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Showing 2,305-2,352 of 7,028 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
K 9.2K contractsWill it be reported that Joe Biden Using Ambien before debates?Yes 6.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PM $23.8KAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Yes 2.4%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
K 9.1K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 2.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Virginia Senate winner?
PM $23.8K · K 35.6K contractsWill the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Virginia?
Related contracts
PM Yes 98%Rules differK Yes 97.5%
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Virginia?
Related contracts
PM Yes 1.9%Rules differK Yes 2.1%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AR-03 House winner?
K 9.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for AR-03?Yes 96.2%
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-03?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.8KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 25.1%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes 21.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?
K 9.1K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the federal government withdraws CBP officers from a U.S. international airport in response to sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $23.8KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 24.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 18.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
K 9.1K contractsWhat cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2029?Yes 7.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.7KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes 20%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes 16%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes 14.8%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?
K 9.0K contractsWill SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-10 House Election Winner
PM $23.7KWill the Democratic Party win the FL-10 House seat?Yes 97.7%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?Yes 2.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VA-09 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for VA-09?Yes 96.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-09?Yes 3.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.7KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 27%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso?
K 9.0K contractsWhat will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Elon / Musk)Yes 94%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 92%
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026? (Trump (5+ times))Yes 88%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.6KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 10%-15%?Yes 32%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?Yes 24.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 18.6%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory
K 9.0K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 88.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OH-04 House Election Winner
PM $23.5KWill the Republican Party win the OH-04 House seat?Yes 95%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-04 House seat?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
K 9.0K contractsWill Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 56.5%
Will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Mar 1, 2027?Yes 28.5%
Will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $23.4KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 30%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 29.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 16.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
K 9.0K contractsWill John Malkovich be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 90.5%
Will Tom Cruise be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 82.5%
Will Seth Rogen be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 81.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PM $23.4KWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?Yes 32.5%
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?Yes 30%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?Yes 19%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
PA-11 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for PA-11?Yes 95.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-11?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MA-03 House Election Winner
PM $23.3KWill the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes 96.7%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
GTA VI · In-game radio artist(s) at launch
K 9.0K contractsWill Tate McRae perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 94%
Will Charli xcx perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 93%
Will Cardi B perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?Yes 85%
+24 moreNext deadline Nov 26, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.3KWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 20%-25%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?Yes 22.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 12.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-06 House winner?
K 9.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NC-06?Yes 89.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-06?Yes 10%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.2KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Yes 28.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?Yes 27%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes 21.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-30 House election: Frederick Haynes vote percent
K 8.9K contractsWill Frederick Haynes receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 92%
Will Frederick Haynes receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 84.5%
Will Frederick Haynes receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-30 House election?Yes 75.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout
PM $23.2KWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?Yes 29.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?Yes 23%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000?Yes 15%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
What will Ally Financial say during their next earnings call?
K 8.9K contractsWhat will Ally Financial Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Headwind)Yes 93%
What will Ally Financial Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Volatility)Yes 74.5%
What will Ally Financial Inc. say during their next earnings call? (Tailwind)Yes 64.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate winner?
PM $23.2K · K 145.9K contractsWill the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Related contracts
PM Yes 97.1%Rules differK Yes 96.5%
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Jersey?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 3.2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 22.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 12%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 8th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 5.7%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
PM $23.2KWill voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Yes 41.5%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Yes 39%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Yes 17%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio's 9th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 69%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 64.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 9th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 56.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PM $23.1KWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Yes 9%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 80%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 63%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 42.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.1KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?Yes 29.3%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes 19%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?Yes 16%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory
PM $23.1K · K 11.2K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-41?
Related contracts
PM Yes 95.6%Rules differK Yes 94.9%
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-41 House election?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?
Related contracts
PM Yes 5.2%Rules differK Yes 4.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-41?
Related contracts
PM Yes 4.2%Rules differK Yes 4.3%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York's 17th District margin of victory
K 8.9K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 51.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 41%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 27%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
CA-27 House winner?
PM $23.0K · K 7.7K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for CA-27?
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.1%Rules differK Yes 95.8%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for CA-27?
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.9%Rules differK Yes 2%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio: Acton's margin vs. Brown's margin?
K 8.8K contractsWill Amy Acton's governor margin minus Sherrod Brown's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 43%
Will Sherrod Brown's Senate margin minus Amy Acton's governor margin be between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 26.5%
Will Amy Acton's governor margin minus Sherrod Brown's Senate margin be between 3 and 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?Yes 13%
+5 moreNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Turkish general election winner?
K 8.8K contractsWho will win the next Turkish general election? (AKP)Yes 71.5%
Who will win the next Turkish general election? (CHP)Yes 17.5%
Who will win the next Turkish general election? (MHP)Yes 2.6%
+1 moreNext deadline May 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner
PM $23.0KWill Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes 27.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes 17.5%
Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes 17.5%
+17 moreNext deadline Jan 23, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 1st District margin of victory
K 8.8K contractsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?Yes 93.1%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?Yes 81.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?Yes 72%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
PM $23.0KKristi Noem impeached in 2026?Yes 1.7%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will endorse Susan Collins?
K 8.8K contractsWill Jared Golden endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 9%
Will Greg Elder endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 8%
Will Olympia Snowe endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 7%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory
PM $22.9KWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 35%-40%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?Yes 14.8%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 30%-35%?Yes 13%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC