Browse prediction markets

Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?

Will establishing nationwide concealed carry reciprocity becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?Yes 6.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC

MS-04 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for MS-04?Yes 97.1%

Will Democratic win the House race for MS-04?Yes 2.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?Yes 8%

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

PM $25.2K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?

Will any individual in connection with the DOJ investigation into the 2020 election in Fulton County be charged with a crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 17.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 25.7%

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $25.1K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 23.4%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.4%

Indiana's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 78%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 66%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 51%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Yes 40.5%

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

PM $24.9K

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?Yes 20%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Yes 16.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiSports

Real Madrid: Florentino Pérez Out as President

Will Florentino Pérez leave from being President of Real Madrid in 2026?Yes 9.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?Yes 1.8%

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

PM $24.9K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Missouri's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 97.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 96.2%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 94.3%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes 91.9%

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

PM $24.9K

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes 8.3%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

MO-01 House election: Wesley Bell vote percent

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 88%

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 75.5%

Will Wesley Bell receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-01 House election?Yes 55.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.2%

AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.8K

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 20.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.9%

What will Melania say during her announcement?

What will Melania Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Donald)Yes 65.5%

What will Melania Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Super Intelligence)Yes 39.5%

What will Melania Trump say during Executive Order Signing Ceremony and Announcement originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Safe / Safer / Safety)Yes 33.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Yes 14.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2031 UTC

Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent

Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 88%

Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 61.5%

Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 53.5%

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 20.2%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 19.5%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.3%

KalshiScience and Technology

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 23.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 13%

Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 1%?Yes 92.5%

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 4%?Yes 86%

Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais be at least 7%?Yes 60%

+5 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2027 UTC

PA-12 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes 98%

Will the Republican Party win the PA-12 House seat?Yes 0.9%

KalshiEconomics

Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?

Will Bond Question 1 pass?Yes 96%

Will Bond Question 2 pass?Yes 94.5%

Will Bond Question 3 pass?Yes 84.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Vaughan, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 96.9%

Will Shelly-Ann Starlette Cerrelli win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 1.2%

Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Yes 0.4%

3 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Will another state enact a data center moratorium?

Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 73.5%

Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 65.5%

Will a statewide data center moratorium become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC

MD-02 House Election Winner

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes 95%

Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?Yes 3.8%

FL-02 House winner?

Will Republican win the House race for FL-02?Yes 92%

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-02?Yes 7.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes 25%

Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes 20.5%

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes 20%

+16 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?Yes 47.5%

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?Yes 43%

Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?Yes 30%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?Yes 3.8%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Colorado's 5th District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 17%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 9.5%

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 5th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 3.3%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner

Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes 96.9%

Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes 1.7%

Maryland's 1st District margin of victory

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 83.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 72.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maryland's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 57%

AR-04 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?Yes 96.5%

Will the Democratic Party win the AR-04 House seat?Yes 2.6%

Next Moldovan presidential election winner?

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Alexandr Stoianoglo)Yes 20.5%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Igor Dodon)Yes 14.5%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election? (Igor Grosu)Yes 13%

+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2029 UTC

Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes 95.5%

Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner

PM $24.5K

Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes 2.7%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC

When will Wales call a snap election?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 14.5%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that an extraordinary general election to the Senedd is called before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jul 8, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27.5%

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.5K

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.9%

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 17.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.5K · K 6.5K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 97.4%Rules differK Yes 95.1%

Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-09 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 3.6%

Will the Republican Party win the CA-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-9?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 3.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?Yes 50.5%

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?

K 10.4K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

Will Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 73.5%

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

K 10.4K contracts

Will The Democrats finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 8%

Will Otzma Yehudit finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 6%

+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 96.4%

MD-07 House Election Winner

PM $24.5K

Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?Yes 1.8%