Browse prediction markets
Explore the full Polymarket and Kalshi catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 193-240 of 1,392 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Director
K 118.0K contracts2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Christopher Nolan)Yes 95%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Javier Calvo)Yes 92.5%
2027 Best Director Oscar nominations? (Nathan Fielder)Yes 76.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
PM $91.6KWill Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?Yes 31.5%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?Yes 27.5%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes 26.6%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiTech
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 117.6K contractsWill the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
PM $90.4KWill Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Yes 10.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiFinance
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
PM $89.8K · K 41.1K contractsWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 82.5%
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Goldman Sachs serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.7%Rules differK Yes 16%
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Kalshi: Will Citigroup serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiScience
Dallas vs Green Bay: Receiving Yards
K 116.8K contractsCeeDee Lamb: 40+ receiving yardsYes 86.5%
Christian Watson: 40+ receiving yardsYes 81.5%
Tucker Kraft: 25+ receiving yardsYes 80%
+106 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
K 116.1K contractsWill OpenAI change its CEO?Yes 6.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
PM $87.8KWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75?Yes 98.3%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Yes 98.1%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Yes 98.1%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: Rushing Yards
K 115.6K contractsRico Dowdle: 10+ rushing yardsYes 96%
Jaylen Warren: 30+ rushing yardsYes 88.5%
Rico Dowdle: 15+ rushing yardsYes 86.5%
+46 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PM $87.4KWill the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes 15%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes 8.5%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes 4.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
K 112.1K contractsWill OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32.5%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
Will OpenAI release a personal AI agent before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?
PM $87.3KSituational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Yes 8.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?
K 112.0K contractsHow much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 500000 in a single quarter)Yes 53.5%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 750000 in a single quarter)Yes 4%
How much will Tesla deliveries grow before 2027? (Above 1000000 in a single quarter)Yes 2%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $86.1KWill the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes 92.9%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Yes 76.5%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes 71.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
K 108.4K contracts2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Anne Hathaway)Yes 88%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Penélope Cruz)Yes 78.5%
2027 Best Supporting Actress Oscar nominations? (Samantha Morton)Yes 77.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PM $83.1KWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
PM $82.6K · K 15.9K contractsWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 14%Rules differK Yes 21.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
K 106.9K contractsWill a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 40.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 39.5%
Will a law raising the NYC Business or New York State corporate tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 23.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
AI capability growth this year?
K 106.4K contractsWill any AI model have a score of at least 1540 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 54.5%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 35%
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1600 before Jan 1, 2027Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
PM $81.9KWill Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes 93.5%
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Yes 87%
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Yes 18.5%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
K 105.9K contractsWho will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Alexander Volkanovski)Yes 51%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Movsar Evloev)Yes 47.5%
Who will be the Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026? (Aljamain Sterling)Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?
PM $80.7KWill Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 43.5%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 21%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes 6.5%
+33 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3
K 104.3K contractsWill American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 83.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will American Airlines Group Inc. report Above 84.5% passenger load factor in Q3 2026?Yes 45%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
PM $80.6KWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 5%
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+15 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery
K 104.2K contractsTesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 55.5%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 16%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
PM $78.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 29.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Who will be the next CEO of X?
K 103.1K contractsWho will be the next CEO of X? (Elon Musk)Yes 7.5%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Nikita Bier)Yes 3%
Who will be the next CEO of X? (Mahmoud Reza Banki)Yes 3%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $78.3KWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 76.9%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.9%
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
K 98.5K contractsWill Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 91%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PM $78.1KUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
K 96.4K contractsWill SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd Largest Company end of October?
PM $77.8KWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 79.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 20.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes 1.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
K 95.7K contractsWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?Yes 60.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PM $76.7KWill Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3
K 95.4K contractsWill Carvana Co. report Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Carvana Co. report Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026?Yes 88%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PM $76.0KWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 52.1%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 3.8%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3
K 94.0K contractsWill Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
PM $75.2KWill Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 57.2%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 26.1%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 2.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
K 93.0K contractsMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2026?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
PM $75.0KWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes 58%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
MotoGP World Champion
K 92.6K contractsWill Marc Marquez be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 75.5%
Will Jorge Martin be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 20%
Will Marco Bezzecchi be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?Yes 3%
+19 moreNext deadline Dec 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?
PM $73.9KWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.9%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 18.2%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes 14.2%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.5K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 66%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10.5%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 3.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $69.7KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 57.8%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 17.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November
PM $68.8K · K 37.7K contractsNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Maintain current rate at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 74.5%Rules differK Yes 74%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Cut 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 20.1%Rules differK Yes 19%
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Bank of Mexico Hike 25bps at the November Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.4%Rules differK Yes 1.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
K 92.5K contractsWill Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?Yes 96%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 450,000 TEUs?Yes 89%
Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 475,000 TEUs?Yes 86.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
K 91.0K contractsWhen will Anduril IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 18.5%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 18%
When will Anduril IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-best AI Lab end of October?
PM $67.4KWill Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 68%
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 24%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 3%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC