Browse prediction markets

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 88.1%

Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

K 40.7K contracts

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 77%

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 67%

+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 1%

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)

K 40.6K contracts

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 0.5%

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?Yes 0.5%

+1 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Yes 16%

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

PM $99.7K

1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

KalshiElections

Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?

K 40.5K contracts

Will HJR 6 pass?Yes 94%

Will HJR 4 pass?Yes 52.5%

Will Proposition 1 pass?Yes 8.5%

3 mktsNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Yes 0.7%

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

PM $99.6K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 90.5%

How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

K 40.2K contracts

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 15 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 83.5%

Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates be at least 16 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?Yes 72.5%

+10 moreNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Yes 59.5%

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...?

PM $98.7K

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Dec 31?Yes 6.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-07?Yes 96.4%

TX-07 House winner?

K 40.1K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for TX-07?Yes 2.5%

Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes 95.7%

MN-06 House Election Winner

PM $98.6K

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes 1.9%

Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?Yes 8.2%

Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?

K 40.1K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes 74.5%

NY-21 House Election Winner

PM $97.9K

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes 26%

PM $97.0K · K 12.8K contracts

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 67%Rules differK Yes 65.5%

No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 29.5%Rules differK Yes 34%

Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Review meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Will Democrats win exactly 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 72.5%

How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?

K 39.8K contracts

Will Democrats win more than 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 15%

Will Democrats win exactly 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New Jersey?Yes 6%

+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election? (Ashley Hinson)Yes 57.5%

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

K 39.6K contracts

Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election? (Josh Turek)Yes 43%

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by December 31?Yes 16%

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

PM $96.9K

Will Republican win the House race for LA-06?Yes 93%

LA-06 House winner?

K 39.2K contracts

Will Democratic win the House race for LA-06?Yes 6.8%

PM $96.9K · K 435.3K contracts

Tennessee Senate winner?

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Tennessee?

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.2%Rules differK Yes 96%

Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Tennessee?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.9%Rules differK Yes 4.2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PM $96.8K · K 59.3K contracts

Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Rhode Island

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.3%Rules differK Yes 95.2%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 0.8%

Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 0.8%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Trump say "Predict / Prediction" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%

What will Trump say in October?

K 39.1K contracts

Will Trump say "Autism" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%

Will Trump say "Newscum" before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 98%

+9 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

KalshiCompanies

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?

K 39.1K contracts

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 61.5%

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 8%

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter)Yes 4%

+1 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes 1.5%

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

PM $96.7K

Will Republicans win all 3?Yes 57%

Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?

K 38.9K contracts

Will Republicans win Nebraska, South Carolina?Yes 18.5%

Will Republicans win South Carolina?Yes 11.5%

+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes 71.5%

TX-23 House Election Winner

PM $96.5K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes 28.5%

Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate each other in 2026?Yes 0.5%

Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?

K 38.9K contracts

1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?Yes 16.5%

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

PM $96.4K

Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Colorado?Yes 94.2%

Colorado Attorney General winner?

K 38.8K contracts

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Colorado?Yes 5%

Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 41%

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

PM $96.0K

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 29.5%

Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 27.5%

+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 23%

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

K 38.8K contracts

Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 20%

Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yes 14.5%

+11 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2045 UTC

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Yes 9%

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

PM $96.0K

1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PM $95.7K · K 368.4K contracts

Oregon Governor winner?

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oregon

Related contracts

PM Yes 78.5%Rules differK Yes 78.5%

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon

Related contracts

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 22%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?Yes 11.5%

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

K 38.7K contracts

Will Trump recognize the Republic of China?Yes 1.5%

2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Will Swedish Social Democratic Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 79.5%

Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?

K 38.7K contracts

Will Green Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 67%

Will Centre Party be a part of the next government in Sweden?Yes 48%

+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

PM $95.1K

PM $94.9K · K 10.4K contracts

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 85.5%Rules differK Yes 87.5%

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?

Kalshi: Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 14.5%Rules differK Yes 12.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

KalshiElections

Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

K 38.4K contracts

Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?Yes 6.9%

1 mktNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?Yes 97%

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)

K 38.4K contracts

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?Yes 92.5%

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?Yes 84.5%

+6 moreNext deadline Feb 3, 2027 UTC

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Yes 18%

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

PM $94.6K

Will Democratic win the House race for MS-02?Yes 96.6%

MS-02 House winner?

K 38.4K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for MS-02?Yes 2.4%

Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 52%

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

PM $94.3K

Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 20.5%

Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 20%

+9 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2028 UTC

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 96.5%

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?

K 38.2K contracts

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 95.5%

What will Donald Trump say during Midterm Rally in Greenville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 20, 2026? (Hottest)Yes 93.5%

+31 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 88.3%

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

PM $94.2K

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 4.9%

Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes 3.8%

+25 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC

Will Democratic win the House race for CA-48?Yes 92.1%

CA-48 House winner?

K 38.2K contracts

Will Republican win the House race for CA-48?Yes 7.1%

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 97.9%

AL-07 House Election Winner

PM $93.9K

Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes 0.5%