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Showing 2,209-2,256 of 7,053 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Taiwan Local Elections winner?
K 9.7K contractsWill Kuomintang win the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?Yes 71%
Will Democratic Progressive Party win the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?Yes 24.5%
Will Taiwan People’s Party win the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections?Yes 2%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
PM $24.4KWill Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?Yes 98.8%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 5th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?Yes 98.3%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 25.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 84%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?Yes 73.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Florida's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 60.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
PM $24.3KWill Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes 96.5%
Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Yes 1.9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Maryland Governor winner?
PM $24.3K · K 66.1K contractsWill the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maryland
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.5%Rules differK Yes 97%
Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.8%Rules differK Yes 2.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
K 9.7K contractsWill the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 12%?Yes 51.5%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 14%?Yes 50%
Will the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 16%?Yes 49.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?
K 9.7K contractsWill Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 5.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.3KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 31.2%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 30.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 23.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 9.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner
PM $24.3KWill Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes 96.4%
Will Martin Ross win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-08 House winner?
K 9.6K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TN-08?Yes 96.3%
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-08?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
PM $24.2KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?Yes 29%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?Yes 21.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Yes 16.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 8th District margin of victory
K 9.6K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 83.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 71.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 54.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PM $24.2KHouse favorite on November 2 wins the election?Yes 90.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Buffalo vs Las Vegas: 1st Touchdown
K 9.6K contractsJames Cook III: 1st TouchdownYes 16%
Josh Allen: 1st TouchdownYes 15%
Ashton Jeanty: 1st TouchdownYes 11%
+21 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PM $24.2KWill the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 62.5%
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 36%
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes 17.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 29, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
IN-01 House winner?
PM $24.1K · K 31.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97%Rules differK Yes 97%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 1.6%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
K 9.6K contractsWill it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 88.5%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 81%
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 54.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?
K 9.5K contractsWill Justin Jones win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 59%
Will Crystalyne Curley win the 2026 Navajo Nation presidential election?Yes 41%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
PM $24.1KWill Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 40.5%
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 26%
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 20.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-04 House winner?
K 9.5K contractsWill Democratic win the House race for VA-04?Yes 98.2%
Will Republican win the House race for VA-04?Yes 1.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $24.0KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 33%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 31%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 18.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgia's 10th District margin of victory
K 9.5K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 91.1%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 82.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?Yes 73%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-05 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes 93%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?Yes 6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout
K 9.5K contractsWill at least 4,800,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 97.5%
Will at least 4,900,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 97%
Will at least 5,000,000 ballots be cast in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election?Yes 94.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-06 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes 96.2%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which referendum questions will pass in Alberta?
K 9.5K contractsWill Question 5 pass?Yes 95%
Will Question 3 pass?Yes 90%
Will Question 4 pass?Yes 89%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MI-01 House Election Winner
PM $24.0KWill the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes 88.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes 10.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won
K 9.5K contractsWill PL hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 94.5%
Will PSD hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%
Will MDB hold 1 seats in all 27 Brazilian governorships (the 26 states and the Federal District), counted together as a single aggregate body for purposes of this Contract after the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections?Yes 3.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PM $23.9KWill the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 37.5%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 31%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 26.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
K 9.5K contractsWill the CDC end its recommendation for the COVID-19 vaccine?Yes 13.5%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Influenza vaccine?Yes 9%
Will the CDC end its recommendation for the Hepatitis B vaccine?Yes 5.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 32.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 14.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Idaho Governor election: Brad Little vote percent
K 9.5K contractsWill Brad Little receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 96.5%
Will Brad Little receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 95.5%
Will Brad Little receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election?Yes 91%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Virginia Senate winner?
PM $23.8K · K 35.4K contractsWill the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Virginia?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.9%Rules differK Yes 97.7%
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Virginia?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 2.7%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
PM $23.8K · K 93.1K contractsWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 77%Rules differK Yes 73.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Minnesota?
Related contracts
PM Yes 23.5%Rules differK Yes 27.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
K 9.4K contractsWill Alani Bankhead receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 79%
Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 74%
Will Alani Bankhead receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election?Yes 49.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Director
K 9.4K contractsWill Christopher Nolan be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 93%
Will Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Denis Villeneuve be on the list of nominees for Best Director at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-10 House Election Winner
PM $23.7KWill the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?Yes 97.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?Yes 2.2%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
K 9.4K contractsWill Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?
PM $23.7KWill the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 29.5%
Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 27.5%
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes 20%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
K 9.4K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in South Carolina be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 80%-85%?Yes 32%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 85%-90%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 75%-80%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
PM $23.7K · K 6.3K contractsWill Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?
Kalshi: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?
K 9.4K contractsWill the number of Republican governors be at least 21 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 89%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 22 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 75%
Will the number of Republican governors be at least 23 once all gubernatorial elections scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 (including runoffs) are conclusively called or certified, per the USELECTION contract?Yes 58.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
K 9.4K contractsWill percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 56.0%?Yes 79%
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 58.0%?Yes 68%
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%?Yes 50.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.6KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 19.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 14.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC