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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 865-912 of 2,547 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Will North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY?
K 27.4K contractsWill North Dakota’s field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 421.101 million barrels?Yes 53.5%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
AWS service disrupted by...?
PM $15.1KAWS service disrupted by November 30?Yes 51%
AWS service disrupted by October 31?Yes 40%
AWS service disrupted by September 30?Yes 14%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?
K 27.3K contractsWill OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 87.5%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 9.5%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
What will be in the UK Budget?
PM $15.0KWill the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?Yes 28.5%
Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?Yes 11%
Will the UK Budget include a wealth tax?Yes 3.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Next Superman film: Will Elon Musk be cast?
K 27.3K contractsWill Elon Musk be cast in the next Superman?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
PM $14.9KWill Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Yes 46.5%
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Yes 44.5%
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?Yes 9%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?
K 27.3K contractsWill Connecticut’s annual average employment in Insurance Carriers and Related Activities for 2026 be above 54,600 employees?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
PM $14.9KWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.5%
Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Yes 0.4%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 27.2K contractsWill Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -12% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 81%
Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -11% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 72%
Will Lululemon Athletica Inc report Above -10% americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 64%
+14 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.9KWill Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 66%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Yes 58.5%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 58%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
K 27.2K contractsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before 2028)Yes 51.5%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before March 2027)Yes 12%
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron? (Before February 2027)Yes 6.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
PM $14.7KWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?Yes 30.5%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?Yes 27%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?Yes 18%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to?
K 27.1K contractsWill Anthropic be assigned to Information Technology?Yes 91.5%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Unassigned?Yes 3%
Will Anthropic be assigned to Communication Services?Yes 2.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
PM $14.7KWill USD/CAD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?Yes 53%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?Yes 49%
Will USD/CAD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?Yes 48%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 27.1K contractsWill Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -4% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -3% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited report Above -2% canadian tire store comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
UFC: Who Will Manel Kape Fight Next?
PM $14.4KWill Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Yes 92%
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Yes 5.5%
Will Manel Kape fight Tatsuro Taira next?Yes 3.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nebraska gas prices tomorrow
K 27.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2300?Yes 99.5%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?Yes 99.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.4KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 8%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2029?
K 26.9K contractsGDP growth in 2029? (2.1% to 2.5%)Yes 17.5%
GDP growth in 2029? (1.6% to 2.0%)Yes 11.5%
GDP growth in 2029? (2.6% to 3.0%)Yes 10.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Feb 28, 2030 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
October Unemployment Rate
PM $14.3KWill the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes 40%
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes 32%
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which central banks will hike before 2027?
K 26.9K contractsWill the Bank of England raise the Bank Rate before 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will the Bank of Canada raise its target for the overnight rate before 2027?Yes 73.5%
Will the Riksbank raise its policy rate before 2027?Yes 52.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
PM $14.2KWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 19%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Sweden rate decision in November
K 26.8K contractsWill Sveriges Riksbank hike 1-25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 56%
Will Sveriges Riksbank hike more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 47.5%
Will Sveriges Riksbank cut more than 25bps at the November monetary policy meeting?Yes 47.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.2KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 36%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
K 26.7K contractsWill Trump bring back manufacturing?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.1KWill GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?Yes 51%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Yes 25%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Chile rate decision in October
PM $14.1K · K 31.4K contractsWill the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.5%Rules differK Yes 97.5%
Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 1%
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Central Bank of Chile cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 26.6K contractsMoonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.9%Yes 99%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 6.0%Yes 54.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 12.8%Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in December
K 26.5K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $5.00 in December 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's B200 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $14.1KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 28%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 27.4%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
PM $14.0K · K 6.0K contractsWill the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.89% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.89% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 90.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.86% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.86% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 80%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October?
Kalshi: Will the 5-year U.S. Treasury yield be below 4.83% in Oct 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 61.5%Rules differK Yes 70%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?
K 26.2K contractsWill the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000 before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 86.5%
Will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000 before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Hamdi Streams in 2026
K 26.2K contractsWill Hamdi have 27500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 80%
Will Hamdi have 52500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 54%
Will Hamdi have 47500000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?Yes 52%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 5, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
October Inflation US - Monthly
PM $14.0KWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Yes 35%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Yes 24.5%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Yes 18.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?
K 26.0K contractsWho will dissent at the October 2026 FOMC meeting? (Beth Hammack)Yes 75%
Who will dissent at the October 2026 FOMC meeting? (Lorie Logan)Yes 47.5%
Who will dissent at the October 2026 FOMC meeting? (Neel Kashkari)Yes 36%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026
PM $13.9KWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?Yes 26%
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?Yes 23%
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?Yes 21%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Minnesota gas prices tomorrow
K 26.0K contractsWill average **gas prices** be above $4.2300?Yes 99%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2250?Yes 98%
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2500?Yes 97.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?
PM $13.7KWill SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $140 in October?Yes 81%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $145 in October?Yes 76.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Yes 75.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
K 25.4K contractsWill the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.45% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.47% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+42 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $13.7KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 34.8%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 16.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?
K 25.4K contractsWill Missouri’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 be above 280,500 jobs?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $13.5KWill Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 96.9%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 79%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 13%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
K 25.3K contractsTop coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (ChatGPT)Yes 42.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (Claude)Yes 41.5%
Top coding AI on October 31, 2026 (DeepSWE)? (DeepSeek)Yes 37.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best AI model on October 26?
PM $13.4KWill gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 73.5%
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes 0.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Core CPI in October (exact value)
K 25.2K contractsCPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? (Exactly 0.2%)Yes 32.5%
CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? (Exactly 0.3%)Yes 31.5%
CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? (Exactly 0.1%)Yes 14%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $13.3KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 29%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Yes 16%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?
K 25.2K contractsWho will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Olivia Dean)Yes 3.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Doja Cat)Yes 3.5%
Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026? (Cardi B)Yes 3.5%
+128 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
PM $13.2KSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC