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Showing 817-864 of 1,619 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiEconomics
Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?
K 12.4K contractsWill Mississippi’s foodsize catfish sales by live weight for 2026 be above 194.3 million pounds?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Mar 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?
PM $7.4KFrontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Baseball: 500+ Foot Home Run
K 12.3K contractsWill any hitter record a 500+ foot home run (per Statcast measurement)?Yes 3%
1 mktNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?
PM $7.3KRen Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?Yes 3.1%
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31?Yes 0.7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies: #1 search
K 12.3K contractsWill Obsession be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 39.5%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 30.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global - Movies list?Yes 8.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PM $7.3KWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 33%
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 22%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 16.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Google headcount in Q3
K 12.2K contractsWill Alphabet Inc. report Above 199 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Alphabet Inc. report Above 197 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 97.5%
Will Alphabet Inc. report Above 198 thousand headcount in Q3 2026?Yes 97%
+12 moreNext deadline Mar 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PM $7.3KEU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Yes 19.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week?
K 12.2K contractsWill Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 59.5%
Will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 8.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?
PM $7.2KWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?Yes 5.3%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
When will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released?
K 12.2K contractsWill the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Dec 1, 2027?Yes 90%
Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Aug 1, 2027?Yes 87.5%
Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 87%
+1 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PM $7.1KApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Yes 2.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Carolina vs Calgary: Goals
K 12.2K contractsSebastian Aho: 1+ goalsYes 36%
Andrei Svechnikov: 1+ goalsYes 33.5%
Logan Stankoven: 1+ goalsYes 29.5%
+57 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Astra removed from public access by...?
PM $7.1KAstra removed from public access by October 31?Yes 1.9%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026
K 12.1K contractsWill Reddit Inc. report Above 136 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 92.5%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 138 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 78%
Will Reddit Inc. report Above 140 million daily active uniques in 2026?Yes 57.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
PM $7.1KAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?Yes 41%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?Yes 26%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?Yes 10%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Portland Trailblazers bought and changed to Seattle SuperSonics?
K 12.1K contractsWill the Portland Trailblazers be bought and become the Seattle SuperSonics?Yes 12%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2030 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
PM $7.1KWill Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32.9%
Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32.5%
Will Yashar win 18-20% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 32.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiHealth
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
K 12.1K contractsWill the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2031?Yes 54.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2032?Yes 51.5%
Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 47.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
PM $6.9KWill Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 42%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 24%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 21.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026?
K 12.0K contractsRain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 38.5%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 27%
Rain in NYC in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 10%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?
PM $6.8KWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?Yes 30.5%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026?Yes 25.5%
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?Yes 23%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top podcast on Spotify in 2026?
K 11.8K contractsWhat will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Joe Rogan Experience)Yes 91%
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von)Yes 3%
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? (The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett)Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Mar 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google 2026
PM $6.8KWill Dolly Parton rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Yes 95.3%
Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Yes 71%
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Yes 70.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
K 11.8K contractsWill Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?Yes 83.5%
1 mktNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Grok Bot on the free plan by...?
PM $6.7KWill Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Yes 8.5%
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?Yes 7%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
K 11.8K contractsWill Adam Telle be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 42.5%
Will Sean Parnell be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 20.5%
Will Michael Obadal be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?Yes 7%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2030 UTC
PolymarketTech
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PM $6.5KBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Yes 14.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 20
K 11.7K contractsTitled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Hikaru NakamuraYes 51.5%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Dmitry AndreikinYes 35%
Titled Tuesday Oct 20, 2026 Top 8 Finishers: Sina MovahedYes 34.5%
+68 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?
PM $6.5KWill GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Yes 65.5%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Yes 54.5%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Yes 6%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?
K 11.7K contractsWill any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: Together vote share?
PM $6.5KWill Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 40.5%
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 29.5%
Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 17.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
K 11.7K contractsWill Stifel Financial take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 40%
Will Raymond James take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 37.5%
Will Needham & Company take OpenAI public before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 35%
+12 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?
PM $6.5KWill Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 38.5%
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 38%
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 32%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCrypto
OpenRouter AI token usage in October
K 11.6K contractsWill OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 500T tokens?Yes 99.5%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 450T tokens?Yes 99%
Will OpenRouter AI token usage for October 2026 (Sep 28–Oct 25) be above 550T tokens?Yes 98.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?
PM $6.5KWill the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes 62.5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Yes 55.5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Yes 49%
+1 moreNext deadline Jul 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiWorld
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
K 11.6K contractsWill United Kingdom officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Ukraine officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
Will Sweden officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?Yes 94.5%
+35 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?
PM $6.4KWill United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 47%
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 23.5%
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes 22.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Rushing + Receiving Yards
K 11.5K contractsBlake Corum: 25+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 97%
Blake Corum: 50+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 84.5%
Tyler Allgeier: 45+ rushing and receiving yards combinedYes 55%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $6.2KWill Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes 19.5%
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?Yes 4.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026?
K 11.4K contractsRain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)Yes 70%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)Yes 25%
Rain in Austin in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 24.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 16, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?
PM $6.2KWill GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Yes 33%
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes 23%
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?Yes 23%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
K 11.3K contractsWill O’Hare International Airport’s total passenger volume for 2026 be above 84,856,018 passengers?Yes 96.5%
1 mktNext deadline May 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PM $6.0KWill Nuevas Ideas (NI) gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 77%
Will PCN gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 3.8%
Will ARENA gain the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 3.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in December
K 11.1K contractsWill the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $2.00 in December 2026?Yes 87.5%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.00 in December 2026?Yes 67%
Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H100 be above $3.75 in December 2026?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
PM $5.9KSSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Yes 12.5%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
K 11.0K contractsWill Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 68.5%
Will Training Season (Live) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
Will TRALALA rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 18, 2026?Yes 48.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PM $5.9KWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 39.5%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 39%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 11.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC