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Showing 1-48 of 300 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiScience and Technology
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
K 2.02M contractsHantavirus Public Health Emergency of International Concern by 2026?Yes 3.9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiHealth
Pandemic in 2026?
PM $18.62M · K 984.0K contractsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Kalshi: Pandemic in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
K 944.1K contractsWill Hugh Jackman perform as Wolverine in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 92%
Will Ryan Reynolds perform as Deadpool in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90.5%
Will Benedict Cumberbatch perform as Doctor Strange in Avengers: Doomsday?Yes 90%
+16 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
PolymarketKalshiClimate
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PM $8.13M · K 629.5K contractsWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 84.5%
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Kalshi: Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
Related contracts
PM Yes 53%Rules differK Yes 56%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
K 502.2K contractsWill there be an at least 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?Yes 4.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
K 426.7K contractsWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 69.8%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
K 413.9K contractsWill the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?Yes 20.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
K 386.7K contractsWill a human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 71.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 34.5%
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 29.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?
K 226.1K contractsWill it rain in West Palm Beach between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Trenton between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Seattle between Oct 17 and Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?
K 216.1K contractsWill it rain in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 49%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 27%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
K 171.3K contractsWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?Yes 6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
K 152.8K contractsWill there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will there be more than 3 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
K 146.7K contractsWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Oil)Yes 62.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Coal)Yes 13.5%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? (Gas)Yes 6.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 30, 2032 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?
K 135.7K contractsTotal snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 97.5%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 10 inches)Yes 97.5%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? (Above 15 inches)Yes 92.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
When will Big Sky open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 128.6K contractsWill Big Sky open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Big Sky open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne?
K 108.9K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Melbourne originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Social Security)Yes 99.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
K 106.4K contractsWill the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.5°C and 2.9°C?Yes 57.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be at least 3.0°C?Yes 35.5%
Will the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season be between 2.0°C and 2.4°C?Yes 4%
+2 moreNext deadline Aug 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
First Solar module volume sold in Q3
K 104.5K contractsWill First Solar Inc. report Above 3700 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3800 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will First Solar Inc. report Above 3900 mw module volume sold in Q3 2026?Yes 86.5%
+15 moreNext deadline Feb 25, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa?
K 103.2K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Working Class)Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Trump (5+ times))Yes 99.5%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Tampa originally scheduled for October 17, 2026? (Tax Break)Yes 99.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026?
K 92.1K contractsRain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 68%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 10%
Rain in Los Angeles in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 4%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
K 85.2K contractsWill there be more than 5 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will there be more than 4 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 4.5%
Will there be more than 6 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
K 81.9K contractsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2000)Yes 96.5%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 2500)Yes 84.5%
What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration? (At least 4000)Yes 80%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2029 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?
K 77.2K contractsWill Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026?
K 74.0K contractsSnow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 34.5%
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 24.5%
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? (Above 6 inches)Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
K 71.1K contractsWill Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94.5%
Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 94%
Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Oct 2026 press conference?Yes 81%
+44 moreNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
K 67.3K contractsNew pandemic by 2026?Yes 4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
K 65.7K contractsWhen will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2029)Yes 91.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jul 1, 2028)Yes 87.5%
When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)? (Before Jan 1, 2028)Yes 72.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
K 65.4K contractsNortheast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate
US meets its climate goals?
K 63.5K contractsWill the US meet its climate goals? (By 2030)Yes 17.9%
Will the US meet its climate goals? (By 2025)Yes 12%
2 mktsNext deadline Dec 31, 2030 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
K 62.4K contractsWill Omar be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 37.5%
Will Josephine be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 34%
Will Rene be categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?Yes 30%
+14 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Hanna category?
K 61.6K contractsWill Hanna become a Category 5 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Hanna become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
Will Hanna become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
K 52.3K contractsWill there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 28.5%
Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 6.5%
Will there be more than 14 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?Yes 3.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Nolo category?
K 51.9K contractsWill Nolo become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Nolo become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
Will Nolo become a Category 2 hurricane?Yes 99.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
K 51.5K contractsHow much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 15 inches)Yes 89.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 10 inches)Yes 87%
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027? (Above 25 inches)Yes 77%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
K 51.4K contractsFlorida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Yes 1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
K 45.7K contractsWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?Yes 31.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
K 45.5K contractsWill the maximum temperature be >85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 31.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 9.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
K 42.8K contractsWill there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?Yes 5.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?
K 42.6K contractsWill the maximum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 43.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 60-61° on Oct 18, 2026?Yes 5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?
K 41.3K contractsWill Aspen Mountain open before Dec 13, 2026?Yes 95.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Dec 6, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will Aspen Mountain open before Nov 29, 2026?Yes 88.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Hims subscribers in 2026
K 40.8K contractsWill Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.8 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 97%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.84 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.88 million subscribers in 2026?Yes 95%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
K 38.5K contractsWhen will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before 2027)Yes 39%
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List? (Before November)Yes 9.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
EV market share in 2030?
K 38.3K contractsEV market share in 2030? (Above 10%)Yes 85%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 20%)Yes 63%
EV market share in 2030? (Above 30%)Yes 46.5%
+1 moreNext deadline May 1, 2030 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will Trump make IVF free?
K 37.5K contractsWill Trump make IVF free?Yes 13.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 27, 2029 UTC
KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
K 35.4K contractsWhen will a supervolcano next erupt?Yes 33.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2050 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
K 34.7K contractsWill Olana be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 59.5%
Will Pena be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will Wale be categorized as a hurricane in the Central Pacific in 2026?Yes 12%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Hurricane Lala category?
K 34.3K contractsWill Lala become a Category 3 hurricane?Yes 95%
Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane?Yes 94.5%
Will Lala become a Category 1 hurricane?Yes 93.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Dec 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
K 34.1K contractsWill Trudy be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Vance be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 62.5%
Will Zeke be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?Yes 61.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC