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Showing 3,793-3,840 of 7,240 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 27th District margin of victory
K 4.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 25%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 13.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 27th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 39.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
K 4.0K contractsWill the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 95%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 90%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 85%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
PM $8.9KWill the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes 69%
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Yes 22%
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?Yes 10%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

2028 Green Presidential nominee
K 4.0K contractsWill Butch Ware be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 28.5%
Will Jill Stein be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 11.5%
Will Dashaun "Daví" Davis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Green party?Yes 5.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner
PM $8.9KWill the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 69.5%
Will the Republicans win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 27.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

KY-03 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for KY-03?Yes 96.4%
Will Republican win the House race for KY-03?Yes 3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout
PM $8.8KWill voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 38.5%
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 27%
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 17%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be confirmed that Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 62%
Will it be confirmed that ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 22%
Will it be confirmed that ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela?Yes 12.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

State of Mexico Congress Election Winner
PM $8.8KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 90.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 5.5%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?Yes 1.9%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

OK-04 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OK-04?Yes 94.9%
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-04?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trnava Region Governor Election Winner
PM $8.8KWill Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 91.5%
Will Peter Hambálek win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 6.5%
Will József Berényi win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Yes 1.1%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party?
K 3.9K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 25.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 21%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 14.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
PM $8.7KWill Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Yes 52.5%
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

California's 21st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?Yes 94.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 92.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 21st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 86.2%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?
PM $8.7KTalarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?Yes 23%
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2?Yes 20%
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2?Yes 20%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Who will be the next DNC Chair?
K 3.9K contractsWill David Hogg be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 16.5%
Will Martin O’Malley be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%
Will Faiz Shakir be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee?Yes 12.6%
+31 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-10 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $8.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 41.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 26%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida's 25th District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 75.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 64%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 25th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 60%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?
PM $8.6KWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

CT-02 House winner?
K 3.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for CT-02?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for CT-02?Yes 2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
PM $8.6KWill Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 69%
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 14%
Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election?Yes 8.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 6, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

GA-05 House election: John Salvesen vote percent (1st Round)
K 3.9K contractsWill John Salvesen receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will John Salvesen receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 House election?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner
PM $8.6KWill Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 72.5%
Will Carl Cooper win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 15%
Will Christina Holmdahl win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes 7.8%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
PM $8.6K · K 1.3K contractsWill Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union conclude an agreement expanding rights for Canadians to live or work in the EU after September 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 4.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Nov 15 AP Poll
K 3.9K contractsWill Notre Dame be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96.5%
Will Ohio St. be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 96%
Will Georgia be a top 25 ranked team on the College Football AP Poll Week 12 rankings (expected to be released on Nov 15, 2026)?Yes 95%
+72 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill David Jolly receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 97%
Will David Jolly receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 95.5%
Will David Jolly receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Palm Beach County, Florida?Yes 84%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
PM $8.5KHu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes 2.2%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NE-03 House election: Adrian Smith vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Adrian Smith receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 92%
Will Adrian Smith receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 80%
Will Adrian Smith receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 NE-03 House election?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

PA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $8.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 22.4%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 18.7%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Illinois Governor election: JB Pritzker vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill JB Pritzker receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 98%
Will JB Pritzker receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 97%
Will JB Pritzker receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?Yes 93.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Puebla Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 88.5%
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 4.5%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Yes 3.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Hamilton County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Sherrod Brown receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 91.5%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 82%
Will Sherrod Brown receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Hamilton County, Ohio?Yes 63%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Chihuahua Congress Election Winner
PM $8.5KWill PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 22.5%
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 21%
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?Yes 13.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VA-04 House election: Jennifer McClellan vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Jennifer McClellan receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 96%
Will Jennifer McClellan receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 95%
Will Jennifer McClellan receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-04 House election?Yes 90%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PM $8.5KWill Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Yes 14.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?Yes 10%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Yes 6.6%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
K 3.9K contractsWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 71%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jul 1, 2028?Yes 52%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as HHS Secretary before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 31%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
PM $8.4KWill Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 83.5%
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 11.5%
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes 5.1%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Angie Nixon receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Angie Nixon receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Senate election?Yes 86.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo
PM $8.4KWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 98.1%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes 1.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Ohio's 1st District margin of victory
K 3.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 4.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Speaker of the House after the midterms?
PM $8.3KWill Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 89.5%
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 4.8%
Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes 3.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
K 3.9K contractsWill Roy Cooper receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 96%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 87%
Will Roy Cooper receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wake County, North Carolina?Yes 64.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PM $8.3KWill Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Yes 23.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
K 3.9K contractsWill a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?Yes 22%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Vermont Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
PM $8.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 91%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52?
K 3.8K contractsWho will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Timothée Chalamet)Yes 61.5%
Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Pedro Pascal)Yes 44%
Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? (Jenna Ortega)Yes 38.5%
+45 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner
PM $8.2KWill the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 99.4%
Will the Republicans win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes 0.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC