Politics prediction markets

6,945 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.

Market data updated Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.

Politics Sports Culture Crypto Climate Economics Mentions Companies Financials Tech Science Health World Clear categories

Showing 625-672 of 6,945 event groups

Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Georgia Governor winner?

PM $204.7K · K 1.80M contracts

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Georgia

Related contracts

PM Yes 51.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%

Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia

Related contracts

PM Yes 48.5%Rules differK Yes 51.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiEconomics

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 32.5%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 9%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Kalshi: Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 6.5%Rules differK Yes 4.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

K 60.0K contracts

Will Mike Lee vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 8%

Will Jerry Moran vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 8%

Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?Yes 7.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

K 59.9K contracts

AI regulation by 2027?Yes 6.1%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $200.9K

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 1.4%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

K 59.9K contracts

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 53%

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 51%

Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 42.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

PM $200.8K

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Yes 2.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

K 59.7K contracts

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 6.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

PM $198.2K

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes 7%

1 mktNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiWorld

Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models

K 59.6K contracts

Will Rosie Huntington-Whiteley be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will Quen Blackwell be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will Joan Smalls be an official runway model at Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?Yes 99.5%

+34 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

PM $195.4K

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 2.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

K 59.6K contracts

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 11 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 10 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 98%

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates be at least 12 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 96.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

PM $193.6K

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 18.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

PM $192.8K · K 104.9K contracts

Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse James Talarico in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas before Nov 3, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 23.5%Rules differK Yes 26.5%

Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Kalshi: Will Bernie Sanders endorse Dan Osborn in the 2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska before Nov 3, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.6%Rules differK Yes 6.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiCrypto

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

K 59.5K contracts

Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 2 in 2026?Yes 65%

Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 3 in 2026?Yes 29%

Will the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) be exactly 4 in 2026?Yes 7.4%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

CA-06 House winner?

K 59.0K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-06?Yes 94.5%

Will Kevin Kiley win the House race for CA-06?Yes 5.2%

Will Republican win the House race for CA-06?Yes 0.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

PM $191.9K

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes 5.3%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiElections

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

K 58.9K contracts

Will Democrats hold 240 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 54 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?Yes 20%

1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

PM $190.8K

Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Yes 19.5%

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes 17.5%

Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?Yes 15%

+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

K 58.9K contracts

Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 53.5%

Will Los Angeles Mayor be Karen Bass wins AND California Governor be Xavier Becerra wins for Nov 2026?Yes 46.5%

Will Los Angeles Mayor be Nithya Raman wins AND California Governor be Steve Hilton wins for Nov 2026?Yes 2.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

PM $188.7K

Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes 23.5%

Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes 13.5%

Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Yes 4.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Arizona Governor winner?

PM $188.4K · K 824.2K contracts

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.5%Rules differK Yes 90.9%

Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 88.5%Rules differK Yes 90.9%

Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona

Related contracts

PM Yes 11%Rules differK Yes 9.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will James Talarico drop out?

K 58.8K contracts

Will James Talarico drop out of the 2026 Texas Senate race before Nov 3, 2026?Yes 1.5%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

MD-01 House winner?

K 58.3K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for MD-01?Yes 87.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for MD-01?Yes 13.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Which bills will become law in 2026?

PM $187.0K

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Yes 30.5%

Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes 22.5%

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes 19.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

K 57.8K contracts

Will become President of the United States before 2045?Yes 20.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Another NATO article 4 by...?

PM $186.6K

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes 23.5%

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: October

K 57.4K contracts

Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 2 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 87.5%

Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 2%

Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in October 2026?Yes 1.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

PM $186.4K

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Yes 4.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiWorld

Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?

K 57.3K contracts

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2.5%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Enrique Tarrio has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 2%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

EU dissolves before 2027?

PM $185.5K

EU dissolves before 2027?Yes 1.9%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

K 57.3K contracts

Will eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 95%

Will eBay Inc. report Above $84.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 88.5%

Will eBay Inc. report Above $85 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?Yes 85.5%

+14 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

PM $184.0K

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?Yes 93%

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 29, 2026?Yes 90.5%

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Yes 89.5%

+6 more

KalshiPolitics

European Central Bank rate decision in October

K 57.0K contracts

Will the European Central Bank Maintain current rate at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 95.5%

Will the European Central Bank Hike 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 4%

Will the European Central Bank Cut 1-25bps at the October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting?Yes 1%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

PM $182.9K

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes 2.8%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

VA-06 House winner?

K 56.8K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for VA-06?Yes 93%

Will Democratic win the House race for VA-06?Yes 7.4%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Montana Senate winner?

PM $181.4K · K 907.3K contracts

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 90.5%

Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Independents win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 8.3%Rules differK Yes 9.8%

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiTech

When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?

K 56.8K contracts

Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 23%

Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029?Yes 14.5%

Will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 6.6%

+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

PM $180.3K

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes 2.7%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?

PM $179.2K · K 29.2K contracts

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Kalshi: Will Lorne Doerkson be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%

Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Kalshi: Will Lorne Doerkson become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 77.5%Rules differK Yes 76.5%

Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?

Kalshi: Will David Eby become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

K 56.6K contracts

Will legislation that prohibits ICE agents conducting immigration enforcement operations from wearing facial coverings, with limited exceptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 7.6%

Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in enforcement operations to wear body-worn cameras become law in 2026?Yes 6.2%

Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in law enforcement or immigration enforcement activities to wear a clearly visible, scannable QR code become law before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 4.3%

+3 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Grammy nominees: Best New Artist

K 56.3K contracts

2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Ella Langley)Yes 98.5%

2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (SIENNA SPIRO)Yes 78.5%

2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? (Slayyyter)Yes 76%

+74 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

PM $178.1K

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes 2.8%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

AR-02 House winner?

K 56.0K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for AR-02?Yes 83.5%

Will Democratic win the House race for AR-02?Yes 16.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

PolymarketPolitics

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

PM $177.0K

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes 4.5%

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Politics prediction markets

Georgia Governor winner?

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

CA-06 House winner?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Arizona Governor winner?

Will James Talarico drop out?

MD-01 House winner?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

Another NATO article 4 by...?

Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: October

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?

EU dissolves before 2027?

eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

VA-06 House winner?

Montana Senate winner?

When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

Grammy nominees: Best New Artist

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

AR-02 House winner?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?