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Showing 3,553-3,600 of 8,840 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026
K 8.0K contractsWill Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 119 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 120 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 96%
Will Lockheed Martin Corporation report Above 121 thousand headcount in fiscal 2026?Yes 95%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $13.8KWill Chen Chen-chung win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 65%
Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 29.5%
Will Yeh Chu-lin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes 10.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Texas's 15th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Texas's 15th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 39.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PM $13.8KWill Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 16.5%
Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 14%
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 13.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
K 8.0K contractsWill James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 96.5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 96%
Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Hidalgo County, Texas?Yes 94.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout
PM $13.8KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Yes 37.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be 1,400,000 or more?Yes 11.8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?
K 8.0K contractsWill Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New York Governor Election: Turnout
PM $13.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Yes 36%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Yes 20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be 7,000,000 or more?Yes 13.7%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Maryland's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
PM $13.7KWill The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 31.5%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 21.3%
Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 14.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 20+ Passing Touchdowns Season
K 8.0K contractsWill Trevor Lawrence record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 94%
Will Jared Goff record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 93.5%
Will Joe Burrow record 20+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 90.5%
+30 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PM $13.7KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Yes 35.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Yes 35%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Yes 21%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
K 8.0K contractsWill DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $14M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 87.5%
Will DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $38M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
Will DNC Services Corp / Democratic National Committee report more than $35M in cash on hand at the end of Q3?Yes 50.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kwara, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $13.7KWill Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 63%
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 31%
Will Zakari Mohammed win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Yes 5.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
K 8.0K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Jasmine Crockett personally participates in at least one campaign activity, such as a rally, fundraiser, campaign advertisement, canvassing event, or phone-banking effort, in which she specifically and expressly advocates for James Talarico’s election in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 45.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 33.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-04 House winner?
K 8.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-04?Yes 97.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-04?Yes 1.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 51.5%
Will Ken Yee Chew win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 28.5%
Will Ryan Meunier win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes 2.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
K 7.9K contractsWill the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Central Coast Mayoral Election Winner
PM $13.6KWill Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 74.5%
Will Garry Carpenter win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes 1.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects
K 7.9K contractsWill Project Hail Mary be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 92%
Will Dune: Part Three be on the list of nominees for Best Visual Effects at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 89.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 21%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
K 7.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 12th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 58%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PM $13.6KWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31?Yes 99.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31?Yes 43%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31?Yes 5.9%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?
K 7.9K contractsWill Kimberly Yee win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 52.5%
Will Teresa Leyba Ruiz win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 44.5%
Will Stephen Neal Jr. win the 2026 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction election?Yes 1.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 27.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 27.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
K 7.9K contractsWill the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 97%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 96%
Will the lowest price of any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?Yes 17%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Maryland Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-12 House election: Lucian Wintrich vote percent
K 7.9K contractsWill Lucian Wintrich receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 12.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 6.5%
Will Lucian Wintrich receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-12 House election?Yes 4.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 13.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
K 7.9K contractsWill Jim Jordan announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 73%
Will Mike Johnson announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 52.5%
Will Steve Scalise announce a run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026?Yes 39%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.6%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 22.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
K 7.9K contractsWill legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 85%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 82%
Will legislation designated as, or substantively serving as, the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2027 by authorizing national defense programs or defense policy for that fiscal year become law before Dec 25, 2026?Yes 61%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 70%-75%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
K 7.9K contractsWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2028 meeting?Yes 57.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?Yes 11.5%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?Yes 10.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Apr 26, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?
PM $13.5KRepublicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
K 7.9K contractsWill Proposal 3 pass?Yes 87.5%
Will Proposal 4 pass?Yes 85%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiFinancials
Will Anthropic sign the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter?
K 7.8K contractsWill Anthropic announce signing of the Open Weights and American AI Leadership letter before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?
PM $13.4KSPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?View outcomes
1 mkt
KalshiPolitics
FL-11 House winner?
K 7.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-11?Yes 90.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-11?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 15.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
TX-28 House winner?
PM $13.4K · K 234.8K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for TX-28?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 92.2%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for TX-28?
Same question, fine print differs
PM Yes 8.5%Rules differK Yes 8.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
K 7.8K contractsWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's October 20, 2025 final judgment for Harvard?Yes 40.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
K 7.8K contractsWill the House pass a reconciliation bill before January 01, 2027?Yes 19.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 01, 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before November 01, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
PM $13.4KWill Trump end Department of Education before 2027?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Montana cattle inventory rise YoY?
K 7.8K contractsWill Montana’s inventory of all cattle and calves for January 1, 2027 be above 2,140,000 head?Yes 33.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $13.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC