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Showing 3,601-3,648 of 7,936 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Alaska Governor General Election: voter turnout
K 5.6K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 240000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 250000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Governor General Election be above 260000?Yes 79%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $14.5KWill Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 97.2%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 76%
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 16%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Oregon's 1st District margin of victory
K 5.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 94.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 90.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 20.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Minnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Amy Klobuchar receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 90%
Will Amy Klobuchar receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?Yes 71%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $14.5KWill Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 23%
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 22.2%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 18.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
FL-17 House winner?
K 5.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for FL-17?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-17?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Connecticut Governor election: Ned Lamont vote percent
K 5.6K contractsWill Ned Lamont receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 94.5%
Will Ned Lamont receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Ned Lamont receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election?Yes 77.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 21st District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 21st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Yes 43%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 18%-21%?Yes 16.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)
K 5.5K contractsWill there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026?Yes 64%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 23, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CO-07 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
K 5.5K contractsWho will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (No other person)Yes 58%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (Robert O'Brien)Yes 14.5%
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? (Ric Grenell)Yes 8.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketSports
UFC: Who Will Manel Kape Fight Next?
PM $14.4KWill Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Yes 92%
Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Yes 5.5%
Will Manel Kape fight Tatsuro Taira next?Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jun 21, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Editing
K 5.5K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 96%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 76.5%
Will Wild Horse Nine be on the list of nominees for Best Editing at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 73.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PM $14.4KWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes 97.7%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WA-08 House winner?
K 5.5K contractsWill a Democrat win the House race for WA-08?Yes 96.8%
Will a Republican win the House race for WA-08?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Next Regional Board Chair of Uppsala?
PM $14.4KWill Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 96.8%
Will Emilie Orring be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 2.3%
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Yes 0.8%
+9 more
KalshiTech
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026?
K 5.5K contractsRain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 23%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 11.5%
Rain in San Francisco in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 8%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 24%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 22.8%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Senate election: Natalie Fleming vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Natalie Fleming receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 83%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 60%
Will Natalie Fleming receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho Senate election?Yes 44.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 26.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 20.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 20, 2026?
K 5.5K contractsWill the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.1 on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.2 on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 34%
Will the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) be exactly 8.0 on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 17.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?
PM $14.4KWill Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 71%
Will Democrats win 11 or more House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 17.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 93.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Hawaii's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 88.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kebbi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
PM $14.4KWill Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 86.5%
Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Virginia's 6th District margin of victory
K 5.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89.7%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Virginia's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 80%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 33.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South Carolina Governor election: Jermaine Johnson vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Jermaine Johnson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jermaine Johnson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 92.5%
Will Jermaine Johnson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election?Yes 78.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PM $14.4KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 32.5%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 27.2%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
French presidential election: who will advance?
K 5.5K contractsWill Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 90.5%
Will Édouard Philippe qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 43.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 30.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Apr 17, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
PM $14.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?Yes 39.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?Yes 26%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey 07 House General Election: voter turnout
K 5.5K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 240000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey 07 House General Election be above 280000?Yes 96%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 30.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 25.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 11%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Glenn Ivey receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Glenn Ivey receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 85.5%
Will Glenn Ivey receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-04 House election?Yes 74.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NY-26 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-26 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 17.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia Senate election: Mike Collins vote percent (1st Round)
K 5.5K contractsWill Mike Collins receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Mike Collins receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Mike Collins receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election?Yes 93.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
PM $14.3KIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.8%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-09 House election: Morgan Griffith vote percent
K 5.5K contractsWill Morgan Griffith receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-09 House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Morgan Griffith receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-09 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Morgan Griffith receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-09 House election?Yes 82%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?
PM $14.3KWill Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PM $14.3K · K 47.3K contractsWill Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 94%
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Kalshi: Will Kostadin Kostadinov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
K 5.4K contractsWill the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?Yes 28%
Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?Yes 16.5%
Will Republicans outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 1 to 2.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?Yes 15%
+6 moreNext deadline May 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?
K 5.4K contractsWill the U.S. Department of Education announce a decision by the senior Department official to terminate, suspend, limit, or deny renewal of the recognition of the American Bar Association's Council of the Section of Legal Education and Admissions to the Bar as an accrediting agency for law schools before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 70.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $14.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 30+ Passing Touchdowns Season
K 5.4K contractsWill Brock Purdy record 30+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 68%
Will Joe Burrow record 30+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 66.5%
Will Dak Prescott record 30+ passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 63.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31?
PM $14.2KWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 18.5%
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC