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Showing 3,745-3,792 of 7,610 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Governor margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 66%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 48.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Kansas be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 30.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PM $11.4KPaxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.4K · K 31.8K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17%Rules differK Yes 20.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
K 4.1K contractsWill Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products during before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Nebraska Governor election: Jim Pillen vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Jim Pillen receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 88%
Will Jim Pillen receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 73%
Will Jim Pillen receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?
PM $11.4KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 20?Yes 95%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 20?Yes 11.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20?Yes 4.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?
K 4.1K contractsWill Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PM $11.4KWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-07 House election: Erik Osberg vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Erik Osberg receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 91%
Will Erik Osberg receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 83.5%
Will Erik Osberg receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 73.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%?Yes 40%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 25%-30%?Yes 14.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Massachusetts suspend its gas tax?
K 4.1K contractsWill legislation suspending the Massachusetts gasoline tax become law before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.3KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 29.5%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 20.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15?
K 4.1K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election is sworn in as a U.S. senator on December 15, 2026 before Dec 16, 2026?Yes 70.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more?Yes 40%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 20%-25%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Colorado State House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWho will win the Colorado House? (Democratic party)Yes 98.5%
Who will win the Colorado House? (Republican party)Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-02 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for MD-02?Yes 96.6%
Will Republican win the House race for MD-02?Yes 2.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 25%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Who will be a part of the next government of Spain?
K 4.1K contractsWill the People's Party be a part of the next government in Spain?Yes 84.5%
Will Vox be a part of the next government in Spain?Yes 76.5%
Will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party be a part of the next government in Spain?Yes 14%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 24.1%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-09 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-09?Yes 94.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-09?Yes 5.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 32.9%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 23.6%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 19.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-10 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-10?Yes 95%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-10?Yes 4.8%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
North Carolina governor winner? (2028)
K 4.1K contractsWill the Democratic party win the governorship in North CarolinaYes 65.5%
Will the Republican party win the governorship in North CarolinaYes 32%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-15 House election: Andre Easton vote percent
K 4.1K contractsWill Andre Easton receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Yes 58%
Will Andre Easton receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Yes 22%
Will Andre Easton receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Yes 9.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Virginia require data centers to use clean energy?
K 4.1K contractsWill Virginia require data centers to use clean energy?Yes 39.5%
1 mktNext deadline Aug 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Delaware Senate margin of victory
K 4.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware be at least 14 percentage points?Yes 97%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware be at least 16 percentage points?Yes 95.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware be at least 18 percentage points?Yes 94.8%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 21?
PM $11.1KWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?Yes 41.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 21?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 21?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IN-02 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-02?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-02?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
IL-15 House winner?
K 4.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IL-15?Yes 94.7%
Will Democratic win the House race for IL-15?Yes 4.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Yes 38%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois Governor margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 94.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 91.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 57.6%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 18%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?Yes 17.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa Governor election: Zach Lahn vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Zach Lahn receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Zach Lahn receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will Zach Lahn receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner
PM $11.0KWill Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 86.5%
Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 8%
Will Danica Birošová win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes 1.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 22nd District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 95.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 91.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 22nd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 85.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
PM $10.9KWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 60.5%
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-13 House election: Mark Nair vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Mark Nair receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-13 House election?Yes 97%
Will Mark Nair receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-13 House election?Yes 95%
Will Mark Nair receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-13 House election?Yes 85.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout
PM $10.9KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?Yes 25%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000?Yes 21.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be less than 2,400,000?Yes 12.9%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MN-07 House election: Michelle Fischbach vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Michelle Fischbach receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 92%
Will Michelle Fischbach receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 87.5%
Will Michelle Fischbach receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-07 House election?Yes 73%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
PM $10.9KWill the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 70.5%
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
UT-03 House election: Cassie Easley vote percent
K 4.0K contractsWill Cassie Easley receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 87%
Will Cassie Easley receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 63%
Will Cassie Easley receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 UT-03 House election?Yes 41%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $10.9KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC