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Showing 1,489-1,536 of 1,616 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
K 209.24 contractsWill Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $24,000?Yes 95.5%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $25,000?Yes 95%
Will Used Avg. Transaction Prices (ATPs) for December 2026 be above $26,000?Yes 88%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
K 207.32 contractsWill the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 275 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 94.5%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 300 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 90%
Will the NYC Department of Homeless Services’ average length of stay for single adults in shelter in the full-fiscal Mayor’s Management Report be above 325 days for Fiscal Year 2027 (July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027)?Yes 85%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
K 207 contractsWill it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 58%
Will it be reported by a Source Agency that NHS England, the UK government, or another legally authorized contracting entity formally decides to end the NHS Federated Data Platform and Associated Services agreement as a whole with the Palantir-led supplier, either by exercising a break or termination right or by declining the next contractual extension before Feb 15, 2027?Yes 54%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
K 204 contractsWill the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.00%?Yes 98%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.25%?Yes 96.5%
Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 6.50%?Yes 96%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2026
K 200 contractsWill Cloudflare Inc. report Above 5150 paying customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Cloudflare Inc. report Above 5200 paying customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will Cloudflare Inc. report Above 5250 paying customers with over $100k arr in fiscal 2026?Yes 70%
+5 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Rideshare app downloads array index in October 2026
K 200 contractsWill Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 110?Yes 50.5%
Will Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 115?Yes 50.4%
Will Rideshare app downloads array index for October 2026 be above 95?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 15, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?
K 200 contractsWill a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
K 170.62 contractsWill any federal court rule rules that Visa Inc. violated Section 1 or Section 2 of the Sherman Act on any claim for relief asserted by the United States?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiSports
US unemployment rate at year-end 2032
K 155 contractsWill the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 be above 3.0%?Yes 91%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 be above 3.5%?Yes 81%
Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 be above 4.0%?Yes 75%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 14, 2033 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Colorado ski-area visits increase YoY during 2026–27?
K 154.82 contractsWill Colorado statewide skier visits for the 2026–27 ski season be above 10.5 million skier visits?Yes 93.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jun 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Dallas vs Green Bay: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
K 150.04 contractsJordan Love: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 90.5%
Dak Prescott: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 89%
Jordan Love: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 64.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 148.78 contractsLaquon Treadwell: 15+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
Jonathan Taylor: 20+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
Josh Downs: 15+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
+84 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 141.88 contractsBucky Irving: 15+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
DK Metcalf: 40+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 62%
DK Metcalf: 25+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 58%
+80 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
New England vs Chicago: Touchdowns
K 139.39 contractsCHI Bears D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 10.5%
NE Patriots D/ST: 1+ touchdownsYes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
ACC: Passing Touchdowns Leader
K 135.29 contractsSteve Angeli records the most passing touchdowns in the ACCYes 48.5%
Lincoln Kienholz records the most passing touchdowns in the ACCYes 47%
Darian Mensah records the most passing touchdowns in the ACCYes 37%
+20 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
K 134 contractsWill Scott Bessent announce their departure as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 54%
Will Scott Bessent announce their departure as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 51.5%
Will Scott Bessent announce their departure as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 51%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
K 126.09 contractsWill the U.S. two-month net payroll revision in the report covering October 2026 be above -50,000?Yes 50%
Will the U.S. two-month net payroll revision in the report covering October 2026 be above 50,000?Yes 50%
Will the U.S. two-month net payroll revision in the report covering October 2026 be above -100,000?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
K 121.25 contractsWill maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be below 15%?Yes 75%
Will maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be at least 15%?Yes 25%
2 mktsNext deadline Apr 26, 2034 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Receptions Ladder
K 120.83 contractsDK Metcalf Receptions LadderYes 59.5%
Emeka Egbuka Receptions LadderYes 52.5%
Jaylen Warren Receptions LadderYes 49%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Avocado advertised prices this week
K 119.26 contractsWill “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for October 23, 2026 be above $0.70?Yes 97%
Will “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for October 23, 2026 be above $0.80?Yes 95%
Will “This Week” weighted average advertised price for Avocados, Hass, each, for October 23, 2026 be above $0.90?Yes 80.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Washington vs San Francisco: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
K 114.67 contractsBrock Purdy: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 91%
Jayden Daniels: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 77%
Brock Purdy: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Venture Global LNG volumes in fiscal 2026
K 107.29 contractsWill Venture Global, Inc. report Above 1780 tbtu lng volumes in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 1820 tbtu lng volumes in fiscal 2026?Yes 90%
Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 1860 tbtu lng volumes in fiscal 2026?Yes 62%
+2 moreNext deadline May 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
US retail sales in October
K 103.71 contractsWill United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 be above -0.4%?Yes 89%
Will United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 be above -0.2%?Yes 84%
Will United States retail sales MoM for October 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 69.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 24, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Fantasy Football Week 6 Leader?
K 102.59 contractsJ.K. Dobbins: Leader in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
Woody Marks: Leader in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
Trevor Lawrence: Leader in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
+103 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in September?
K 101.69 contractsWill United States Core Inflation Rate YoY exceed United Kingdom Core Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Connecticut’s minimum wage exceed $18.00 per hour on January 1, 2028?
K 100 contractsWill Connecticut minimum fair wage for January 1, 2028 be above $18.00 per hour?Yes 66%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026
K 93.86 contractsWill CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 4.5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will CAVA Group, Inc. report Above 5.5% same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026?Yes 89%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
K 86.05 contractsBryce Young: 2+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
Bryce Young: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49.5%
Tanner McKee: 1+ passing touchdowns (Protected)Yes 49%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
WR Fantasy Football Week 6 Leader?
K 82.29 contractsJaylin Noel: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
Stefon Diggs: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
Rashee Rice: Leader WR in fantasy points for Week 6?Yes 47.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
K 78 contractsWill U3 be 4.2% AND NFP growth be Below 50k for Oct 2026?Yes 50%
Will U3 be 4.2% AND NFP growth be 50-99k for Oct 2026?Yes 50%
Will U3 be 4.2% AND NFP growth be 100k or above for Oct 2026?Yes 50%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 10, 2026
K 76.14 contractsWill U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1680K?Yes 62.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1700K?Yes 61.5%
Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Oct 10, 2026 be at least 1690K?Yes 60%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
UK retail sales in September
K 75.02 contractsWill United Kingdom retail sales MoM for September 2026 be above -1.5%?Yes 96.5%
Will United Kingdom retail sales MoM for September 2026 be above -1.0%?Yes 86.5%
Will United Kingdom retail sales MoM for September 2026 be above -0.5%?Yes 79.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Electricity inflation YoY in November
K 72 contractsWill year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for November 2026 be above 3.2%?Yes 69%
Will year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for November 2026 be above 3.4%?Yes 60.5%
Will year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for November 2026 be above 3.0%?Yes 60%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 67.74 contractsWill the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 79.5%
Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 42%
Will the tariff rate on Brazil imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
K 65.91 contractsWill the Nasdaq-100 be above 28049.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28039.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 95%
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28029.99 at the end of Oct 19, 2026 at 1pm EDT?Yes 95%
+397 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 23, 2026?
K 62 contractsWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.08% by Oct 23, 2026?Yes 65%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.07% by Oct 23, 2026?Yes 61.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be below 5.06% by Oct 23, 2026?Yes 59%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards (Protected)
K 60.59 contractsKenny Gainwell: 20+ rushing yards (Protected)Yes 55.5%
Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yards (Protected)Yes 50%
Rico Dowdle: 70+ rushing yards (Protected)Yes 49.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
K 57.26 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2029 be above 0.0%?Yes 95.5%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2029 be above 0.5%?Yes 94%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2029 be above 1.0%?Yes 89.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2030 UTC
KalshiCompanies
US hourly earnings growth in October
K 57 contractsWill U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above -0.1%?Yes 90%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.0%?Yes 79.5%
Will U.S. average hourly earnings growth for October 2026 be above 0.1%?Yes 70%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000?
K 55.66 contractsWill the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2029?Yes 32.5%
Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Jun 30, 2028?Yes 25%
Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2028?Yes 25%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Total Fed dissents in 2027
K 50.04 contractsTotal Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 0Yes 16.5%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 7Yes 9%
Total Fed dissents in 2027: exactly 6Yes 9%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
K 50 contractsWill Franchise Tax receipts for FY2027 be above $1.344 billion?Yes 55%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
K 49.95 contractsWill the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 10% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 79.5%
Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 20% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 30%
Will the tariff rate on Mexico imports be at least 30% on Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release
K 48.71 contractsWill global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 80%?Yes 90%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 81%?Yes 80.5%
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 82%?Yes 61%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2032 UTC
KalshiSports
Tennessee vs Indianapolis: Receptions Ladder
K 41.25 contractsJosh Downs Receptions LadderYes 53.5%
Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions LadderYes 26.5%
Jonathan Taylor Receptions LadderYes 16%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US nominal GDP growth in 2034
K 40.42 contractsWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2034 be above 0.0%?Yes 95%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2034 be above 0.5%?Yes 91%
Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2034 be above 1.0%?Yes 87%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2035 UTC
KalshiEconomics
US refinery utilization in November
K 35 contractsWill U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 be above 90%?Yes 50.5%
Will U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 be above 88%?Yes 50.5%
Will U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 be above 96%?Yes 50%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?
K 34.49 contractsWill the Federal Reserve publish a dot plot for its December 2026 Summary of Economic Projections?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 17, 2026 UTC