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Showing 337-384 of 1,368 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiTech

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in December
K 53.7K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.25 in December 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.50 in December 2026?Yes 89.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's RTX 5090 be above $0.75 in December 2026?Yes 35%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PM $32.1KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?
PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contractsWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
K 53.4K contractsWill any LLM score at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will any LLM score at least 55% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 98%
Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 45.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

What will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America?
K 52.8K contractsWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Event does not qualify)Yes 99.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (3+ times))Yes 0.5%
What will Katie Zacharia say during Fox News: Saturday in America originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tariff)Yes 0.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
PM $31.4KWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 57.7%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 7.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Tampa Bay vs Cleveland: Hits
K 52.5K contractsYandy Díaz: 1+ hits?Yes 68.5%
Chandler Simpson: 1+ hits?Yes 66.5%
Steven Kwan: 1+ hits?Yes 64.5%
+53 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?
PM $30.9KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 58%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 21%
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Kimi K4 released by…?
PM $30.6KKimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?Yes 26.1%
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.5%
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will release a new song this year?
K 51.2K contractsWill Tate McRae release a new song 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Lil Nas X release a new song 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will The Marías release a new song 2026?Yes 84%
+27 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Anthropic acquired before 2027?
PM $30.6KAnthropic acquired before 2027?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Amazon headcount in 2026
K 50.8K contractsWill Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1525000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1550000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026?Yes 80.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
PM $30.0KWill OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.9%
Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.2%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
K 50.6K contractsWhat will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Bedrock)Yes 97.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 96.5%
What will Amazon say during their next earnings call? (Trainium)Yes 92.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
PM $29.2KOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes 83.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
K 50.1K contractsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2040)Yes 51.4%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2035)Yes 47.6%
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? (Before 2030)Yes 30.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2040 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI resumes training by...?
PM $28.9KOpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
K 49.5K contractsWill Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.05 million TEUs?Yes 95.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.15 million TEUs?Yes 84.5%
Will Port of Virginia total container volume for 2026 be above 3.25 million TEUs?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
PM $28.8KGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Meta headcount in 2026
K 49.3K contractsWill Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 65000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 68000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. report above 71000 Headcount in 2026?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PM $28.8KUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026
K 48.9K contractsWill Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 91%
Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 55.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?Yes 84.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PM $28.6KWill Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes 25.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 48.8K contractsWill Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 62.5%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 60.5%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?Yes 55.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketScience

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
PM $28.1KNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Yes 3.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
K 48.3K contractsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2040)Yes 61.5%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2035)Yes 51.3%
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? (Before 2030)Yes 37.4%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

3rd richest person on December 31?
PM $28.1KWill Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 38.3%
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 34.6%
Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 28.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Merriam-Webster Word of the Year 2026?
K 48.2K contractsWill larping be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 13.5%
Will Brainrot be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Looksmaxxing be in the “Word of the Year” as designated by Merriam-Webster in 2026?Yes 4%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketScience

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PM $28.0KWill there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 96.9%
Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes 89%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
K 47.8K contractsWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?
PM $27.3KChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?Yes 34.5%
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?Yes 16.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
K 47.6K contractsWill South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.2 million TEUs?Yes 93.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.3 million TEUs?Yes 87.5%
Will South Carolina total container volume for 2026 be above 2.4 million TEUs?Yes 36.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
PM $27.3KWill there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 80.5%
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 16.9%
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Yes 1.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
K 47.3K contractsTop Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)Yes 75%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Alibaba)Yes 12%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Moonshot)Yes 3%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
PM $27.2KWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes 30.5%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes 11.5%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
K 47.3K contractsWill Tina Kotek underperform Kamala Harris in Oregon?Yes 95%
Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala Harris in Maine?Yes 84%
Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala Harris in New York?Yes 44.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Apr 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?
PM $26.9KWill Sydney Sweeney be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 23%
Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 19%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes 18.9%
+43 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
K 46.9K contractsWill Jeff Bezos be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 90.5%
Will Larry Page be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 85%
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world?Yes 82.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
PM $26.3KWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 66%
Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?Yes 3%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

What will Apple say during their next earnings call?
K 46.9K contractsWhat will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Siri)Yes 93.5%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (iPhone 18)Yes 91%
What will Apple say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)Yes 88.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
PM $26.0K · K 31.50M contractsNo comparable saved prices
0 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
K 46.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2035?Yes 38.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2033?Yes 31%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?
PM $25.9KNext DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes 13.5%
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?
K 46.6K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 37%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 19, 2026?Yes 22%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?
PM $25.5KNext Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes 49%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
K 45.5K contractsWill Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 44%
Will Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announce the publication of a final rule, with an effective date, making quarterly reporting optional for public companies before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 22%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best AI Lab end of November?
PM $25.5KWill Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 12.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC