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Showing 385-432 of 2,054 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiSports

Steam: Weekly Top Seller
K 62.1K contractsWill AION 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Oct 13 - Oct 20, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™ be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Oct 13 - Oct 20, 2026?Yes 5%
Will Planet Zoo 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Oct 13 - Oct 20, 2026?Yes 3.5%
+19 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
PM $61.5KWill AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Yes 18%
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Yes 14.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
K 61.9K contractsWill the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 9 million views?Yes 99.5%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 6 million views?Yes 99.5%
Will the #1 Show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

The Game Awards: Best Game Direction
PM $61.2KWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 69.7%
Will Control Resonant win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 10.3%
Will Pragmata win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 8.5%
+21 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
K 61.9K contractsWill October 13 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 26.5%
Will October 16 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 23.5%
Will October 14 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/12 - 10/18)?Yes 17.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Is Earth flat?
PM $61.0KIs Earth flat?Yes 0.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
K 61.7K contractsWill OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 168T tokens?Yes 5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 166T tokens?Yes 0.5%
Will OpenRouter token usage for Oct 12–18, 2026 be above 188T tokens?Yes 0.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketScience

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PM $60.3KWill there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 75.8%
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 20%
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes 3.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
K 61.6K contractsWill a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?Yes 59.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PM $60.2KWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes 28%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports

Pro Basketball Players Traded
K 61.3K contractsWill Zach LaVine be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 52.5%
Will Zion Williamson be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will Michael Porter Jr. be traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027?Yes 49%
+43 moreNext deadline Feb 19, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
PM $59.7KWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?Yes 98.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 22, 2026?Yes 96.9%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
K 60.6K contractsWill SpaceX launch another Starship before Dec 11, 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Nov 13, 2026?Yes 16.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?
PM $59.3KWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 82.8%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes 16.6%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Yes 0.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
K 60.5K contracts1 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 7.5%
5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 4.5%
2 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026Yes 3.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

OpenAI resumes training on...?
PM $58.9KWill OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Yes 86.5%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?Yes 6.2%
Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?Yes 4.2%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Time's Person of the Decade
K 60.4K contractsWho will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Volodymyr Zelenskyy)Yes 39%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Elon Musk)Yes 29%
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? (Taylor Swift)Yes 18%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
PM $58.8KWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 67%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Yes 21%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 11%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
K 59.9K contractsAI regulation by 2027?Yes 6.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau: Engaged in 2026?
PM $58.3K · K 26.7K contractsKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Kalshi: Will Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau be engaged in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 10%Rules differK Yes 13%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Will Ed Sheeran Perform at Gillette Stadium in 2026?
K 59.7K contractsWill Ed Sheeran perform at Gillette Stadium in 2026?Yes 5.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by October 31?
PM $57.9KWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Yes 98.3%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 975m and 980m by October 31?Yes 0.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 970m and 975m by October 31?Yes 0.7%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
K 59.7K contractsWill Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 94 ?Yes 97.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 103 ?Yes 74.5%
Will Amazon Credit Card Spend for October 2026 be above 106 ?Yes 69.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PM $56.3KWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 53.5%
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 40.5%
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes 0.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Most expensive auction work sold in 2026
K 59.5K contractsMost expensive auction work sold in 2026? (Above $150M)Yes 99%
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? (Above $200M)Yes 50%
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026? (Above $250M)Yes 24.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
PM $55.6KWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Dec 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
K 58.6K contractsWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 61%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 21.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
PM $55.4KWill there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026?Yes 1.6%
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 30, 2026?Yes 1.1%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports

How to Rob a Bank · Rotten Tomatoes score
K 58.1K contractsHow to Rob a Bank Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 45)Yes 79.5%
How to Rob a Bank Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 50)Yes 73.5%
How to Rob a Bank Rotten Tomatoes score? (Above 55)Yes 69.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PM $55.0KWill Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 41%
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 23.8%
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes 21.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?
K 57.6K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Corrupt / Corruption)Yes 2%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Student Loan / Student Debt)Yes 0.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026? (Socialist / Socialism)Yes 0.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
PM $52.9KWill Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 33.5%
Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 25%
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 20%
+23 moreNext deadline Mar 14, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
K 57.3K contractsWill the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?Yes 99.5%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?Yes 99.5%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 21 million views?Yes 99.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
PM $52.6KJustin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?Yes 17.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld

Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
K 57.3K contractsWill Quen Blackwell be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Candice Swanepoel be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
PM $52.5KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 81.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 15.5%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
K 57.1K contractsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Yes 52%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2035 UTC
PolymarketTech

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?
PM $51.6KWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes 59%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes 4.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
K 56.8K contractsWill Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 22.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%
Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

#2 Spotify Artist 2026
PM $51.6KWill Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes 76.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes 16%
Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes 1.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics

Grammy nominees: Best New Artist
K 56.3K contracts2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Ella Langley)Yes 98.5%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Slayyyter)Yes 76%
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (SIENNA SPIRO)Yes 76%
+74 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture

The Game Awards: Best Multiplayer
PM $50.6KWill Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 25.4%
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 11.5%
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes 8.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
K 55.7K contractsWill Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Apr 2027?Yes 68%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Mar 2027?Yes 43.5%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Feb 2027?Yes 32%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

2nd richest person on December 31?
PM $48.3KWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 58.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 39.3%
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 23.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

Jimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?
K 55.5K contractsWill Jimmy Kimmel get fired?Yes 5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PM $47.8KWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 79%
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 12%
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes 6.8%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment

When will Manon leave Katseye?
K 55.5K contractsWill Manon leave Katseye before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will Manon leave Katseye before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Manon leave Katseye before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 32%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PM $47.5KWill OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 84.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 4.8%
Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC