Browse prediction markets

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Yes 28.5%

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

PM $159.7K

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Yes 20%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Yes 18.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November

PM $157.1K · K 25.5K contracts

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 82%Rules differK Yes 81%

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 70.5%Rules differK Yes 81%

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Board meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 16%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

KalshiCrypto

How low will ZEC get in October?

K 42.8K contracts

Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $1040.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 95%

Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $1030.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 54.5%

Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $1060.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 54.5%

+90 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will John Healey be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Yes 14%

Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

K 42.5K contracts

Will Miatta Fahnbulleh be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Yes 9%

Will Angela Eagle be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Yes 6%

+20 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes 38%

Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?

PM $155.4K

Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $20/MTok in 2026?Yes 5.5%

KalshiCrypto

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?

K 42.3K contracts

Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $15/MTok in 2026?Yes 5.5%

Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $10/MTok in 2026?Yes 5.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes 79%

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

PM $155.2K

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes 21.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?Yes 7.2%

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

K 42.0K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes 2.8%

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

PM $154.8K

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?Yes 97.2%

Rhode Island Attorney General winner?

K 42.0K contracts

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?Yes 1.1%

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Yes 1.8%

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?

PM $152.9K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will Florida be the #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 83.5%

College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll

K 41.9K contracts

Will Duke be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 12%

Will UConn be #1 ranked team on Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 rankings?Yes 1.5%

+9 moreNext deadline Dec 29, 2026 UTC

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Yes 4.5%

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

PM $152.2K

Will Republican win the House race for NJ-02?Yes 82.5%

NJ-02 House winner?

K 41.3K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-02?Yes 17.5%

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 21.3%

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

PM $151.4K

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (No other person)Yes 43%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

K 41.3K contracts

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Dan Driscoll)Yes 19%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? (Joni Ernst)Yes 6%

+14 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 14.5%

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

PM $151.1K

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.1%

2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 19.5%

Ohio's 7th District margin of victory

K 41.2K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 7.7%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 7th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 3.8%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Yes 32.5%

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?

PM $150.3K

Will Democratic win the House race for IA-02?Yes 59.5%

IA-02 House winner?

K 41.2K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for IA-02?Yes 41.5%

Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?Yes 18%

Russia coup attempt by...?

PM $150.2K

Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 3%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

KalshiCrypto

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

K 40.8K contracts

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 33%

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?Yes 23.5%

Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 6.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 60.5%

Will Oro launch a token by ___?

PM $150.2K

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will there be more than 260 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 95.5%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

K 40.8K contracts

Will there be more than 270 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 92.5%

Will there be more than 280 transit calls through the Suez Canal from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?Yes 83.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 25, 2027 UTC

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Yes 71%

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

PM $148.7K

Will Democratic win the House race for OR-06?Yes 96.8%

OR-06 House winner?

K 40.7K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for OR-06?Yes 2.4%

Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 66.5%

Cambria FDV above ___ one day after launch?

PM $148.4K

Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes 44.5%

Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes 25.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 3.5%

Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?

K 40.7K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC

Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes 95%

Will Cambria launch a token by ___?

PM $148.4K

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.3%

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.6%

3 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 88.1%

Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

K 40.7K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 77.5%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 67.5%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.5%

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

PM $146.3K

1 mktNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 90.5%

How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

K 40.2K contracts

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 15 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 82.5%

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 16 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 72%

+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 54%

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

PM $146.1K

Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 45.9%

Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 1.7%

+2 more

KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?

K 40.1K contracts

Will HJR 6 pass?Yes 94.5%

Will HJR 4 pass?Yes 48%

Will Proposition 1 pass?Yes 12%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Yes 1.8%

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

PM $145.8K

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-07?Yes 96.4%

TX-07 House winner?

K 40.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for TX-07?Yes 2.4%

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.5%

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

PM $145.3K