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Showing 3,505-3,552 of 7,936 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

MD-05 House election: Chris Chaffee vote percent
K 5.9K contractsWill Chris Chaffee receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 89.5%
Will Chris Chaffee receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 80.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CA-19 House winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CA-19?Yes 98.8%
Will Republican win the House race for CA-19?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NC-13 House winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-13?Yes 86.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-13?Yes 14%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.1KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Yes 36%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 25.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,750,000 and 2,900,000?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

When will Big Bend border construction resume?
K 5.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 8%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-10 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 23.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 5.9K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 2200000?Yes 92.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 2400000?Yes 86.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Minnesota Senate General Election be above 2600000?Yes 72%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld

Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
K 5.9K contractsWill the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 20.5%
Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 28.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Virginia?
K 5.9K contractsWill Question 3 pass?Yes 95.5%
Will Question 2 pass?Yes 94.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 12%-15%?Yes 19.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 17.2%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.9K contractsWill Matt Dunlap receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Matt Dunlap receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 95%
Will Matt Dunlap receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 ME-02 House election?Yes 87.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $15.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 28.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wisconsin State Treasurer winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Yee Leng Xiong win the 2026 Wisconsin State Treasurer election?Yes 83%
Will John S. Leiber win the 2026 Wisconsin State Treasurer election?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
PM $15.0KWill Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?Yes 84.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?Yes 70.5%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027?Yes 52.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Featherweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 5.9K contractsMovsar Evloev to be Featherweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 39.5%
Ilia Topuria to be Featherweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 31.5%
Alexander Volkanovski to be Featherweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 26%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?Yes 30.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?Yes 21%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?Yes 17.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Linn County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 5.9K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa?Yes 97%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa?Yes 95%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa?Yes 88.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
PM $15.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Yes 38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Yes 21.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?Yes 19.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
PM $15.0K · K 339.4K contractsWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 9.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
K 5.9K contractsWill the Federal Trade Commission announce opening an investigation into the acquisition, scanning and destruction of books by artificial intelligence companies for use in training AI models before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

FL-03 House winner?
K 5.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-03?Yes 94.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-03?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?
K 5.9K contractsWill MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 20000000 during calendar year 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 15000000 during calendar year 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will MAGA Inc.'s FEC-reported total disbursements value be above 25000000 during calendar year 2026?Yes 96.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 30, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout
PM $14.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Yes 36.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?Yes 29.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 325,000 and 350,000?Yes 16.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
K 5.9K contractsWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. HigginsYes 81.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.9KWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
K 5.9K contractsRepublican trifecta in Florida?Yes 79%
Republican trifecta in Texas?Yes 76.5%
Republican trifecta in Kansas?Yes 68.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Denmark snap election called by December 31?
PM $14.9KDenmark snap election called by December 31?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?
K 5.9K contractsWill a budget resolution passed the Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
PM $14.9KTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Yes 53%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 51%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Maine's 2nd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 34.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NC-10 House Election Winner
PM $14.9KWill the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat?Yes 95.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-10 House seat?Yes 4.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NJ-03 House winner?
K 5.8K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for NJ-03?Yes 97.1%
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-03?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

PA-07 House election: Bob Brooks vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill Bob Brooks receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-07 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Bob Brooks receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-07 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Bob Brooks receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 PA-07 House election?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PM $14.9KIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Yes 14%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
K 5.8K contractsWill Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?Yes 82.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
PM $14.9KWill Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?Yes 56.5%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $30 in 2026?Yes 51%
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Yes 46%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections

Will New Hampshire vote to eliminate the register of probate office?
K 5.8K contractsWill CACR 13 pass?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 22.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OH-07 House election: Max Miller vote percent
K 5.8K contractsWill Max Miller receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Max Miller receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Max Miller receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 OH-07 House election?Yes 79.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best AI Lab end of December?
PM $14.9KWill Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 35%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MO-06 House winner?
K 5.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MO-06?Yes 96.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-06?Yes 2.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 42.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC