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Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
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Showing 145-192 of 1,260 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
K 133.9K contractsWill Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.4M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.3M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?Yes 98%
+28 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $137.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 22%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 4%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
New York J vs New England: Rushing Yards
K 133.6K contractsIsaiah Davis: 5+ rushing yardsYes 99.5%
Isaiah Davis: 10+ rushing yardsYes 99.5%
Braelon Allen: 60+ rushing yardsYes 99.5%
+62 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
PM $135.5KWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 30.4%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Yes 16.4%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes 8.9%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Anthropic market share this week
K 132.7K contractsAnthropic market share this week? (Above 4.5%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 4.0%)Yes 99.5%
Anthropic market share this week? (Above 3.8%)Yes 99.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PM $134.7KWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 16.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
NFL Players Traded
K 129.7K contractsWill Jerry Jeudy be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 57.5%
Will Spencer Rattler be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 55.5%
Will Will McDonald IV be traded before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 51.5%
+50 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI public model released by…?
PM $134.3KSSI public model released by December 31, 2026?Yes 37%
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes 33.5%
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes 9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
K 128.6K contractsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1505)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1490)Yes 28%
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score? (above 1510)Yes 27%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Tesla Optimus released this year?
PM $132.9K · K 433.3K contractsWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 12.3%Rules differK Yes 6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
K 126.7K contractsWill Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.1 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97 million available lower berth days in 2026?Yes 98.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PM $127.2KWill Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 20.5%
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Will Elon purchase Ryanair?
K 125.4K contractsWill Elon Musk or Tesla or SpaceX take a stake in Ryanair before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?
PM $126.3KWill Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 30.9%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 26.2%
Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes 9.8%
+42 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
K 122.9K contractsWill Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2099 UTC
PolymarketTech
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PM $123.6KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes 33%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will have a top 20 song this year?
K 120.6K contractsWill Chappell Roan have a top 20 song this year?Yes 98%
Will Lana Del Rey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96.5%
Will Mariah Carey have a top 20 song this year?Yes 96%
+86 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
PM $118.0KWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?Yes 1.9%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?Yes 1.1%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 18, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
K 119.2K contractsWill Pennsylvania have at least 180 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 185 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 64.5%
Will Pennsylvania have at least 190 data centers listed in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
PM $114.3KWill Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 59.5%
Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 11.6%
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes 7%
+29 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Director
K 118.0K contracts2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 95%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 92.5%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Nathan Fielder)Yes 76.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PM $113.8KWill the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes 13.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Yes 9.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Yes 8.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.6K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PM $113.6KWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes 89.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards
K 116.8K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 86.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 80%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PM $111.8KRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Yes 4.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards
K 115.6K contractsRico Dowdle: 10+ rushing yardsYes 96%
Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yardsYes 88.5%
Rico Dowdle: 15+ rushing yardsYes 86.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $109.7KWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 42%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 18%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes 14%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?
PM $108.7KWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 6.8%
Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 112.0K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 53.5%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 4%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?
PM $108.1KWill Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 60.7%
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 18%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes 11%
+23 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 108.4K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 88%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 78.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PM $107.2KWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes 24.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes 23.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes 14.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $106.5KWill the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes 77.9%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes 45.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 12.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 105.9K contractsWho will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)Yes 51%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Movsar Evloev)Yes 47.5%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Aljamain Sterling)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
PM $104.9KWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 77%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 6.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Israel rate decision in October
PM $103.4K · K 11.4K contractsWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 92.1%Rules differK Yes 92%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 8.1%Rules differK Yes 8%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Israel Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.2%Rules differK Yes 0.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 55.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PM $102.1KMicrosoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 13%
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 9.2%
SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes 9%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
PM $94.8KWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
PM $90.4KWill Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
K 95.7K contractsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
PM $87.8KWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?Yes 98.3%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes 98.1%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Yes 98.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC