Politics prediction markets
6,943 politics market groups in the catalog. A group may contain related contracts with different settlement rules.
Market data updated . Prices are snapshots. The catalog refreshes every three hours.
PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTechScienceHealthWorldClear categories
Showing 1,057-1,104 of 6,943 event groups
Ranked within each platform by reported lifetime volume. Polymarket reports dollars; Kalshi reports contracts.
KalshiPolitics
San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner?
K 30.3K contractsWho will win the 2026 San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 8 election? (Gary McCoy)Yes 65.5%
Who will win the 2026 San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 8 election? (Darshini Patel)Yes 11%
Who will win the 2026 San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 8 election? (Michael Nguyen)Yes 4%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PM $74.8KHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Yes 11.1%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-17 House winner?
K 30.1K contractsWill Republican win the House race for TX-17?Yes 95.8%
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-17?Yes 4.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PM $74.7KJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Yes 4.3%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NM-02 House winner?
PM $74.2K · K 62.6K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NM-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 91.8%Rules differK Yes 90.9%
Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NM-2?
Related contracts
PM Yes 7.8%Rules differK Yes 9%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Jessica Tisch departure announced?
K 30.1K contractsWill Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 50.5%
Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will Jessica Tisch leave NYPD Commissioner before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)
K 30.0K contractsWill Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio?Yes 54%
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?Yes 46%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?
PM $74.0KGreta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Yes 61.2%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
OH-15 House winner?
K 30.0K contractsWill Republican win the House race for OH-15?Yes 72.5%
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-15?Yes 27%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TN-05 House Election Winner
PM $73.7KWill the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes 92.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes 7.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory
PM $73.6K · K 879.8K contractsWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
Related contracts
PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 96%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
Related contracts
PM Yes 0.3%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Kalshi: Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania
Related contracts
PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 3.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
K 30.0K contractsWill Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on critical minerals, where the executive action must explicitly reference critical minerals in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?Yes 26.5%
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind turbines, where the executive action must explicitly reference wind turbines in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?Yes 20%
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on foreign-made films, where the executive action must explicitly reference foreign-made films in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026?Yes 19.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?
K 29.8K contractsWill the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 20.5%
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 3.5%
Will the number of U.S. House seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. House elections?Yes 2.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Apr 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MN-05 House Election Winner
PM $73.5KWill the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes 95.7%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
VA-01 House winner?
PM $73.4K · K 311.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for VA-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 59.5%Rules differK Yes 57%
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for VA-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 42%Rules differK Yes 43%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Will NYC buses become free before 2027?
K 29.8K contractsWill NYC buses become free before 2027?Yes 5.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Vermont Attorney General winner?
K 29.7K contractsWill the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Vermont?Yes 97.2%
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in Vermont?Yes 2.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
MO-04 House Election Winner
PM $73.2KWill the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Yes 95.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?Yes 3.4%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
K 29.6K contractsWhat will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals)Yes 74.5%
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals)Yes 13%
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? (Not nine justices)Yes 8.2%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 20, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
PM $73.1KWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes 80%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes 17%
2 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
K 29.5K contractsWill Proposition 3 pass?Yes 87.5%
Will Proposition 2 pass?Yes 86%
Will Proposition 37 pass?Yes 81.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
PM $72.8KCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes 32%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MD-05 House election: Brian Jordan vote percent
K 29.4K contractsWill Brian Jordan receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 13%
Will Brian Jordan receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 10%
Will Brian Jordan receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-05 House election?Yes 5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
PM $72.0KUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Yes 4.1%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Taylor Swift: Total weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
K 29.4K contractsWill Taylor Swift spend 7 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Taylor Swift spend 6 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Taylor Swift spend 8 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 56%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
PM $71.6KNew Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Yes 1.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
K 29.4K contractsWhich member of Congress will have the biggest returns this year? (Roger Williams)Yes 43.6%
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns this year? (Debbie Wasserman-Schultz)Yes 39.6%
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns this year? (Morgan McGarvey)Yes 25.3%
+7 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Russia enter Stavky by...?
PM $71.2KWill Russia enter Stavky by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?
K 29.3K contractsWill Trump say "Whack Job / Wack Job" before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%
Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 99.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PM $71.0KAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Housewife by Tate McRae debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?
K 29.3K contractsWill Housewife by Tate McRae debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?Yes 7.5%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
PM $70.7KWill exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes 59.5%
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes 30%
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes 8.8%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Lebanese general election winner?
K 28.9K contractsWill the Election Postponed Beyond Expiration win the next Lebanese general election? (Election Postponed Beyond Expiration)Yes 70%
Who will win the next Lebanese general election? (Lebanese Forces)Yes 11.6%
Who will win the next Lebanese general election? (Amal Movement)Yes 10.7%
+7 moreNext deadline May 11, 2028 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-24 House Election Winner
PM $70.3KWill the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Yes 91.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Yes 9%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
AZ-01 House winner?
PM $70.2K · K 142.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 82.5%Rules differK Yes 80.5%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for AZ-1?
Related contracts
PM Yes 17.5%Rules differK Yes 19.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Picture
K 28.7K contractsWill The Odyssey be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 98.5%
Will You Can See Everything be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 91%
Will La Bola Negra be on the list of nominees for Best Picture at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?Yes 84%
+13 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2028 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama
K 28.6K contractsWill Keri Russell be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 88.5%
Will Zendaya be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will Chase Infiniti be on the list of nominees for Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?Yes 75%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 8, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
PM $70.0KWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Georgian parliamentary election winner?
K 28.5K contractsWho will win the next Georgian parliamentary election? (Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia)Yes 77.5%
Will Strong Georgia win the next Georgian parliamentary election? (Strong Georgia)Yes 7.5%
Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election? (Unity – National Movement)Yes 5.7%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-14 House Election Winner
PM $69.5KWill the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes 69.5%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes 30.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
2028 House winner
K 28.5K contractsWill the Democratic party win the House in 2028?Yes 75.5%
Will the Republican party win the House in 2028?Yes 26.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2029 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
CA-50 House Election Winner
PM $69.4KWill the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?Yes 96.3%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?Yes 3.1%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NY-11 House winner?
K 28.4K contractsWill Republican win the House race for NY-11?Yes 94.4%
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-11?Yes 5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
FL-18 House Election Winner
PM $69.4KWill the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes 94.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes 4.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026
K 28.1K contractsWill Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 3 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 99%
Will Patient Zero by Taylor Swift spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes 10.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-21 House Election Winner
PM $69.4KWill the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes 95.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes 3.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
NY-17 House winner?
PM $69.4K · K 326.5K contractsWill the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NY-17?
Related contracts
PM Yes 60.5%Rules differK Yes 60.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NY-17?
Related contracts
PM Yes 40.5%Rules differK Yes 39.5%
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Hungary rate decision in October
K 28.1K contractsWill the Magyar Nemzeti Bank maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 2.5%
Will the Magyar Nemzeti Bank hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Council policy meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC