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Showing 433-480 of 840 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiWorld
NASCAR Freeway Insurance 500: Top 20 Finishers
K 15.2K contractsCup Series: Ty Gibbs to finish in the top 20Yes 79%
Cup Series: Ryan Blaney to finish in the top 20Yes 72.5%
Cup Series: Joey Logano to finish in the top 20Yes 72.5%
+34 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026
K 15.0K contractsWill Yumi Nu wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
Will Stella Maxwell wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
Will Precious Lee wear a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 50%
+19 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#3 song on Spotify in 2026?
K 15.0K contractsWill Beauty and a Beat be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will Babydoll be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 10%
Will SWIM be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 5.5%
+24 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
K 14.9K contractsHow bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 440)Yes 83%
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 445)Yes 27.5%
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030? (At least 450)Yes 17%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 16, 2030 UTC
KalshiTech
Big Ten: Passing Yards Leader
K 14.8K contractsJayden Maiava records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 35.5%
Ryan Browne records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 24%
Dante Moore records the most passing yards in the Big TenYes 22%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI company this month
K 14.7K contractsTop Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)Yes 52%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Alibaba)Yes 29%
Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Z.ai)Yes 23%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
K 14.5K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act has entered into force and become legally operative between the two governments before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Pro Football Teams to go Undefeated in their Division
K 14.2K contractsWill Any team go undefeated in their division?Yes 66%
Will Tampa Bay go undefeated in their division?Yes 50%
Will Pittsburgh go undefeated in their division?Yes 50%
+30 moreNext deadline Jan 19, 2027 UTC
KalshiElections
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
K 14.2K contractsWill Nigel Farage announce their departure as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Cleveland: Team Specials
K 13.9K contractsThe Cleveland Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game?Yes 50.5%
Quinshon Judkins records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game?Yes 43%
The Cleveland Pro Football Team records 425+ passing yards in a single game?Yes 29%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 18, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun: Engaged this year?
K 13.8K contractsWill Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun be engaged in 2026?Yes 40%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
K 13.6K contractsWill a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 16%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 16%
Will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 4.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Total space launches in October
K 13.6K contractsHow many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 9)Yes 99%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 10)Yes 98.5%
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026? (Above 11)Yes 83%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin Keynote?
K 13.5K contractsWhat will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Rubin / Vera Rubin)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)Yes 97.5%
What will Jensen Huang say during GTC Berlin 2026 Keynote? (Robot / Robotic / Robotics)Yes 88.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?
K 13.5K contractsWill U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?Yes 32.2%
1 mktNext deadline May 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
K 13.2K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Mexico reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 36%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States and Canada reach, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, a written interim or framework agreement establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 27.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 25.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lightweight Title on Dec 31, 2027?
K 13.0K contractsMateusz Gamrot to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Benoit Saint-Denis to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
Alexander Volkanovski to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027Yes 48%
+9 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiSports
Thomas Tuchel: Out by Date
K 12.9K contractsWill Thomas Tuchel be out before Jul 10, 2028?Yes 48.5%
Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jun 1, 2028?Yes 42%
Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
eToro funded accounts in Q3
K 12.9K contractsWill eToro Group Ltd. report Above 4.25 million funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 99%
Will eToro Group Ltd. report Above 4.15 million funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will eToro Group Ltd. report Above 4.2 million funded accounts in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 10, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
K 12.8K contractsWill Ye visit The United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 10.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?
K 12.6K contractsWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 64.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 33.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?
K 12.4K contractsWill Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 be above 194.3 million pounds?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Baseball: 500+ Foot Home Run
K 12.3K contractsWill any hitter record a 500+ foot home run (per Statcast measurement)?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Google headcount in Q3
K 12.2K contractsWill Alphabet Inc. report Above 199 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Alphabet Inc. report Above 197 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Alphabet Inc. report Above 198 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Carolina vs Calgary: Goals
K 12.2K contractsSebastian Aho: 1+ goalsYes 36%
Andrei Svechnikov: 1+ goalsYes 33.5%
Logan Stankoven: 1+ goalsYes 29.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top podcast on Spotify in 2026?
K 11.8K contractsWhat will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Joe Rogan Experience)Yes 91%
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von)Yes 3%
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett)Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
K 11.8K contractsWill Adam Telle be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 42.5%
Will Sean Parnell be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will Michael Obadal be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 7%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 20
K 11.7K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 51.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Dmitry AndreikinYes 35%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Sina MovahedYes 34.5%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
K 11.6K contractsWill United Kingdom officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Ukraine officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Sweden officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
+35 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Rushing + Receiving Yards
K 11.5K contractsBlake Corum: 25+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 97%
Blake Corum: 50+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 84.5%
Tyler Allgeier: 45+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 55%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP
K 10.9K contracts2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $42,000?Yes 95%
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $42,500?Yes 70.5%
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP above $43,000?Yes 14%
+6 moreNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
K 10.8K contractsWill Meta have a higher Arena Score than OpenAI at the end of 2026?Yes 88%
Will OpenAI have a higher Arena Score than Meta at the end of 2026?Yes 11.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.6K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 15.7%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.4%Yes 48.5%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.9%Yes 48%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
K 10.6K contractsWill the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?Yes 52.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
KalshiWorld
Erling Haaland: Next Club
K 10.4K contractsWhere will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)Yes 31.5%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)Yes 20%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)Yes 11.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Sep 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
K 10.2K contractsWill Chuck Edwards be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 2%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Chicago vs Atlanta: Receiving Yards (Protected)
K 10.1K contractsLuther Burden III: 50+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 88%
Kyle Pitts Sr.: 25+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 87.5%
Drake London: 50+ receiving yards (Protected)Yes 87.5%
+90 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)
K 10.0K contractsOpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 18.6%Yes 54%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.8%Yes 49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests across the top labs above 26.0%Yes 49%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Receiving Yards Escalator
K 10.0K contractsPuka Nacua Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 12.4%
Trey McBride Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 10.1%
Davante Adams Receiving Yards EscalatorYes 6.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
K 9.8K contractsAbove 10 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 83%
Above 15 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 70%
Above 20 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026Yes 42%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
K 9.7K contractsWill Massachusetts’s annual-average employment in Scientific Research and Development Services for 2026 be above 103,400 jobs?Yes 61.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA?
K 9.6K contractsParamount HQ relocation announcement before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 40.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 38.5%
Paramount HQ relocation announcement before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 21%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
K 9.6K contractsWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?Yes 80.5%
Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?Yes 64%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.6K contractsWill the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31?Yes 52%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31?Yes 45.5%
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiHealth
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
K 9.3K contractsWhen will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before April 2027)Yes 83%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before 2027)Yes 71.5%
When will COMPASS Pathways plc submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA? (before December)Yes 57.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiScience and Technology
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
K 9.2K contractsWill the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.68 by Dec 31?Yes 49.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.38 by Dec 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $3.23 by Dec 31?Yes 45%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC