Browse prediction markets

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q1 2027?Yes 91%

US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?

K 95.2K contracts

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q1 2027?Yes 84%

Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2027?Yes 73%

+6 moreNext deadline Jul 29, 2027 UTC

Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Yes 89.5%

Who will die in The Witcher: Season 5?

PM $34.2K

Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Yes 87.5%

Will Regis die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Yes 69.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCompanies

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3

K 94.2K contracts

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 98.5%

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 56.5 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 98%

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 57 million seats flown in Q3 2026?Yes 72.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC

Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 44%

Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner

PM $34.1K

Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 21.4%

Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 11.8%

+7 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiEconomics

US real GDP growth in 2026?

PM $34.0K · K 422.8K contracts

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Kalshi: GDP growth in 2026? (0.0% or Below)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.1%Rules differK Yes 0.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026

K 94.2K contracts

Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 190,000 meat pounds?Yes 93.5%

Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 220,000 meat pounds?Yes 78.5%

Will Rhode Island’s commercial quahog landings for 2026 be above 250,000 meat pounds?Yes 61.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Jul 7, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled

K 93.4K contracts

Will at least 3 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 28.5%

Will at least 4 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 24.5%

Will at least 5 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 6.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC

Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 50.5%

The Game Awards: Best Narrative

PM $33.5K

Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 14%

Will Silent Hill: Townfall win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 12.3%

+19 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?Yes 5.5%

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

K 93.4K contracts

Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?Yes 5.5%

Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?Yes 5.4%

+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2029 UTC

Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 68%

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

PM $32.5K

Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 30.5%

Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes <0.1%

+11 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

Port of Mobile container volume in 2026

K 92.5K contracts

Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 425,000 TEUs?Yes 96%

Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 450,000 TEUs?Yes 89%

Will Port of Mobile container throughput for 2026 be above 475,000 TEUs?Yes 86.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Feb 5, 2027 UTC

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes 59%

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

PM $32.5K

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 33%

Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes 10.4%

+4 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiTech

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contracts

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 28.0¢/kWh?Yes 95.5%

Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026

K 92.0K contracts

Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 28.5¢/kWh?Yes 94.5%

Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 29.0¢/kWh?Yes 87.5%

+4 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

Will "Housewife" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 41.5%

"Housewife" by Tate McRae · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)

K 91.7K contracts

Will "Housewife" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 33%

Will "Housewife" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 4%

+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 58.5%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

PM $32.0K

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 18%

Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 7.4%

+9 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

Hexed Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 83.5%

Hexed · Rotten Tomatoes score

K 91.4K contracts

Hexed Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 77.5%

Hexed Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 70.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 in October?Yes 93.5%

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in October 2026?

PM $32.0K

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in October?Yes 69.5%

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?Yes 63.7%

+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

How high will CPI get this year? (Above 4.2%)Yes 23.5%

How high will CPI get this year?

K 91.2K contracts

How high will CPI get this year? (Above 4.3%)Yes 22.5%

How high will CPI get this year? (Above 4.5%)Yes 19.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Apr 2, 2027 UTC

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes 51.5%

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?

PM $31.9K

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Yes 23%

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?Yes 17.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?

K 91.0K contracts

When will Anduril IPO? (Before May 1, 2027)Yes 18.5%

When will Anduril IPO? (Before Jun 1, 2027)Yes 18%

When will Anduril IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027)Yes 9.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Yes >99.9%

"You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office

PM $31.8K

Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Yes 0.1%

Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes <0.1%

+3 more

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.50 million?Yes 94.5%

Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026

K 90.4K contracts

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 15.75 million?Yes 73.5%

Will RDU’s total passenger traffic for 2026 be above 16.00 million?Yes 14.5%

+3 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC

Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.8%

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

PM $31.8K

Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 62%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Cinematography

K 90.2K contracts

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 8%

Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 7.5%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes 7.6%

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

PM $31.5K

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?Yes 3.3%

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?Yes 0.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 96.5%

MercadoLibre items sold in 2026

K 90.2K contracts

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.1 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.05 billion items sold in 2026?Yes 95.5%

+12 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

PolymarketEconomics

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

PM $31.5K

Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 44.5%

Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 28.1%

Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes 10.9%

+2 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC

KalshiEntertainment

Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year?

K 88.0K contracts

Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit by Dec 27, 2026?Yes 7.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Yes 89.5%

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?

PM $31.3K

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Yes 11.2%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2027 meeting?Yes 87%

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

K 86.9K contracts

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2027 meeting?Yes 85.5%

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Dec 8, 2027 meeting?Yes 82.5%

+22 moreNext deadline Dec 15, 2027 UTC

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Yes 2.1%

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

PM $30.5K

Will Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 93%

Top U.S. Streamed Song (On-Demand Audio): 2026

K 84.3K contracts

Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%

Will Ordinary be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10 Most-Streamed Songs of 2026 in U.S. (On-Demand Audio), as Published by Billboard?Yes 2%

+21 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes 6.4%

Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?

PM $30.5K

2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $31,500?Yes 94.5%

2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP

K 83.6K contracts

2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $31,000?Yes 92%

2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $32,000?Yes 89.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC

Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 60.5%

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

PM $30.5K

Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 27%

Will Geese win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 4%

+27 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC

Will Matthew Rhys win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 75.5%

Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor in a Comedy Series

K 83.3K contracts

Will Tim Allen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 5.5%

Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 4%

+13 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2028 UTC

Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 58.5%

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Winner

PM $30.1K

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 23%

Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 12.6%

+7 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC

KalshiCulture

Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay

K 82.5K contracts

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Wild Horse Nine)Yes 90.5%

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations? (The Debut)Yes 85.5%

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations? (Club Kid)Yes 57%

+15 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2027 UTC

PolymarketEconomics

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

PM $30.1K

Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 27%

Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 24.5%

Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 23.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

KalshiFinancials

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3

K 82.0K contracts

Will Yum! Brands Inc. report Above -9% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 97%

Will Yum! Brands Inc. report Above -8% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 96.5%

Will Yum! Brands Inc. report Above -7% taco bell same-store sales growth in Q3 2026?Yes 94%

+17 moreNext deadline Mar 4, 2027 UTC

Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 24%

Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?

PM $29.4K

Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes 24%

Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes 18%

+4 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?Yes 2%

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

K 80.9K contracts