec 31, 2029?Yes 21%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?Yes 18%
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PM $13.2KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 74%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 20.3%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 4.9%
+15 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
K 15.6K contractsWill above 3 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 94%
Will above 4 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will above 8 Starship launches reach space in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
PM $13.2KWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC