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Showing 337-384 of 835 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Trudy category?
K 13.3K contractsWill Trudy become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Trudy become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on October 18?
PM $4.3KWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 18?Yes <0.1%
2 mkts
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 13.2K contractsWill Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 22, 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 15, 2026?Yes 97%
Will Breckenridge Ski Resort open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 96.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Miami on October 18?
PM $4.2KWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 18?Yes 91.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 18?Yes 48.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 18?Yes 4.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate and Weather
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
K 13.1K contractsWill India meet its climate goals?Yes 67.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2031 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Houston on October 20?
PM $4.1KWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 20?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 43%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 20?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 18, 2026?
K 13.0K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 16%
Will the maximum temperature be >69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in NYC on October 18?
PM $4.1KWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 18?Yes 95.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on October 18?Yes 4.5%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on October 18?Yes 3.5%
+8 more
KalshiClimate
Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
K 13.0K contractsWill there be more than 25 tornadoes in October?Yes 99.5%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?Yes 71.5%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in October?Yes 28%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Jeddah on October 20?
PM $4.0KWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 20?Yes 50%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 20?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 20?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 12.8K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 66-67° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 24%
Will the maximum temperature be 64-65° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 20?
PM $3.9KWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?Yes 39%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 20?Yes 26%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
This Oct 2026 is the hottest October ever?
K 12.4K contractsWill Oct 2026 be the hottest Oct ever?Yes 84.5%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 19?
PM $3.8KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 19?Yes 48%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?Yes 33.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 19?Yes 14.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on October 19?
PM $3.7KWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 19?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 19?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 34%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 24.5%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 20?
PM $3.7KWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 20?Yes 7.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 20?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 20?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 20?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 20?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Moke category?
K 11.5K contractsWill Moke become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Moke become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Miami on October 20?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20?Yes 61.5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20?Yes 23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 20?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?
K 11.4K contractsRain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 80%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 30%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Seattle on October 19?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 19?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 19?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 19?Yes 12.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 18, 2026?
K 11.2K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 65.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 73-74° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 30%
Will the maximum temperature be 69-70° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 19?
PM $3.6KWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 19?Yes 51.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?Yes 34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 19?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 20?
PM $3.5KWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?Yes 49%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 20?Yes 30%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 19?
PM $3.5KWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 19?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 19?Yes 22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?Yes 18%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
K 10.1K contractsWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Dec 1, 2026)Yes 5%
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? (Before Nov 1, 2026)Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
US Tornadoes in September 2026
PM $3.4KWill there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 85%
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.5%
Will there be between 75 and 124 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes 14.3%
+2 more
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Karachi on October 19?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 19?Yes 57%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 19?Yes 9.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Denver on October 20?
PM $3.3KWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 20?Yes 52.5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 20?Yes 14.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Which cities face tornado risk on October 18?
PM $3.2KWill San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on October 18?Yes 49.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Chicago on October 20?
PM $3.2KWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 20?Yes 25%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?Yes 22.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PM $3.2KWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.2K contractsWill the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.68 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.38 by Dec 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.23 by Dec 31?Yes 45%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 20?
PM $3.1KWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 20?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 20?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Big Ten: Rushing Yards Leader
K 9.1K contractsCam Edwards records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 48.5%
Wayne Knight records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 34%
Jordan Marshall records the most rushing yards in the Big TenYes 32%
+47 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Toronto on October 20?
PM $3.0KWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 20?Yes 46%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 20?Yes 28%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 20?Yes 11.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
K 9.1K contractsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (OpenAI)Yes 82%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic)Yes 80%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 57%
+15 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 18?
PM $3.0KWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 18?Yes >99.9%
1 mkt