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Showing 3,121-3,168 of 7,164 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 90.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nebraska's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-07 House election: Bob Brooks vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill Bob Brooks receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-07 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bob Brooks receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-07 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Bob Brooks receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-07 House election?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
K 5.8K contractsWill Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?Yes 82.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
PM $15.0KWill Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?Yes 85.7%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?Yes 57.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
PM $15.0K · K 339.4K contractsWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 9.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will New Hampshire vote to eliminate the register of probate office?
K 5.8K contractsWill CACR 13 pass?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-03 House winner?
K 5.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NJ-03?Yes 97.5%
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-03?Yes 0.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-07 House election: Max Miller vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill Max Miller receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Max Miller receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Max Miller receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout
PM $14.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?Yes 36%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be 350,000 or more?Yes 14%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-06 House winner?
K 5.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-06?Yes 96.1%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-06?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.9KWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

New York's 17th District margin of victory
K 5.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 29%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 15.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 7.8%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Denmark snap election called by December 31?
PM $14.9KDenmark snap election called by December 31?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-10 House election: LaMonica McIver vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill LaMonica McIver receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 88.5%
Will LaMonica McIver receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 NJ-10 House election?Yes 81.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
PM $14.9KTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Yes 55.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill James Hayes receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will James Hayes receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 86.5%
Will James Hayes receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-12 House election?Yes 76.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
K 5.8K contractsWill the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 17.5%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 16.5%
Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine be decided by 1 percentage point or less?Yes 16%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 26.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?
K 5.8K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?Yes 27%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PM $14.9KIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
K 5.8K contractsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 17.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 96.2%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 42.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027
K 5.7K contractsWho will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Agit Kabayel)Yes 80.5%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Lawrence Okolie)Yes 47.5%
Who will hold the WBC Heavyweight Title on January 1, 2027? (Martin Bakole)Yes 47.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-09 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Colorado's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 93.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Colorado's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 88.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $14.8KWill Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 72.5%
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes 24.4%
Will Li Wu Ying-chih win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes <0.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CO-03 House election: Clifton Brown vote percent
K 5.7K contractsWill Clifton Brown receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 67.5%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 29.5%
Will Clifton Brown receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 CO-03 House election?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
K 5.7K contractsWill Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 36.5%
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout
PM $14.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 650,000 and 700,000?Yes 41%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?Yes 24.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee
K 5.7K contractsWill Justin Amash be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 30%
Will Chase Oliver be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 11.5%
Will Jo Jorgensen be the nominee for the Presidency for the Libertarian party?Yes 7.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
K 5.7K contractsWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 22.5%
Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 12%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 19.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?
K 5.7K contractsWill Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?Yes 39%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will Treg Taylor drop out?
K 5.7K contractsWill Treg Taylor drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 39%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alaska State Senate winner?
K 5.7K contractsWho will win the Alaska State Senate? (Republican party)Yes 89.5%
Who will win the Alaska State Senate? (Democratic party)Yes 12.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will the blue slip process be removed?
K 5.7K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 30%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Senate Judiciary Committee holds a hearing for, or votes to report, a district-court or U.S.-attorney nomination associated with a state where a sitting home-state senator has not returned an affirmative blue slip before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 15%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC