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Showing 3,841-3,888 of 8,840 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 25 percentage points?Yes 70%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 18.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 86.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 72.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 62%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.5KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Ken Paxton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 96.5%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 92%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?Yes 73%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Dems' best tossup Senate race?
PM $11.5KWill the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 27.5%
Will the Texas Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 24.5%
Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes 19.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Trump's next address to the nation be?
K 6.9K contractsWill it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 96.5%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 89%
Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 81%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner
PM $11.5KWill Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Yes 4.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Delta, BC mayoral election winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 75%
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 28%
Will George V. Harvie win the 2026 Delta, BC mayoral election?Yes 20%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PM $11.4KPaxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Yes 7.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
PM $11.4K · K 31.9K contractsCalifornia voter ID referendum passes?
Kalshi: Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Related contracts
PM Yes 16.5%Rules differK Yes 17.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

NM-01 House election: Didi Okpareke vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Didi Okpareke receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 95%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 91%
Will Didi Okpareke receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 NM-01 House election?Yes 84%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

SC-04 House election: Jessica Ethridge vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Jessica Ethridge receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 77.5%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 41%
Will Jessica Ethridge receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 SC-04 House election?Yes 23%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.4KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 33.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 20%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

VT-AL House winner?
K 6.9K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 97.8%
Will Republican win the House race for VT-AL?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?
PM $11.4KWill Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 39.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 33.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 21%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Harris County Judge winner?
K 6.9K contractsWho will win the 2026 Harris County Judge general election? (Letitia Plummer)Yes 90.5%
Who will win the 2026 Harris County Judge general election? (Orlando Sanchez)Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Rhode Island Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.3KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?Yes 61.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000?Yes 18.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 400,000 and 450,000?Yes 15.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MN-08 House election: Trina Swanson vote percent
K 6.9K contractsWill Trina Swanson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 92%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 86%
Will Trina Swanson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MN-08 House election?Yes 77%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner
PM $11.3KWill the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 29%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?Yes 96.9%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?Yes 96.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 37%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 26%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes 16%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 57%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 43%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Iowa's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 26%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $11.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 33%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?
K 6.9K contractsWill Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 82%
Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 16%
Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Tennessee?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 29.7%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election by 45%-50%?Yes 23.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 85.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 77.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance

SB Energy IPO by...?
PM $11.2KWill SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 25.3%
Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 16%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Scott County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill Josh Turek receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 94.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 85.5%
Will Josh Turek receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Scott County, Iowa?Yes 65.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

AR-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 23.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 19.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Louisiana governor winner? (2027)
K 6.8K contractsWill the Republican party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 89.5%
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in LouisianaYes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 12, 2028 UTC
PolymarketFinance

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
PM $11.2KWill OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Yes 42%
Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Yes 12%
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Yes 11.2%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics

IN-08 House winner?
K 6.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for IN-08?Yes 95.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-08?Yes 4.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

SC-05 House Election Winner
PM $11.2KWill the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes 6.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
K 6.8K contractsWill Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 8%
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 1.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?
PM $11.1KWill voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 56.5%
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 19%
Will voters pick the Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) as the state gun of Idaho?Yes 10.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout
K 6.8K contractsWill the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 190000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 210000?Yes 83%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 230000?Yes 73%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 29%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-01 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 21%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
K 6.8K contractsWill Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 74.5%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 69%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 53.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 76.5%
Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 18.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
K 6.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 5.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 3.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.1KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?Yes 41.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 40%-45%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 12.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

MT-02 House winner?
K 6.8K contractsWill Republican win the House race for MT-02?Yes 97.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for MT-02?Yes 1.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes 35.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes 11%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
K 6.8K contractsWill the People's Party receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 93.5%
Will the People's Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 79%
Will the People's Party receive at least 31% of the popular vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes 65%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $11.0KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 34.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 17%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics

Russia Nominal GDP in 2026
K 6.8K contractsRussia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.3 trillion)Yes 97.5%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.2 trillion)Yes 96.3%
Russia Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $2.4 trillion)Yes 94.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics

New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout
PM $11.0KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?Yes 28.5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000?Yes 22.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be less than 2,400,000?Yes 9.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC